簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 劉韋彤
Liou, Wei-Tong
論文名稱: 結合可解釋深度學習與診斷代理人之設備健康監測方法與技術研發
Development of Equipment Health Monitoring Methods and Technologies Integrating Explainable Deep Learning and Diagnostic Agents
指導教授: 陳裕民
Chen, Yuh-Min
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 電機資訊學院 - 製造資訊與系統研究所
Institute of Manufacturing Information and Systems
論文出版年: 2026
畢業學年度: 114
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 95
中文關鍵詞: 設備健康監測軸承故障診斷深度學習可解釋人工智慧剩餘使用壽命診斷代理人
外文關鍵詞: Equipment health monitoring, Bearing fault diagnosis, Deep learning, Explainable AI, Remaining useful life, Diagnostic agent
相關次數: 點閱:35下載:0
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 在智慧製造與預測性維護發展下,設備健康監測已不僅是判斷異常,更需將模型結果轉換為可追溯、可檢查且具維護意義的診斷資訊。軸承振動訊號具有高頻、非平穩與局部衝擊等特性,傳統閾值與人工經驗難以穩定處理長期退化;深度學習模型雖能提升故障辨識與RUL預測能力,但若僅輸出故障標籤或數值,仍難以支援實際維護決策。
    本研究建構一套結合可解釋深度學習與診斷代理人之軸承設備健康監測方法,以CWRU與XJTU-SY軸承資料集為基礎,透過統一前處理、故障分類、RUL預測、事件融合、XAI證據、FMEA概念圖譜、維修文件檢索與歷史案例檢索,將視窗層級模型輸出彙整為具時間脈絡與來源依據的監測事件。大型語言模型代理人在本系統中不重新判斷故障類別或RUL,而是在固定模型事實與引用來源限制下,生成診斷摘要、檢查建議與維護方向。
    實驗結果顯示,TCN-Attention於故障分類任務中取得最佳表現,Macro-F1達0.9614。RUL預測方面,採用工程特徵序列的Causal TCN將minute MAE由236.90分鐘降低至147.72分鐘,改善幅度約37.64%。事件融合於11顆XJTU-SY軸承、共6,013個資料擷取批次中皆成功形成監測事件,事件召回率為1.000,篩選後故障正確率亦為1.000。診斷代理人經契約式後處理後,JSON物件輸出率、固定事實保留率與引用來源白名單有效率皆達0.95。
    本研究將深度學習模型輸出由單一判斷提升為具事件脈絡、模型證據、知識來源與受控回應的診斷資訊流程。透過事件融合、XAI與檢索式知識支援,系統可協助維護人員理解異常形成原因、檢視模型依據,並取得具來源限制的維護建議,為後續即時監控與人機協同PHM系統奠定基礎。

    This study develops an equipment health monitoring method for rolling bearing diagnosis by integrating explainable deep learning, event-level evidence fusion, maintenance knowledge retrieval, and a controlled diagnostic agent. Conventional condition monitoring methods often rely on fixed thresholds or isolated model outputs, which are insufficient for supporting maintenance decisions when vibration signals are non-stationary, noisy, and degradation-dependent. To address this issue, this study uses CWRU and XJTU-SY bearing datasets to construct a workflow covering unified preprocessing, fault classification, remaining useful life prediction, anomaly event fusion, explainable artificial intelligence evidence, FMEA-based knowledge representation, retrieval-augmented maintenance information, and diagnostic report generation. Experimental results show that TCN-Attention achieves the best fault classification performance, with a Macro-F1 score of 0.9614. For RUL prediction, the Causal TCN using engineered feature sequences reduces minute MAE from 236.90 to 147.72 minutes. The event fusion mechanism was evaluated using 6,013 acquisition batches from 11 XJTU-SY bearings. Monitoring events were successfully formed for all 11 bearings, yielding an event recall of 1.000 and a filtered fault accuracy of 1.000. After deterministic contract postprocessing, the valid JSON-object output rate, immutable fact preservation rate, and citation allowlist validity all reached 0.95. These results indicate that the proposed method can transform model outputs into traceable, explainable, and reviewable diagnostic information for maintenance decision support.

