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研究生: 洪儷瑄
Hung, Li-Hsuan
論文名稱: 結合隨機近似法以及排序與選擇程序求解兩階層存貨問題
Combine Stochastic Approximation with Ranking and Selection to Solve a Two-Echelon Inventory Problem
指導教授: 蔡青志
Tsai, Shing-Chih
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 工業與資訊管理學系
Department of Industrial and Information Management
論文出版年: 2020
畢業學年度: 108
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 57
中文關鍵詞: 兩階層存貨問題混整數模擬最佳化隨機近似法排序與選擇程序
外文關鍵詞: Two-echelon inventory system, Mixed integer simulation optimization, Stochastic approximation, Ranking and selection
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  • 本研究考量兩階層存貨問題,存貨系統中包含一個中心倉庫以及多個不同零售商,整體供應鏈採用定期盤點策略,中心倉庫負責下游所有零售商的補貨訂單,且倉庫定期盤點存貨並向外部供應商下訂單,需求發生於零售商端為隨機變數,過往多數研究存貨問題的文獻為了分析上的可行或方便皆採用遇缺補貨假設居多,亦假設訂單前置期為定值,本研究認為銷售損失假設更能反映真實零售市場的環境,同時放寬前置期的限制,讓訂單前置期具有隨機性,主要目的為求出最大庫存水準以及盤點間隔時間,並使得各種存貨相關成本最小化。

    由於本研究需求發生與前置期皆為隨機變數,造成此問題具有隨機目標式,且同時要求解包含離散型決策變數以及連續型決策變數,另外又擁有銷售損失假設,較難以利用解析解進行分析,因此提出結合隨機近似法 (Stochastic Approximation) 以及排序與選擇程序 (Ranking and Selection) 的混整數模擬最佳化演算法,即為 SASP 演算法,所有演算法迭代包含兩個階段,每次迭代皆產生數個候選整數解組合,給定起始連續型變數,先固定其離散型變數組合,並針對連續型變數執行隨機近似法階段,使不同的整數解組合下,搭配各自的連續型變數,接著進行目標式篩選程序階段,挑選出數個期望績效值較佳的候選解,不斷重複此兩個階段,在最終迭代若只有一個則為最佳解,如果有多個候選解則進行兩階段選擇程序,篩選出期望績效值最優的為最終最佳解。

    本研究將 SASP 、 greedy 及 OptQuest 三個演算法進行比較所求得之最終解品質、使用的樣本數量以及整體演算法過程搜尋解的數量,實驗結果顯示在使用相近的樣本數下,SASP 找到的最終解比其他兩個演算法更優,此外,在未來研究方向提出一個具有發展潛力的方法。

    We consider a time-base inventory control policy for a two-echelon inventory system consisting of a central warehouse and multiple non-identical retailers. In contrast to previous research, the two-echelon inventory system considered in our study with a lost-sales assumption and stochastic lead time is more realistic in many retail environments than its counterparts. The goal is to determine the order-up-to-level at the warehouse, retailers' order-up-to-level, and the inventory review interval for retailers that minimizes the expected total cost.

    We develop a mixed-integer simulation optimization algorithm (SASP), which combines stochastic approximation with ranking and selection, to solve the problem. First, we generate multiple integer solutions and given their initial continuous solutions for every iteration. Second, for all integer solutions, we implement stochastic approximation on their corresponding continuous solution. Third, for all candidate solutions, we apply objective screening procedures with respect to the objective performance. Finally, we apply two-stage selection procedure to choose the best solution depend on the number of surviving solutions in last iteration.

    This study compare the performance of final solution, the number of samples and the number of visited solutions among three different algorithms, SASP, greedy and OptQuest. The empirical results show that the final solution of SASP performs better than the others while three algorithms use similar number of samples.

    摘要 i 英文延伸摘要 ii 誌謝 vi 目錄 vii 表目錄 ix 圖目錄 x 第一章 緒論 1 1.1 研究背景與動機.............................. 1 1.2 研究目的.................................. 2 1.3 論文架構.................................. 3 第二章 文獻探討 4 2.1 存貨系統相關文獻............................. 4 2.1.1 多階層存貨系統 (Multi-Echelon Inventory System) . . . . . . . 4 2.1.2 銷售損失模型(Lost-salesModels) ................ 7 2.2 研究方法相關文獻............................. 9 2.2.1 模擬最佳化 (Optimization via Simulation ; OvS) . . . . . . . . 9 2.2.2 混整數模擬最佳化 (Mixed Integer Simulation Optimization) . . 12 2.3 小結..................................... 14 第三章 研究方法 15 3.1 兩階層存貨問題與問題假設 ....................... 15 3.2 混整數模擬最佳化演算法......................... 24 3.2.1 隨機近似法(SA) ......................... 27 3.2.2 排序與選擇程序(R&S)...................... 29 3.2.3 產生新候選整數解組合以及判斷步驟.............. 32 3.2.4 產生起始連續型變數 ....................... 33 3.2.5 SASP演算法整體流程...................... 35 第四章 實驗結果與分析 39 4.1 實驗情境設定 ............................... 39 4.2 實驗評估.................................. 41 4.3 實驗設定與結果 .............................. 41 4.3.1 起始連續型變數之設定...................... 42 4.3.2 SA階段內之參數設定 ...................... 43 4.3.3 SASP演算法內之參數設定................... 44 4.3.4 三演算法之實驗結果比較 .................... 45 第五章 結論與未來研究方向 51 5.1 結論..................................... 51 5.2 未來研究方向 ............................... 52 參考文獻 54

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