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研究生: 王信堯
Wang, Shin-Yau
論文名稱: 單車與電動輔助自行車替代燃油機車通勤之環境與健康效益分析-以 YouBike 系統為例
Environmental and health benefits analysis of replacing internal combustion engine motorcycles with bicycles and e-bikes for commuting: A case study of YouBike system
指導教授: 張瀞之
Chang, Ching-Chih
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 交通管理科學系
Department of Transportation and Communication Management Science
論文出版年: 2023
畢業學年度: 111
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 47
中文關鍵詞: 溫室氣體空氣汙染YouBike相對風險貨幣化
外文關鍵詞: Greenhouse gas, air pollution, YouBike, relative risk, monetization
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  • 隨著交通技術愈發進步,各式運具所產生的溫室氣體排放量成長逐年增長。2021年臺灣運輸部門所排放之溫室氣體量達到3674萬公噸,是六大部門中排名第二,顯示運輸部門減碳行動刻不容緩。除溫室氣體,燃油運具所產生之懸浮微粒、硫氧化物、氮氧化物等空氣汙染物對人體健康之影響亦不容小覷。為了降低使用燃油運具所產生的溫室氣體排放及空氣汙染物,達到減少碳排、提升民眾健康效益,自行車與電動輔助自行車是替代燃油運具中燃油機車通勤之利器。本研究選定公共自行車YouBike 2.0與YouBike 2.0E電動輔助自行車作為研究標的,建立自行車與電動輔助自行車替代燃油機車減少碳排模型,利用相對風險概念建立騎乘自行車身體活動健康效益,與攝入空氣污染物之風險評估模型。最後再將騎乘自行車通勤減少碳排放之環境效益,與騎乘自行車通勤促進健康之效益進行貨幣化處理。
    研究結果顯示: 騎乘自行車替代燃油機車通勤,因身體活動而減少的死亡風險介於12.371%~13.575%;因攝入空氣汙染物相較騎乘燃油機車增加了3.90%~7.22%之死亡風險,健康效益與風險損益兩平時長介於34~45小時/年(每日7.84~10.38分鐘),每人每年貨幣化後之健康效益介於NT$7,002.98~NT$10,446.08之間,因縣市而異;環境效益部分每人每年減少排放1.64753公噸二氧化碳當量之溫室氣體,貨幣化環境效益約為NT$2,486.30。騎乘電動輔助自行車通勤,因身體活動而減少的死亡風險介於14.701%~15.58%;因攝入空氣汙染物相較騎乘燃油機車增加了6.02%~6.90%之死亡風險,健康效益與風險損益兩平時長介於61~75小時/年(每日14.07~17.3分鐘),每人每年貨幣化後之健康效益介於NT$8591.05~NT$10,544.08;環境效益部分每人每年減少排放1.6127公噸二氧化碳當量之溫室氣體,貨幣化環境效益約為NT$2,419.06。
    藉由量化騎乘自行車取代燃油機車通勤所產生的環境與健康效益,期望能為個人、政府機關提供選擇運具、制定政策之參考。
    關鍵字:溫室氣體、空氣汙染、YouBike、相對風險、貨幣化

    This study analyzes the health and environmental benefits of using bicycles and e-bikes to replace motorcycles for commuting. By establishing a model for carbon emission reduction by replacing motorcycles, and by using the relative risk concept to establish a model for health benefits of bicycle physical activity and risk assessment of air pollutant intake. Finally, monetized the environmental benefits of bicycle commuting in terms of carbon emission reduction and the health promotion benefits of bicycle commuting.
    The research shows that: replace motorcycles with bicycles for commuting results in a reduction in mortality risk due to physical activity, ranging from 12.371% to 13.575%, For commuting with e-bikes, ranges from 14.701% to 15.58%. However, there is an increased mortality risk of 3.90% to 7.22% for bicycles and 6.02% to 6.90% for e-bikes due to exposure to air pollution compared to riding motorcycles. The breakeven duration for the health benefits of cycling ranges from 34 to 75 hours per year, equivalent to approximately 7.84 to 17.3 minutes per day. The monetized health benefits per person per year range from NT$7,002.98 to NT$10,446.08 for bicycles and NT$8,591.05 to NT$10,544.08 for e-bikes varying across different cities. In terms of environmental benefits, there is a reduction of 1.64753 metric tons CO2e for bicycles and 1.6127 metric tons CO2e GHG emissions for e-bikes per person per year, with a monetized environmental benefit of approximately NT$2,486.30 for bicycles and NT$2,419.06 for e-bikes.

    摘要 I 圖目錄 VIII 第一章 緒論 1 1.1 研究背景 1 1.2 研究動機 3 1.3 研究目的 3 1.4 研究流程 3 1.5 小結 5 第二章 文獻回顧 6 2.1 自行車與燃油機車生命週期評估文獻回顧 6 2.2 長期空氣汙染對健康影響與健康成本評估文獻回顧 7 2.3 騎乘自行車對健康影響之文獻回顧 9 2.4 燃油機車排放溫室氣體與懸浮微粒文獻回顧 10 2.5 碳足跡計算之文獻回顧 10 2.6 小結 11 第三章 研究方法 20 3.1 資料說明與相關假設 20 3.1.1 資料說明 20 3.1.2 相關假設: 22 3.2 騎乘自行車通勤健康損益模型 22 3.2.1 相對風險概念介紹 22 3.2.2 身體活動健康效益及風險評估 22 3.2.3 健康效益損益兩平模型 24 3.3 環境與健康效益之貨幣化模型 24 3.3.1 環境效益貨幣化模型 24 3.3.2 健康效益貨幣化模型 24 3.4 小結 25 第四章 實證分析 26 4.1 資料取得與處理過程 26 4.2 各縣市騎乘YOUBIKE通勤之平均時長 27 4.3 各縣市騎乘YOUBIKE通勤身體活動之健康效益 29 4.4 各縣市自行車通勤攝入空氣汙染物之相對風險 30 4.5 健康效益貨幣化 33 4.6 健康效益損益兩平分析 35 4.7 環境效益貨幣化 39 4.7.1 YouBike2.0替代燃油機車通勤之環境效益 39 4.7.2 YouBike2.0E替代燃油機車通勤之環境效益 39 4.8 小結 40 第五章 結論與建議 41 5.1 結論 41 5.2 建議 42 5.3 研究限制 42 5.4 未來研究方向 43 參考文獻 44 英文文獻 44 中文文獻 46

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