| 研究生: |
施宇謙 Shih, Yu-Cian |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
促進系統最大收益之烏山頭水庫目標蓄水位 Target Storages of Wushantou Reservoir to Maximize System Income |
| 指導教授: |
周乃昉
Chou, N.-F Frederick |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
工學院 - 水利及海洋工程學系 Department of Hydraulic & Ocean Engineering |
| 論文出版年: | 2017 |
| 畢業學年度: | 105 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 111 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 供水與發電收益 、水庫聯合運用 、目標蓄水位 、優選法 、模擬法 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | The income of water supply and power generation, Reservoirs of joint operation, Target storages, Optimization, Simulation |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:102 下載:3 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
曾文-烏山頭水庫聯合運用規線僅規定總蓄水量之限水標準,並未設定曾文及烏山頭水庫的個別目標蓄水量,而不同蓄水目標及水庫的蒸發、庫容、輸水等限制影響,有不同的供水能力及發電量,因此,本研究希望透過優選烏山頭水庫不同期間目標蓄水量,致使曾文-烏山頭水庫聯合運用系統有最大收益。
本研究運用Chou與Wu (2010)發展之WRASIM模式建置曾文與烏山頭水庫水源聯合運用模擬系統,先分7個蓄水時期,以窮舉法列舉所有可能的烏山頭水庫目標蓄水位組合,模擬系統自民國64至104年的供需情形,一一比較其收益,再應用廊道搜尋法,逐步縮小搜尋範圍,直至找到最佳的水位組合。另外,利用BOBYQA以El.55m及El.57m為起始解以信賴域1000優選36旬水位,再將信賴域以間距200逐步減量遞減至200進行優選,求解各旬烏山頭水庫最佳蓄水位,使系統有最大收益並與窮舉法及36旬水位皆維持El.58m結果進行比較及探討。
結果顯示,採用BOBYQA優選法烏山頭水庫於第11至15旬優先蓄至水位約El.54m,其他旬優先蓄至約El.58m會有最大系統收益,雖然平均每年減少88.7萬噸供水量,但能增加曾文、烏山頭、西口電廠總發電量496萬度,供水及發電價值平均每年可增加926萬元新台幣之整體收益。
Existing operation rules for the Tsengwen and Wushantou reservoirs are controlled by total available water of both reservoirs without target storage for each reservior. However, evaporatation, capalicity of water deliver, reservoir storage and other factors will lead to the different system income with different target storage for each reservior. Therefore, this reaserch focus on determining the best target storage for Wushantou reservoir with maximum system income by simulation and optimal method.
This reaserch first uses WRASIM developed by Chou and Wu in 2010 to set up joint water resource system of the Tsengwen and Wushantou reservoirs. Then, simulate the system’s daily supply and demand from 1975 to 2015 with enumeration method by list all possible target water level for Wushantou reservoir. Beside, corridor investigation method is applied to decrease the range of investigation for finding the best target water level with maximum system income more efficiently. Finally, BOBYQA optimal method is used to find the best target water level with maximum system income by taking El.55.0m and El.57.0m as initial solution for every 36 ten days.
Reserch shows that, there is the maximum system income in searching by enumeration method when Wushantou reservoir takes El.55.7m from ninth to fourteenth ten days and El.58.0m for other ten days as target water level while Wushantou reservoir takes around El.54.0m from eleventh to fifteenth ten days and around El.58.0m for other ten days as target water level by BOBYQA optimal method. Altough the integalization of optimal solution for BOBYQA decreases 782.2 thousand tons of supply water for average year, it can increase the generation power of SHI-KOU, Tsengwen and Wushantou hydro power plant with total 4.96 million kilowatt-hours for average year. Total income for water supply and generation power is more NT 9.26 million dollars than now for average year.
