| 研究生: |
洪振富 Hung, Jen-Fu |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
民眾對運輸需求管理策略偏好意向之研究-以大高雄地區為例 Explore User’s Preference for Transportation Demand Management Strategies:An Empirical Study of Kaohsiung |
| 指導教授: |
魏健宏
Wei, Chien-hung |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 交通管理科學系 Department of Transportation and Communication Management Science |
| 論文出版年: | 2008 |
| 畢業學年度: | 96 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 92 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 運輸需求管理 、敘述性偏好 、巢式羅吉特模式 、實驗設計 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Experimental design, Transportation Demand Management, Stated Preference, Nested Logit Model |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:118 下載:4 |
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由於都市人口密度高及私人運具使用成本低估,暖化問題與永續運輸等議題於近年受到重視。為減緩對環境的衝擊,長期而有效的作法之一乃是調整民眾對於運具使用的習慣,尤其是降低私有機車與小客車的使用。過去經驗發現都市擁塞問題若單以增加供給方式因應,會產生資源不足與無效率配置而窒礙難行,難以改善問題根源;取而代之的方法是了解地方民眾運輸需求,根據現有運輸的選項中,透過管理手段提升運輸效率,抑或規劃大眾運輸設施,移轉民眾對私有運具的依賴,此即為運輸需求管理的目的。
調整民眾運輸需求的作法可分為兩種,其一為鼓勵性的方案,另一則為抑制性的方案。從各國實施成效及相關研究中可發現,民眾對鼓勵性方案接受度較高,如柔性勸說與教育等方式,然而諸如訂定罰則之抑制性方案的成效則較為顯著。近年高雄捷運及高鐵等大眾運輸系統相繼通車、營運後,為高雄地區大眾運輸時代的來臨開啟扉頁。在本文中嘗試探討高雄地區民眾對於大眾運輸使用的偏好,藉由運具旅次使用現況資料及敘述性偏好理論設計運輸需求管理策略情境問卷,探討旅次目的與運具替選方案中影響民眾選擇的屬性變數,包括票價、旅行時間、旅行成本、乘客社經特性、旅次特性等相關變數,透過羅吉特模型校估此等變數對於民眾選擇運具行為之影響,並找出通勤者對運輸需求管理策略的偏好,了解高雄地區民眾對大眾運輸接受意向,以提供政府部門於大眾運輸投資及施政決策上之參考。
Recently, global warming and sustainable transportation has become serious matters. Those problems induced by increasing population and underestimating the using cost of private vehicles. The environmental impact of transport range sfrom the consumption of fuel and land to the effects of pollution, noise and vibration. The long-term and efficient way to reduce the harm of environment is to change the vehicle using habits of population. It is unlikely to mitigate these problems by constructing new highway systems since the available land is limited. Therefore, managing the traffic demand by using Transportation Demand Management approach, TDM, to improve traffic problems has been one of the main strategies employed in the major cities around the world.
TDM is described as being "the art of influencing traveler behavior for the purpose of reducing or redistributing travel demand." The primary purpose of TDM is to reduce the number of vehicles using highway facilities while providing a wide variety of mobility options for those who wish to travel. These are carrot and stick approaches to get people to change behavior. Kaohsiung Mass Rapid Transit(KMRT) Project, currently under construction, will be completed by the year 2008, and the light rail system, high speed rail planed in Kaohsiung city. The public transportation age of Kaohsiung is worth waiting for.
The aim of this paper is to examine the types of travel reduction strategies which are available to policy makers and ranking the preference of citizen. Data collected by questionnaires, including revealed-preference(RP) and stated preference(SP) survey. The SP survey were created by a set of attributes combination. The collected data were examine with multinominal logit model and nested logit model. The results suggested that the package TDM approach should implementes in the same time to achieve the Sustainable Transportation goal.
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