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研究生: 劉芩均
Liu, Chin-Chun
論文名稱: 臺灣水泥產業價值鏈多樣循環之減碳潛力-廢棄物投入產出模型之情境評估
Decarbonization Potential of Circular Interventions in Taiwan’s Cement Value Chains: Scenario Analyses Using Waste Input–Output Models
指導教授: 陳必晟
Chen, Pi-Cheng
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 工學院 - 環境工程學系
Department of Environmental Engineering
論文出版年: 2026
畢業學年度: 114
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 177
中文關鍵詞: 水泥業資源循環廢棄物投入產出二氧化碳
外文關鍵詞: Cement Industry, Resource Circularity, Waste Input–Output, Carbon dioxide
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  • 台灣於2023年正式將2050淨零排放目標正式納入《氣候變遷因應法》,隨著目標年逐漸接近,政府、企業及社會大眾對於其議題關注程度持續提升。因應碳費及碳關稅機制,產業不僅需重視自身產業的碳排放量下降,亦須對供應鏈上、下游進行碳盤查及管理,且具研究顯示,約77%碳排放來自產業供應鏈上、下游碳排,自身產業碳排放只佔了23%。水泥產業無論是在全球還是台灣,皆為高碳排產業,水泥產業在製程過程中,原料石灰石會煅燒分解釋放大量二氧化碳,為難以避免的排放來源,此部分碳排放佔了水泥產業總碳排放量的50%。因此對於水泥產業而言,除了降低自身產業的直接碳排放外,也應該將產業上、下游供應鏈納入考量,降低衍生的間接碳排,從供應鏈角度進行碳管理,以全面評估並降低整體生命週期之碳排放,推動水泥業達成深度減碳。
    本研究透過投入產出分析結合廢棄物流資訊創建台灣2021年廢棄物投入產出模型,透過投入產出分析可以追溯其產業上游影響,而廢棄物投入產出進一步將廢棄階段納入供應鏈中考量。將其模型加入溫室氣體排放資料,即可以得知供應鏈連帶關係影響下的溫室氣體排放結果。資源循環為水泥產業重要的減碳策略,許多關鍵減碳方法與廢棄物再利用及資源替代相關。故本研究以水泥業資源循環策略設計情境模擬:(1)AFs情境,減少廢棄物焚化處理,將其廢棄物作為水泥業替代燃料使用;(2)RCMs情境:透過回收營建廢棄物中的廢混凝土作為水泥產業的替代原料使用;(3)IBMs情境:水泥廠收受來自其他產業的廢棄物,作為替代原料使用;(4)BLE情境:透過延長建築壽命,影響對水泥的需求,為評估不同資源循環策略的環境效益,以上述四個情境作為本研究的情境分析,以評估情境下的減碳潛力。
    根據研究結果顯示,資源循環減碳策略對於水泥業具有減少溫室氣體排放潛力,不僅能夠更有效率的處理其廢棄物,也使水泥業降低生產過程中的碳排放,進一步降低水泥生產的單位碳排放,其中以BLE情境的延長房屋壽命至75年,減少碳排放效果最為顯著,減少13,578,023公噸二氧化碳當量。本研究所建構之模型可作為未來評估不同產業資源循環策略及其溫室氣體排放影響的分析工具;研究結果則可作為水泥產業及政府規劃資源循環措施與減碳策略參考依據,並協助產業淨零轉型與資源循環發展。

    The cement industry is one of the major sources of greenhouse gas emissions and has become a key sector in global net-zero transition efforts. Owing to the high-temperature characteristics of cement kilns, the industry possesses significant potential for implementing resource circularity strategies, such as the use of alternative fuels and alternative raw materials. Numerous organizations and studies have indicated that resource circularity measures can effectively reduce carbon emissions in the cement industry. In addition, under the growing influence of global supply chain management and carbon border adjustment policies, industries are increasingly required to assess carbon emissions throughout their upstream supply chains. Although many previous studies have employed input–output analysis to evaluate carbon emissions associated with the cement industry, most have not incorporated waste generation, treatment, and recycling stages into their assessments. Therefore, this study develops an Environmentally Extended Waste Input–Output model to capture the interrelationships between supply chains and waste flows. By integrating greenhouse gas emission information into the model, the carbon reduction potential of resource circularity strategies in the cement industry can be evaluated. The results indicate that resource circularity strategies have considerable potential to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the cement industry. These strategies not only improve waste management efficiency but also reduce carbon emissions during cement production, thereby lowering the carbon intensity of cement products. Among the scenarios analyzed, the Building Lifetime Extension (BLE) scenario, which extends the average building lifetime to 75 years, achieved the greatest carbon reduction effect, reducing emissions by 13,578,023 t-CO₂-eq. The model developed in this study can serve as an analytical tool for evaluating resource circularity strategies and their greenhouse gas implications across different industries. The findings may also provide valuable references for the cement industry and government agencies in formulating resource circularity measures and decarbonization strategies, thereby supporting industrial net-zero transitions and advancing resource circularity.

    摘要 ii 目錄 viii 表目錄 xi 圖目錄 xiv 第一章 緒論 1 1.1 研究背景 1 1.2 研究目的 2 第二章 文獻回顧 3 2.1 溫室氣體排放背景 3 2.2 水泥業現況與水泥業循環經濟 3 2.2.1 水泥業現況 3 2.2.2 水泥業對環境的影響 5 2.2.3 水泥業資源循環減碳策略 8 2.2.4 水泥業碳評估方法 13 2.3 投入產出分析與應用 15 2.3.1 投入產出分析基本概念 15 2.3.2 投入產出乘數概念 15 2.3.3 投入產出關聯效果 16 2.3.4 環境擴展投入產出 20 2.4 廢棄物投入產出分析與應用 22 2.4.1 廢棄物投入產出基本概念 22 2.4.2 廢棄物投入產出應用 22 第三章 研究方法 26 3.1.1 投入產出基本原理 28 3.1.2 投入產出模型矩陣 29 3.2 廢棄物投入產出模型矩陣 32 3.2.1 廢棄物投入產出基本原理 32 3.2.2 廢棄物投入產出模型矩陣 34 3.2.3 環境擴展廢棄物投入產出模型矩陣 35 3.3 環境擴展廢棄物投入產出模型建置 37 3.3.1 廢棄物投入產出模型建置 37 3.3.2 溫室氣體排放量計算 45 3.4 水泥業資源循環情境模擬調整 47 3.4.1 AFs情境:增加替代燃料使用量 47 3.4.2 RCMs情境:回收廢混凝土 52 3.4.3 IBMs情境:增加替代原料使用量 58 3.4.4 BLE情境:延長建築壽命對水泥需求影響 62 第四章 結果與討論 68 4.1 溫室氣體排放量計算結果 68 4.2 水泥業二次料投入現況 70 4.3 廢棄物投入產出計算基線情境各行業及廢棄物管理排放 72 4.4 水泥業資源循環情境結果 76 4.4.1 AFs情境: 增加替代燃料使用量 76 4.4.2 RCMs情境:回收廢混凝土 81 4.4.3 IBMs情境:增加替代原料使用量 82 4.4.4 BLE情境:延長建築壽命對水泥需求影響 84 4.5 討論 89 4.5.1 模型架構及情境分析結果的後續應用 89 4.5.2 研究的限制 90 第五章 結論與建議 92 5.1 結論 92 5.2 建議 93 參考文獻 94 附錄 102

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