1.臺灣省曾文水庫建設委員會,「曾文水庫建設誌」,臺灣省曾文水庫建設委員會,臺南(1974)
2.經濟部水利署水利規劃試驗所,「曾文水庫越域引水可行性規劃_專題報告(一)_水源運用研究」(1997)
3.周乃昉、陳家榮、史習安、吳燈燦、顏榮祥,「經濟部水利處南區水資源局所轄蓄水庫、攔河堰最佳經營合理收費模式研究」,臺灣省南區水資源局,臺南(2000)
4.財團法人成大水利研究發展基金會,「翡翠水庫洪水調節運轉作業檢討(一)」,臺北翡翠水庫管理局,臺北(2002)
5.財團法人成大水利研究發展基金會,「翡翠水庫洪水調節運轉作業檢討(二)」,臺北翡翠水庫管理局,臺北(2003)
6.周乃昉、陳祉吟、巫孟璇、鄭子璉、鄭志偉,「台灣省嘉南農田水利會蓄水庫運用要點及水門操作規定修訂」,臺灣嘉南農田水利會,臺南(2003)
7.經濟部水利署水利規劃試驗所,「通用性區域水資源調度與供需分析模式建立(二)」,(2004)
8.周乃昉、吳嘉文、嚴 顥、林政浩,「通用性區域水資源調度與供需分析模式建立(3/3)」,經濟部水利署水利規劃試驗所,臺南(2005)
9.郭得祿、周乃昉,「台南地區自來水最小營運成本之取水策略探討」,碩士論文,國立成功大學水利暨海洋工程研究所,臺南(2006)
10.周乃昉、李皓志、嚴顥、黃明宏、蔡友新、蔡家民、劉曉蕙,「牡丹水庫運用要點檢討」,水利署南區水資源局,臺南(2008)
11.周乃昉、葉克家、古必維、黃紹榮、吳嘉文、李皓志、劉柏傑、廖仲達、劉曉蕙,「為莫拉克颱風後曾文水庫運用要點及水門操作規定之檢討與修訂」,經濟部水利署南區水資源局,臺南(2010)
12.周乃昉,「翡翠水庫因應板新地區二期供水計畫之供水策略與風險評估研究」,臺北翡翠水庫管理局,臺北(2012)
13.南區水資源局,「經濟部水利署南區水資源局自來水股份有限公司曾文水庫供水契約」,經濟部水利署南區水資源局,臺南(2012)
14.南區水資源局,「曾文水庫102年淤積測量報告」,經濟部水利署南區水資源局,臺南(2013)
15.黎明工程顧問股份有限公司,「湖山水庫與集集攔河堰聯合營運操作機制之建立」,水利署中區水資源局,臺中(2014)
16.南區水資源局,「曾文發電廠購售電契約」,經濟部水利署南區水資源局,臺南(2015)
17.周乃昉,「屏東地區地面水與地下水整體聯合運用策略」,科技部,臺南(2015)
18.南區水資源局,「曾文水庫增設防淤隧道後運用要點及水門操作規定檢討修正」,經濟部水利署南區水資源局,臺南(2016)
19.經濟部能源局,「綜合電業收購合格汽電共生系統餘電購電費率」,(2016)
20.Butcher, W. S., A.Sundar,”Optimal Operation of Multi-Reservoir Water Resources Systems,” University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, United States of American (1973)
21.Cheng Chun-tian, Shen Jian-jian, Wu Xin-yu., “Short-term hydro scheduling with discrepant objectives using multi-steps of progressive optimality algorithm,” Journal of the American Water Resources Association, pp.464-479 (2012)
22.Chang, F. J., Chen., Chang., L. C.,”Optimizing the reservoir operating rule curves by genetic algorithms,” Hydrological Processes 19, pp. 2277–2289, (2005)
23.Chaves, P., Chang, F. J.,”Intelligent reservoir operation system based on evolving artificial neural networks,”Advances in Water Resources 31, pp.926–936, (2008)
24.Chen, L., J.McPhee,, W. W.-G.Yeh, “A diversified multi-objective GA for optimizing reservoir rule curves,” Advances in Water Resources 30, pp.1082–1093, (2007)
25.De Ladurantaye, D., M. Gendreau, J. Potvin, “Optimizing profits from hydroelectricity production,” Computers & Operations Research 36, pp. 499 – 529, (2009)
26.Kawabata, A., M. Satoh, V. Vudhivanich, N. Cherdchanpipat, Operation principles of multipurpose reservoirs for stable water supply in the Mae Klong River basin, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan, (2000)
27.Kuiper, E., Water Resources Development, Butterworths, London (1965)
28.Kumar, S., R.Naresh , “Efficient real coded genetic algorithm to solve the non-convex hydrothermal scheduling problem,” Electrical Power and Energy Systems, 29, pp.738–747, (2007)
29.Loucks DP, van Beek E (2005) , “Water resources systems planning and management: an introduction to methods, models and applications,” UNESCO, Paris
30.Miao Shumin, Luo Bin, Shen Jianjian and Cheng Chuntian, “Optimal Operation of Cascade Hydropower Plants in Deregulated Electricity Market: A Case Study of Lancang River in China,” World Environmental and Water Resources Congress (2017)
31.Neelakantan, T. R., N.Pundarikanthan,, “Neural network-based simulation optimization model for reservoir operation,” Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 126(2), pp.57–64 (2000)
32.Powell, M.J.D, “The BOBYQA algorithm for bound constrained optimization without derivatives,” DAMTP (2009)
33.Rohde, F. G., Naparaxawong, “Modified Standard operation rules for reservoirs,” Journal of Hydrology 51, pp.169-177 (1981)
34.Shen Jianjian, Sun Lifei, Cheng Chuntian and Zhang Jun, “Optimal Operations of Hydropower Plants Crossing Provincial Power Grids,” World Environmental and Water Resources Congress (2017)
35.Wei, C. C., Hsu, N. S., “Optimal tree-based release rules for real-time flood control operations on a multipurpose multireservoir system,” Journal of Hydrology 365, pp. 213–224, (2009)
36.Wurbs, R. A,”Reservoir-System Simulation and Optimization Models,” Journal of Water Resources. Planning and Management. 119(4), pp. 455-472, (1993)
37.Wurbs, R. A.,”Modeling river/reservoir system management, water allocation, and supply reliability,” Journal of Hydrology 300, pp.100–113, (2005)
38.Zhao, Zhipeng, Shen Jianjian, Cheng Chuntian, Guo Youan and Wang Yuqian, “Multi-Objective Optimization of Multi-Reservoir Operation Rules with Controlling Critical Water Levels,” World Environmental and Water Resources Congress, (2017)