| 研究生: |
徐靜焄 Hsu, Ching-Hsun |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
異常溫度對投資人情緒與台灣高、低碳排公司個股的影響 Does Abnormal Temperature Help Explain the Variation of Investor Sentiment and the Stock Performance of High and Low Carbon-Emitting Companies in Taiwan? |
| 指導教授: |
梁少懷
Liang, Shao-Huai |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 財務金融研究所 Graduate Institute of Finance |
| 論文出版年: | 2023 |
| 畢業學年度: | 111 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 25 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 異常溫度 、搜索量指數 、投資人情緒 、股票報酬 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Abnormal Temperature, SVI, Investor Sentiment, Stock Returns |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:139 下載:0 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
本研究首先探討異常溫度與是否提升人們對全球暖化的關注度,接續探究天氣發生異常溫度時,是否影響到投資人投資高、低碳排放量股票的行為,以及是否影響高、低碳排放量公司個股報酬。本篇利用谷歌搜索透視(Google Trends) 的關鍵字搜索量指數(SVI),作為大眾對全球暖化的關注程度,而異常溫度變數參照文獻(Choi,D., 2020)將溫度拆解三部分,最後殘差值即為本文主要異常溫度變數,再利用當日沖銷比、券資餘額比、市場周轉率作為間接投資人指標,以代表投資人的投資行為,最後檢視2008-2020年間異常溫度對投資人情緒與台灣高、低碳排放量產業的公司個股之影響。實證結果顯示,投資人僅在面對高碳排放量公司的投資行為會受到異常溫度的影響,並發現異常溫度會促使高碳排放量公司個股報酬表現差,說明異常溫度不僅會影響投資人對於高碳排放量公司個股的投資行為也影響到相關個股報酬表現。
This paper initially explores the relationship between abnormal temperatures and the extent to which they raise public awareness of global warming. Subsequently, it delves into whether such temperatures impact investor behavior when investing in high and low carbon-emitting stocks, as well as the returns of individual stocks from companies with high and low carbon emissions. We employ Google Trends' Search Volume Index (SVI) as a measure of the public's concern for global warming. Anomalous temperature variables are derived from literature (Choi, D., 2020) by decomposing temperatures into three components, with the residual value serving as the primary variable for this research. Day Trading Ratio, Margin Purchase/Short Sales, and Retail Investors' Share Turnover are utilized as indirect investor sentiment, representing investor behavior. Finally, the study examines the impact of abnormal temperatures on investor sentiment and individual stocks of high and low carbon-emitting industries in Taiwan between 2008 and 2020. The empirical results show that investors' behaviors are affected by abnormal temperatures only when facing companies with high carbon emissions. It is also found that abnormal temperatures tend to lead to poor returns on stocks of high carbon-emitting companies. This suggests that abnormal temperatures not only influence investors' behaviors towards stocks of high carbon-emitting companies but also impact the performance of these stocks.
王錦瑩、劉玉珍、林晏竹(2007),「散戶情緒與股票報酬:台灣股市實證研 究」,2007 年行為財務學暨新興市場理論與實務研討會。
吳文心(2011)。氣候舒適度對投資人情緒與台灣股票市場的影響。臺灣大學國際企業管理組學位論文。2011。1-36。
周賓凰、張宇志、林美珍(2007),「投資人情緒與股票報酬互動關係」,證券 市場發展季刊,20:1,1-39。
許溪南、郭玟秀和鄭乃誠(2005),「投資人情緒與股票報酬互動關係:臺灣股價之 實證」,臺灣金融財務季刊,第 6 卷,第 3 期,第 107-121 頁。
許惠珠(2009),「Essays on finance」,博士論文,台灣大學財務金融學系。
陳達勳(2001),「市場情緒與股票報酬之研究」,碩士論文,國立政治大學國 際貿易學系。
郭敏華、李謙(2005),「陽光影響投資情緒?以台灣股票市場為例」,台灣金 融財務季刊,6:2,35-51。
郭敏華、蔡世烈(2003),從「從行為財務學的觀點探討台灣股市之從眾傾向」,東海管理評論,6:1,51-57。
趙元顥(2008),「證券報酬是否受到天氣因素之影響 -全球證券市場縱橫資 料之實證分析」,碩士論文,銘傳大學財務金融學系。
鄭高輯、林泉源(2010),「投資人情緒對投機型股票報酬之影響」,商略學報, 2:1,21-35。
Adachi, Yuta, Motoki Masuda, and Fumiko Takeda. "Google search intensity and its relationship to the returns and liquidity of Japanese startup stocks." Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 46 (2017): 243-257.
