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研究生: 李蕙君
Lee, Hui-Jun
論文名稱: 太陽能產業矽晶片供應及產能配置之研究
Silicon Wafer Supply and Capacity Allocation in Solar Cell Industry
指導教授: 謝中奇
Hsieh, Chung-Chi
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 工業與資訊管理學系碩士在職專班
Department of Industrial and Information Management (on the job class)
論文出版年: 2014
畢業學年度: 102
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 65
中文關鍵詞: 矽晶太陽能電池需求配置產能配置賽局理論
外文關鍵詞: Silicone Solar Cell, Demand Allocation, Capacity Allocation, Game Theory
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  • 太陽能矽晶片電池製造產業的生意模型不同於一般產業,矽晶片在進料時都是以每片都同一價格買入,但在經過製程後產出的轉換效率為一個分配,銷售時根據轉換效率在不同區間而有不同價格。矽晶需求配置時,平均轉換效率水準與進料價格是需求配置之重要因素。原料購入後,要依實際客戶需求,對產能進行配置,以滿足客戶需求及產能的限制。
    因此本研究假設轉換效率服從常態分配,而平均轉換效率是服從均勻分配的隨機變數。利用兩階段求解,第一階段用到賽局理論的觀念,探討以一家太陽能電池製造商、兩家矽晶片供應商所構成之二階供應鏈競爭關係,建構賽局數學模型,探討其價格及需求分配量之均衡解。第二階段利用規劃求解太陽能電池製造商之高效產能配置研究,在滿足高效產能限制和高效客戶需求的前提中,求出製造商利潤極大的產能配置。研究發現當一般製程產出之高效片無法滿足高效客戶需求時,優先選擇高效片增量較高的製造商進行高效製程。

    This study examines the following two issues: The first issue is the allocation of supply of the silicon wafers in the solar industry and the decision of the price. The second issue is how to allocate high efficiency production capacity for the solar cell manufacturer to fulfill customers’ high efficiency demand. This study uses game theory to decide silicon wafer demand allocation and equilibrium price. It then uses mathematical programming to solve the solar cell manufacturer’s high efficiency production capacity allocation. The analysis of this study reveals that the supplier who has higher efficiency wafers has more advantage on price and demand. And, the solar cell manufacturer’s high efficiency capacity shall be allocated to the supplier with a larger increase in the ratio of high efficiency solar cell if the high efficiency process is adopted.

    摘要 I ABSTRACT II 誌謝 V 表目錄 IX 圖目錄 X 第一章 緒論 1 1.1 研究背景與動機 1 1.2 研究目的 2 1.3 研究範圍與限制 3 第二章 文獻回顧 4 2.1 太陽能發電產業 4 2.1.1 矽晶片製程及其與半導體晶圓比較 6 2.1.2 矽晶太陽能電池製程 9 2.2 供應鏈 12 2.2.1 供應鏈定義 12 2.2.2 供應鏈管理 14 2.2.3 需求配置與規劃求解 16 2.3 賽局理論 17 2.3.1 賽局的分類 18 2.3.2 應用賽局理論之商業競合模型 20 2.4 文獻小結 23 第三章 研究方法 25 3.1 問題描述 25 3.2 符號定義與模型假設 26 3.2.1 符號定義 26 3.2.2 模型假設 27 3.2.3 效用函式 28 3.3 供應商及太陽能電池製造商之利潤模式 29 3.4 賽局互動模式問題求解 32 3.5 規劃求解製造商產能配置 33 3.6 小結 34 第四章 數值分析 35 4.1 第一階段賽局求解供應商需求配置及價格參數設定 35 4.2 第一階段求解供應商需求配置及參數分析 36 4.2.1 供應商需求配置 37 4.2.2 供應商需求配置的參數分析 39 4.3 第二階段規劃求解製造商產能配置參數設定 41 4.4 第二階段規劃求解製造商產能配置及參數分析 42 4.4.1 製造商產能配置 43 4.4.2 製造商產能配置的參數分析 48 4.5 小結 55 第五章 結論與未來研究方向 56 5.1 結論 56 5.1 未來研究方向 57 參考文獻 59

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