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研究生: 王志敏
Wang, Chih-Min
論文名稱: 溫室氣體減排政策對國際海運產業的影響評估
Evaluating the Effects of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction Policy on the International Shipping Industry
指導教授: 張瀞之
Chang, Ching-Chih
學位類別: 博士
Doctor
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 交通管理科學系
Department of Transportation and Communication Management Science
論文出版年: 2014
畢業學年度: 103
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 83
中文關鍵詞: 綠色港口政策碳稅碳排放權交易降低船舶污染排放
外文關鍵詞: Green port policy, Carbon tax, Maritime emissions trading, Reduced ship emissions
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  • 本研究主要是辨識實施減少國際海運船舶溫室氣體排放策略的效果,研究目的是藉由建構的評估模式,計算減少船舶溫室氣體排放策略,對於船舶營運成本的影響。在評估以海運市場機制為基礎之海洋碳排放權交易與船舶燃油碳稅,以及綠色港口三種減排策略(包括污染控制區、減速區和岸電裝置),研究結果有三個重要發現,第一、貨櫃船的單位溫室氣體排放(浬公斤/噸)高於同型的散裝船與油輪。第二、實施減少船舶溫室氣體排放的策略,會導致船舶營運成本增加,船舶如果採取降速策略減少排放,藉以降低營運成本所受到的衝擊,只對高速船舶有效。第三、依據策略可行性進行評估,實證發現綠色港口策略對於降低船舶污染排放的效益,較實施碳稅與海洋排放權交易有效。
    研究也確認全球性的減少船舶溫室氣體排放策略,可以提供強有力的激勵,迫使船東採取積極的行動,達到進一步改善燃油效能與降低溫室氣體排放。另外徵收燃油碳稅,由於有固定的稅率,可以預估對於船舶營運的影響程度,因此航運產業易於接受徵收燃油碳稅,而較不願意接受排放總量管制和排放權交易策略,其主要原因為限制國際海運服務與船隊的擴充。此外,區域性國家或政府可在沿岸區域,以綠色港口策略作為首要規劃,推動減少船舶溫室氣體排放,藉以確保海運產業的永續發展。

    This study sought to determine the effectiveness of efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) as a means to curb air pollution produced by shipping and reveal the impact of such environmental policies on shipping costs. We examined market-based policies associated with the maritime emissions trading scheme (METS) as well as carbon tax, and green port policy (including emissions control areas, reduced speed zones, and alternative maritime power). Our results are as follows. First, the unit emission (kilogram-miles per ton) of container ships is higher than that of bulk carriers and tankers. Second, policies aimed at reducing GHGs increase shipping costs and only fast vessels actually benefit from a reduction in speeds. Third, green port policies are more effective than carbon tax and METS with regard to reducing emissions.
    We also determined that implementing GHG reduction at a global level provides a strong incentive for ship owners to take affirmative action to improve fuel efficiency and reduce emissions. Carbon tax appears preferable to METS, due to its provision of price certainty through established rates of taxation. We believe that the shipping industry would respond more favorably to a carbon tax on fuel rather than emissions cap-and-trade schemes, which hinder the development of international sea transport services and the expansion of fleets. Moreover, green port policies reduce the emissions of ships in coastal areas and should therefore be pursued by regional and local governments as a first step in the formulation of strategies to ensure the sustainability of international shipping.

