簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 陳虹妤
Chen, Hung-Yu
論文名稱: 最小變異數投資法於臺灣50成分股之實證應用
An Application of the Minimum-Variance Investing to the Component Stocks of TWSE Taiwan 50 Index
指導教授: 顏盟峯
Yen, Meng-Feng
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 財務金融研究所碩士在職專班
Graduate Institute of Finance (on the job class)
論文出版年: 2019
畢業學年度: 107
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 30
中文關鍵詞: 最小變異數投資組合五因子模型
外文關鍵詞: Minimum-Variance, portfolio, five factor model
相關次數: 點閱:136下載:0
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 自Markowitz(1952)年的投資組合理論開始,以效率前緣說明效率投資組合的概念及面對固定報酬或風險時的選擇,此後,有關資產配置的研究越來越豐富與多元。而在股票市場中,投資人常過於追求高報酬,容易忽略背後風險的高低,近年來,對於下行風險預測的意識提高,也讓不少民眾選擇轉向較消極的投資策略。台灣股票市場中,2003年台灣50ETF股票上市,該檔股票追蹤台灣50指數的特性,被視為能夠代表市場整體表現大致態樣的一檔股票。為了解最小變異數投資組合,是否能獲得比代表市場的投資組合更優異的表現,本研究比較以台灣50指數成分股,運用最小變異數投資法估計各檔股票的最適權重後,以該權重組合成一投資組合並買進持有,計算利用此方式所得的績效,再與台灣50ETF的績效比較分析二者之間的風險與報酬。研究期間自2003年7月至2019年6月止,共計192個月的歷史資料,樣本為此期間的台灣50ETF及台灣50指數成分股資料。
    實證結果顯示,最小變異數投資法相較於台灣50ETF,不僅投資組合的波動度較低,也有較高的報酬率,此外,單位風險下所能獲得的超額報酬表現亦較佳。因此,以此結果看來,最小變異數投資法可當作台灣股票市場優於市場投資組合的策略。

    Since Modern Portfolio Theory was introduced by Markowitz in 1952, the concept of efficient frontier has been discussed and utilized till nowadays. In the past few decades, both academics and industry practitioners have been searching for a number of investment mandates or products to do the optimal asset allocation. The Taiwan 50 ETF(stock no. 0050), tracks the Taiwan 50 Index, is thought to be a good indication of movement in the Taiwan stock market as a whole. On the other hand, the long-only minimum-variance (MV) investing aims to minimum the portfolio risk is getting a rise in fame.
    This study compare the performance and volatility between the 0050 and the MV portfolio. The constituents of the TWSE Taiwan 50 index serve as the underlying universe for constructing the MV portfolio, and the sample period is from July 2003 to June 2019. Follow the sample Covariance Model demonstrated by Markowitz, we use the components of the 0050 to figure out the optimal weights of each stock that would lead to a minimum variance, and then use the weights found to construct a portfolio, which called the MV portfolio. The results shows the MV portfolio has a lower volatility and a higher return compared to 0050 over the sample period, just as the same concept applied to various markets by previous researchers.

    摘要 I 圖表目錄.....V 第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究背景與動機 1 第二節 研究目的 2 第三節 論文研究架構 4 第二章 文獻探討 5 第一節 Markowitz的現代投資組合理論 5 第二節 資產定價模型回顧 6 第三節 最小變異數投資組合文獻回顧 8 第三章 資料蒐集與研究方法 11 第一節 資料來源與研究樣本 11 第二節 最小變異數投資組合 12 第三節 投資績效指標 13 第四節 市場因子迴歸分析…………………………………………………........................ 14 第四章 實證分析 15 第一節 樣本資料 15 第二節 最小變異數投資組合表現 17 第三節 最小變異數投資組合與市場因子的關聯性 22 第五章 結論 25 第一節 研究結論 25 第二節 對後續研究之建議與未來方向 25 參考文獻....27 附錄...30

