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研究生: 洪雅新
Hung, Ya-hsin
論文名稱: Currency Option Pricing under Extended Normal Distribution and Stochastic Interest Rates
Currency Option Pricing under Extended Normal Distribution and Stochastic Interest Rates
指導教授: 劉裕宏
Liu, Yu-hong
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 財務金融研究所
Graduate Institute of Finance
論文出版年: 2008
畢業學年度: 96
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 71
外文關鍵詞: Stochastic Interest Rate, Currency Option, Extended Normal Distribution, Kurtosis, Skewness
相關次數: 點閱:113下載:2
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  • In this thesis, we have constructed a model to price currency options. It contributes to releasing two assumptions the Black-Scholes’ (1973) model makes. One of them is that the log price of an asset doesn’t follow a normal distribution any more, the other is the interest rates in the domestic and foreign countries become stochastic. This general formula is first proposed by Amin and Jarrow (1991), and based on this we build extended a normal distribution model [developed by Ki, Choi, Chang and Lee (2005)] under the assumption of stochastic interest rate economy. In numerical examples, our proposed model would be compared with Amin and Jarrow (1991) under the CIR term structure. Furthermore, Monte Carlo simulation is used to provide another outcome to be another comparative example. Finally, we think that the proposed model provides more correct currency option prices when taking account of stochastic interests and extended normal distribution since most of results fall in the confidence interval.

    Chapter 1 Introduction 1 1.1 The Objective and Motivation of the Research 1 1.2 Structure of the Study 4 Chapter 2 Literature Review 5 2.1 Notations 5 2.2 Probability Distribution with Skewness and Kurtosis 6 2.3 The Valuation of Currency Option & the Martingale Pricing  Method 7 2.4 The Methodology Applied to Incorporate Skewness and Kurtosis 8 2.4.1 Gram-Charlier Series Expansion 8 2.5 Exchange Rate under Stochastic Economy 11 2.6 The Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates 13 2.7 Pricing Currency Options under the CIR Interest Rate Process and Stochastic Volatility 15 Chapter 3 Extended Normal Distribution and Pricing Currency Option under Stochastic Economy 17 3.1 Extended Normal Distribution 17 3.2 Pricing Currency Options under Stochastic Economy 19 Chapter 4 Methodology and Model 28 4.1 Currency Option under Extended Normal Distribution with Two Stochastic Interest Rates 28 4.1.1 The Model 28 4.1.2 The Mean of Natural Logarithm of Underlying Asset Following Extended Normal Distribution under Stochastic Economy 30 4.2 Pricing Currency Option under the CIR Term Structure Model 34 Chapter 5 Numerical Analysis 39 5.1 The Probability Distribution of J function 39 5.2 The Currency Option Value under the CIR Term Structure 41 5.3 Pricing Currency Price with Various Kurtosis and Skewness under 44 the CIR Term Structure 44 5.4 Value Comparison between Extended Model and the Monte Carlo Simulation… 55 Chapter 6 Conclusions and Further Research 58 6.1 Conclusions 58 6.2 Further Research 59 References 61 Appendix 64

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