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研究生: 鄭垓盛
Nixon, Tedy
論文名稱: FDI from Japan in Indonesia on General Machinery, Electrical Machinery,and Transportation and Equipment Manufacturing: An Econometrics Analysis Approach
FDI from Japan in Indonesia on General Machinery, Electrical Machinery,and Transportation and Equipment Manufacturing: An Econometrics Analysis Approach
指導教授: 康信鴻
Kang, Hsin-Hong
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 國際經營管理研究所碩士班
Institute of International Management (IIMBA--Master)
論文出版年: 2012
畢業學年度: 100
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 55
外文關鍵詞: Outward foreign direct investment (FDI), Manufacturing sector, Foreign exchange rates volatility, Labor wage, Financial crisis
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  • Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is an important factor in the economic development of developing countries, since it plays important roles in the transfer of technology knowledge, employment, and human resources development, and in turn the investors can receive significant revenues from the lower production costs. Many studies of FDI have examined these FDI-related transfers from developed to developing countries, and even between developed ones.
    This study mainly focuses on Outward Foreign Direct Investment (OFDI) from Japan and the explanatory variables which affect it. Since the author’s home country is Indonesia, this work aims to explore OFDI from Japan in Indonesia, and its correlation with the real exchange rate volatility of Indonesian rupiah against American dollars, Japanese yen and the average labor wage, as well as to present brief explanation of Indonesia’s economic policy.
    The research methodology is split into two major parts. The first stage calculates the real exchange rate volatility for which the mathematical formula is taken from Kiyota and Urata (2004). Afterwards, in order to find the correlation between the three of affecting variables and FDI from Japan manufacturing firms invested in Indonesia, both of the variables are analyzed using a multiple regressions with OLS (Ordinary Least Square) method. This work is a form of empirical research with secondary data source, or quantitative study since the raw data are obtained from several open source statistical time series of data.
    Last but not the least, the author hoped that this study can enrich the literature on FDI and have valuable contributions to the work of both scholars and practitioners, particularly to the development of the future research from the framework of this study.

    ABSTRACT I ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS III TABLE OF CONTENTS IV LIST OF TABLES VII LIST OF FIGURES IX CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Research Background. 1 1.2 Research Gaps and Motivation. 3 1.3 Research Objectives. 5 1.4 Research Contribution. 6 1.5 Research Procedure. 7 CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW 9 2.1 Definition of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). 9 2.2 Definition of OFDI from Japan. 10 2.3 FDI Categorization. 11 2.4 Foreign Exchange Rate Volatility. 11 2.5 Foreign Exchange Rate Volatility and FDI. 12 2.6 Impact of Foreign Exchange Rate Volatility on FDI and Various Aspects. 13 2.7 Principles of Balance of Payments in FDI Report Statement. 14 2.8 Direction of this Research. 14 CHAPTER THREE RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY 16 3.1 Mathematical Operation of Real Exchange Rate Volatility. 16 3.2 Data Sources and Collection. 17 3.3 Goodness of Fit. 17 3.3.1 R2 Goodness of Fit Measurement. 18 3.3.2 Adjusted R2 Goodness of Fit Measurement. 18 3.4 Research Hypotheses. 19 3.5 Regression Model. 20 3.5.1 Dummy Variables. 20 3.5.2 Independent Variables and Dummy Variables. 20 3.6 Empirical Research Process. 22 3.7 Research Procedure. 22 CHAPTER FOUR RESEARCH RESULTS 24 4.1 Multicollinearity and Nested Tests. 25 4.1.1 Multicollineariy Test on General Machinery Sector. 26 4.1.2 Nested Test of the General Machinery Sector. 26 4.1.3 Multicollineariy Test on Electric Machinery Sector. 27 4.1.4 Nested Test of the Electric Machinery Sector. 28 4.1.5 Multicollinearity Test on Transportation Equipment Sector. 28 4.1.6 Nested Test of on Transportation Equipment Sector. 29 4.2 Heteroskedasticity Test. 30 4.2.1 Heteroskedasticity Test on General Machinery Sector. 31 4.2.2 Heteroskedasticity Test on Electric Machinery Sector. 32 4.2.3 Heteroskedasticity Test on Transportation Equipment Sector. 33 4.3 Autocorrelations Test. 34 4.3.1 Autocorrelations Test on General Machinery Sector. 35 4.3.2 Autocorrelations Test on Electric Machinery Sector. 35 4.3.3 Autocorrelations Test of FDI on Transportation Equipment Sector. 35 4.4 Ordinary Least Squares Test. 36 4.4.1 OLS Test on General Machinery. 37 4.4.2 OLS Test on Electric Machinery Sector. 39 4.4.3 OLS Test on Transportation Equipment Sector. 41 CHAPTER FIVE CONCLUSION AND SUGGESTIONS 45 5.1 Research Conclusions and Discussions. 45 5.1.1 Average Labor Wage. 45 5.1.2 USD Foreign Exchange Rate Volatility. 47 5.1.3 Yen Foreign Exchange Rate Volatility. 47 5.1.4 Financial Crisis 2008. 48 5.2 Research Implications and Suggestions. 48 5.3 Research Limitations and Future Research Directions. 49 REFERENCES 51 APPENDICES 54 Appendix 1: Quarterly Data Collection from 2005 until 2011 54

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