    摘要 I ABSTRACT II TABLE OF CONTENTS III LIST OF TABLE IX LIST OF FIGURES XI CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Background and Motivation1 1.1.1 Seaborne Trade, World Fleet and Emissions from Shipping 1 1.1.2 Options for Reduction of Shipping Emissions 3 1.2 Dissertation Structure 5 1.3 Aims and Purposes 6 1.4 Program and Project 7 CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW 9 2.1 Impacts of shipping emissions 9 2.2 Global Policies for Reduce Shipping Emission 9 2.2.1 Carbon Tax (Maritime fuel levy) 10 2.2.2 Maritime Emissions Trading Scheme 11 2.3 Strategies to Reduce Maritime Shipping Emissions at National and Regional Levels 13 2.3.1. Emission Control Area and Standards for the Content of Sulfur in Fuels 13 2.3.2 Reduced Speed Zone and Limited on Vessel Activities 14 2.3.3 Alternative Maritime Power 14 2.4 Assessment Vessel Emission and Carbon Footprint of Sea Transport 15 2.4.1 Assessing Vessel Emissions 15 2.4.2 Assessing the Carbon Footprint of Sea Transport 18 2.5 Operational and Technological Potential for Reducing Shipping Emissions 19 2.5.1 Technological Strategies 20 2.5.2 Alternative Fuels and Power Sources 21 2.5.3 Operational Management Strategies 22 CHAPTER 3 METHODOLOGY 24 3.1 Assessment of Pollutant Unit Emissions and the Impact of Maritime Emissions Trading in Sea Transport 23 3.1.1 The Evaluation Model of Vessel Emissions. 24 3.1.2 The Modified Evaluation Model of Ship Emissions 25 3.1.3 Assessing the Unit Emissions of Different Maritime Activities 26 3.1.4. The Shipping Cost Evaluation Model 26 3.2 Assessing the Impact of Maritime Trading Scheme on Sea Transport 27 3.2.1 Simulating the Impact of Emissions Trading System on Shipping Costs 27 3.3 Assessment the impact of maritime emissions carbon tax on sea transport. 28 3.3.1 Simulating the Impact of Carbon Tax on Shipping Costs 28 3.3.2 Sensitivity Analysis of the Effect of Mitigating Ship Emissions by Reducing Speed 29 3.3.3 Sensitivity Analysis the Effects of Different Reductions in Speed on Shipping costs 29 3.3.4 Sensitivity Analysis the Impact of Carbon Tax and Reducing Speed on Shipping Costs 30 3.3.5 Sensitivity Analysis of Cost-benefit based on Ship Speed, Fuel Prices, and Time-charter Rates 30 3.4 Evaluating the Effects of Green Port Policy 31 3.4.1 ECA and RSZ Emissions Inventories 31 3.4.2 The Optimization of Ship Speed Reduction in RSZ 33 3.4.3 Assessing the Effect on Shipping Costs 34 CHAPTER 4 EMPIRICAL STUDY-MARKET-BASED MECHANISMS 36 4.1 Evaluating Shipping Emissions and Carbon Footprints 36 4.1.1 Empirical Data 36 4.1.2 Assessing the Carbon Footprint Produced by Maritime Activities 37 4.1.3 Maritime Emissions Assessments for Different Vessel Types and Sizes 40 4.2 Simulating the Impact of Maritime Emissions Trading Scheme 41 4.2.1. Simulating the Impact of Maritime Emissions Trading Prices on Shipping Costs 41 4.2.2 Summary 45 4.3 Assessment the Impact of Maritime Emissions Carbon Tax (Marine Fuel Levy) 46 4.3.1 Simulating the Impact of Carbon Tax on Shipping Costs 46 4.3.2 Sensitivity Analysis of the Effects of Reducing Speed on Mitigating Ship Emissions 47 4.3.3 Simulating the Effect of Reducing Speed to Mitigate the Impact of Carbon Tax 50 4.3.4 Sensitivity Analysis the Effects of Different Reduction in Speed on Operating Costs 51 4.3.5 Sensitivity Analysis the Effects of Carbon Tax and Reducing Speed on Operating Costs 52 4.3.6 Comparing the Effects of Different Carbon Tax Rates and Speed Reductions on Operating Costs 53 4.3.7 Ship Emissions Classification Matrix and Classification of Carbon Tax Rate 57 4.3.8 Assessing the Cost-benefit based on Ship Speed, Fuel Prices, and Time-charter Rates 59 CHAPTER 5 EMPIRICAL STUDY-GREEN PORT POLICY 66 5.1 Inputs for Emissions Calculations: Case Study of Kaohsiung Harbor in Taiwan 66 5.2 ECA and RSZ Emissions Inventories 67 5.3 Assessing the Effects of Switching to Higher Cost Low Sulfur Fuel in ECA 68 5.4 Optimization of Reducing Ship Speed for Mitigating Ship Emissions in RSZ 69 5.5 The Effects of Reducing Speed and Using Alternative Maritime Power on Emissions 70 5.5.1. The Effects of Reducing Speed in RSZ 71 5.5.2. The Effects of Alternative Maritime Power on Reducing Ship Emissions in Port 73 5.5.3. Summary the Effects of Both Strategies on Reducing Ship Emissions 74 5. 6 Summary 76 CHAPTER 6 CONCLUSIONS and FUTURE WORK 77 6.1 Conclusions 77 6.2 Limitations and Future Work 78 References 79

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