Akerlof, K., Maibach, E. W., Fitzgerald, D., Cedeno, A. Y., & Neuman, A. (2013). Do people "personally experience" global warming, and if so how, and does it matter? Global Environmental Change-Human and Policy Dimensions, 23(1), 81-91.
Bolton, P., & Kacperczyk, M. (2021). Do investors care about carbon risk?. Journal of financial economics, 142(2), 517-549.
Cao, M., & Wei, J. (2005). Stock market returns: A note on temperature anomaly. Journal of Banking & Finance, 29(6), 1559-1573.
Chang, S. C., Chen, S. S., Chou, R. K., & Lin, Y. H. (2008). Weather and intraday patterns in stock returns and trading activity. Journal of Banking & Finance, 32(9), 1754-1766.
Choi, D., Gao, Z., & Jiang, W. (2020). Attention to global warming. The Review of Financial Studies, 33(3), 1112-1145.
Costola, M., Iacopini, M., & Santagiustina, C. (2021). Google search volumes and the financial markets during the COVID-19 outbreak. Finance Research Letters, 42, Article 101884.
Cornell, B. (2021). ESG preferences, risk and return. European Financial Management, 27(1), 12-19.
Da, Z., Engelberg, J., & Gao, P. (2011). In search of attention. The journal of finance, 66(5), 1461-1499.
Denissen, J. J. A., Butalid, L., Penke, L., & van Aken, M. A. G. (2008). The Effects of Weather on Daily Mood: A Multilevel Approach [Article]. Emotion, 8(5), 662-667.
Ding, R., & Hou, W. (2015). Retail investor attention and stock liquidity. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 37, 12-26.
Dolvin, S. D., Pyles, M. K., & Wu, Q. (2009). Analysts get SAD too: The effect of seasonal affective disorder on stock analysts' earnings estimates. The Journal of Behavioral Finance, 10(4), 214-225.
Fiskerstrand, S. R., Fjeldavli, S., Leirvik, T., Antoniuk, Y., & Nenadić, O. (2020). Sustainable investments in the Norwegian stock market. Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment, 10(3), 294-310.
Han, L., Lv, Q., & Yin, L. (2017). Can investor attention predict oil prices?. Energy Economics, 66, 547-558.
Hirshleifer, D., & Shumway, T. (2003). Good day sunshine: Stock returns and the weather. Journal of Finance, 58(3), 1009-1032.
Howarth, E., & Hoffman, M. S. (1984). A multidimensional approach to the relationship between mood and weather. British Journal of Psychology, 75(FEB), 15-23.
Keller, M. C., Fredrickson, B. L., Ybarra, O., Cote, S., Johnson, K., Mikels, J., Conway, A., & Wager, T. (2005). A warm heart and a clear head - The contingent effects of weather on mood and cognition. Psychological Science, 16(9), 724-731.
Lineman, M., Do, Y., Kim, J. Y., & Joo, G. J. (2015). Talking about climate change and global warming. PloS one, 10(9), e0138996.
Li, Y., Johnson, E. J., & Zaval, L. (2011). Local warming: Daily temperature change influences belief in global warming. Psychological science, 22(4), 454-459.
Loughran, T., & Schultz, P. (2004). Weather, stock returns, and the impact of localized trading behavior. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 39(2), 343-364.
Luo, D. (2022). ESG, liquidity, and stock returns. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 78, 101526.
Mendl, M., Burman, O. H. P., Parker, R. M. A., & Paul, E. S. (2009). Cognitive bias as an indicator of animal emotion and welfare: Emerging evidence and underlying mechanisms. Applied Animal Behaviour Science, 118(3-4), 161-181.
Ripberger, J. T. (2011). Capturing Curiosity: Using Internet Search Trends to Measure Public Attentiveness. Policy Studies Journal, 39(2), 239-259.
Schmidt, G. (2015). Thoughts on 2014 and ongoing temperature trends. Blog post, Real Climate, 22.
Shahzad, F. (2019). Does weather influence investor behavior, stock returns, and volatility? Evidence from the Greater China region. Physica a-Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications, 523, 525-543.
Shanaev, S., & Ghimire, B. (2022). When ESG meets AAA: The effect of ESG rating changes on stock returns. Finance Research Letters, 46, 102302.
Zaval, L., Keenan, E. A., Johnson, E. J., & Weber, E. U. (2014). How warm days increase belief in global warming. Nature Climate Change, 4(2), 143-147.
校內:2028-05-23公開