    英文文獻
    Ang, A., A. Madhavan, and A. Sobczyk. 2017. “Crowding, Capacity, and Valuation of Minimum Volatility Strategies.” The Journal of Index Investing, 7 (4):41-50.
    Arnott, R. D., Kalesnik, V., Moghtader, P., and Scholl, C. 2010. “Beyond Cap-Weight: The empirical evidence for a diversified beta.” Journal of Indexes, 13 (1):16-31.
    Blitz, D., and P van Vliet. 2007. “The Volatility Effect.” The Journal of Portfolio Management, 34 (1):102-113.
    Baker, M., Bradley, B., and Wurgler, J. 2011. “Benchmarks as Limits to Arbitrage: Understanding the Low-Volatility Anomaly.” Financial Analysts Journal, 67 (1):40-54.
    Bouchey, P., and Nemtchinov, V. 2010, November/December. “Minimum variance strategies: Optimization without Forecasting returns.” Investments & Wealth Monitor, 21-25.
    Chen, A., Pong, E., and Wang, Y. 2018. “Accessing the China A-Shares Market via Minimum-Variance Investing.” The Journal of Portfolio Management, 45 (1):106-117.
    Carhart, M. 1997. “On persistence in mutual fund performance.”, Journal of Finance, 52: 57-82.
    Clarke, R. G., H. de Silva, and Thorley, S. 2006. “Minimum-Variance Portfolios in the U.S. Equity Market.” The Journal of Portfolio Management, 33 (1):10-24.
    Clarke, R. G., H. de Silva, and Thorley, S. 2007. “The Volatility Effect: Lower Risk Without Lower Return.” The Journal of Portfolio Management, 34 (1):102-113.
    Clarke, R. G., H. de Silva, and Thorley, S. 2011. “Minimum-Variance Portfolio Composition.” The Journal of Portfolio Management, 37 (2):31-45.
    Chow, T. M., Kose, E., and Li, F. 2016. “The Impact of Constraints on Minimum-Variance Portfolios.” Financial Analysts Journal, 72 (2):52-70.
    DeMiguel, V., Garlappi, L., and Uppal, R. 2009. “Optimal Versus Naive Diversification: How Inefficient is the 1/N Portfolio Strategy?” The Review of Financial Studies, 22 (5):1915-1953.
    Fama, E., and French, K. 1992. “The cross-section of expected stock returns.” Journal of Finance 47, 427-465.
    Fama, E., and French, K. 1993. “Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds.” Journal of Financial Economics 33, 3-56.
    Fama, E., and French, K. 2015. “A five-factor asset pricing model.” Journal of Financial Economics, 116 (1):1-22.
    Goldberg, L., Leshem, R., and Geddes, P. 2014. “Restoring Value to Minimum Variance.” Journal of Investment Management, 12 (2):32-39.
    Haugen, R. A., and Baker, N. L. 1991. “The efficient market inefficiency of capitalization-weighted stock portfolios.” The Journal of Portfolio Management, 17 (3):35-40.
    Jegadeesh, N., and Titman, S. 1993. “Return to buying winners and selling losers: Implications for stock market efficiency.” Journal of Finance, 48, 65-91.
    Lintner, J. 1965. “The valuation of risk assets and the selection of risky investments in stock portfolios and capital budgets.” Review of Economics and Statistics, 47, 13-37.
    Markowitz, H. 1952. “Portfolio Selection.” The Journal of Finance, 7 (1):77-91.
    Nielsen, F., and Aylursubramanian, R. 2008. “Far From the Madding Crowd* –Volatility Efficient Indices.” MSCI Barra Research.
    Ross, S. 1976. “The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing.” Journal of Economic Theory, 13, 341-360.
    Sharpe, W. 1964. “Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk.” The Journal of Finance, 19 (3):425-442.

    中文文獻
    李振婷,最小變異數投資組合在台灣股市之運用,國立政治大學國際經營與貿易研究所碩士論文,2014。
    張怡婷,台灣股市投資組合績效之比較,國立成功大學財務金融研究所碩士論文,2012。

    無法下載圖示 校內:2024-08-31公開
    校外:不公開
    電子論文尚未授權公開,紙本請查館藏目錄
    QR CODE