    第一章 緒論 1 1.1 研究背景 1 1.2 研究動機 2 1.3 研究目的 4 1.4 研究項目與方法 5 1.5 研究問題 6 1.6 研究步驟 7 第二章 文獻探討 9 2.1 研究領域文獻探討 9 2.1.1 預測性維護與 PHM 9 2.1.2 軸承振動訊號與公開資料集 10 2.2 相關技術文獻探討 12 2.2.1 深度學習故障診斷模型 12 2.2.2 RUL 預測與時序退化模型 13 2.2.3 可解釋性與模型證據 14 2.3 類似研究與應用整合文獻探討 15 2.3.1 FMEA、知識圖譜與 RAG 15 2.3.2 大型語言模型於設備診斷代理人 16 2.3.3 相關研究比較與研究缺口 17 第三章 設備健康監測與診斷代理人之方法設計 18 3.1 系統需求、應用情境與研究邊界 18 3.1.1 設備資料輸入與日常運作流程 18 3.1.2 故障分類、RUL 與資料集角色 19 3.1.3 使用者與診斷資訊需求 19 3.2 整體方法與系統架構 20 3.2.1 分層架構與功能邊界 20 3.2.2 事件證據與資料追溯 21 3.2.3 系統觸發時序與資料狀態 22 3.3 健康監測方法設計 23 3.3.1 兩階段異常確認與故障判定 23 3.3.2 RUL 與時間風險 23 3.3.3 XAI 與工程條件 24 3.4 維修知識檢索與診斷代理人設計 25 3.4.1 FMEA 概念圖譜 25 3.4.2 Manual RAG 26 3.4.3 Case RAG 26 3.4.4 多來源證據協調 27 3.4.5 單一主協調代理人與輸出控制 27 3.5 本章小結 29 第四章 設備健康監測系統與診斷代理人技術開發 30 4.1 開發環境、資料來源與模組配置 30 4.1.1 資料來源與任務用途 30 4.1.2 功能模組與技術內容 30 4.2 資料前處理、標籤與來源追蹤 31 4.2.1 重採樣與訊號視窗建構 31 4.2.2 分類與 RUL 標籤策略 32 4.2.3 資料擷取批次 32 4.3 故障分類模組開發 33 4.3.1 比較模型 33 4.3.2 訓練目標與輸出 34 4.3.3 批次摘要與兩階段診斷 34 4.4 RUL 預測模組開發 35 4.4.1 批次特徵與因果序列 36 4.4.2 Causal TCN 與輸出策略 36 4.5 特徵異常偵測與事件融合開發 37 4.5.1 特徵集合與穩健基準 37 4.5.2 時間平滑與警示門檻 37 4.5.3 事件形成與狀態更新 38 4.6 XAI 與工程證據 38 4.6.1 Attention 與 Integrated Gradients 39 4.6.2 物理頻率與一致性限制 39 4.7 FMEA、Manual RAG 與 Case RAG 開發 40 4.7.1 FMEA 概念圖譜 40 4.7.2 Manual RAG 41 4.7.3 Case RAG 41 4.8 診斷代理人與輸出控制開發 41 4.8.1 單一主協調器與工具邊界 42 4.8.2 證據套件與事件證據圖 42 4.8.3 後處理與備援 43 4.9 資料庫、API 與監測儀表板整合 43 4.9.1 Schema 與 SQLite 44 4.9.2 歷史重播、FastAPI 與 WebSocket 44 4.9.3 監測儀表板與對話 45 4.9.4 使用者評估設計 46 第五章 診斷代理人系統整合與實驗驗證 48 5.1 實驗資料與評估指標 48 5.2 軸承故障狀態辨識方法評估 49 5.3 剩餘使用壽命預測方法評估 52 5.4 異常事件融合與 XAI 證據評估 53 5.5 維修知識與 RAG 檢索評估 56 5.5.1 FMEA、Manual RAG 與 Case RAG 檢索結果 57 5.6 診斷代理人整合與輸出可靠性評估 57 5.6.1 診斷資訊整合與評估結果 58 5.6.2 Structured-CoT Adapter 與輸出可靠性評估 58 5.6.3 結果討論 60 5.7 系統介面展示與診斷代理人互動說明 62 5.8 本章小結 64 第六章 結論與討論 65 6.1 研究結論 65 6.2 研究發現與討論 67 6.2.1 任務特性與資料表徵之關係 67 6.2.2 視窗層推論與事件層監控之資訊尺度 68 6.2.3 診斷代理人的生成控制與工程可靠性 69 6.3 研究貢獻 69 6.4 研究限制 71 6.5 未來研究方向 72 參考文獻 73

    Bahdanau, D., Cho, K., & Bengio, Y. (2014). Neural machine translation by jointly learning to align and translate [Preprint]. arXiv. https://arxiv.org/abs/1409.0473
    Bai, S., Kolter, J. Z., & Koltun, V. (2018). An empirical evaluation of generic convolutional and recurrent networks for sequence modeling [Preprint]. arXiv. https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.01271
    Borré, A., Seman, L. O., Camponogara, E., Stefenon, S. F., Mariani, V. C., & Coelho, L. S. (2023). Machine fault detection using a hybrid CNN-LSTM attention-based model. Sensors, 23(9), Article 4512. https://doi.org/10.3390/s23094512
    Brehme, L., Dornauer, B., Ströhle, T., Ehrhart, M., & Breu, R. (2025). Retrieval-augmented generation in industry: An interview study on use cases, requirements, challenges, and evaluation. In Proceedings of the 17th International Joint Conference on Knowledge Discovery, Knowledge Engineering and Knowledge Management (pp. 110–122). SCITEPRESS. https://doi.org/10.5220/0013739500004000
    Cação, J., Santos, J., & Antunes, M. (2025). Explainable AI for industrial fault diagnosis: A systematic review. Journal of Industrial Information Integration, 47, Article 100905. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jii.2025.100905
    Case Western Reserve University Bearing Data Center. (n.d.). Welcome to the Case Western Reserve University Bearing Data Center website. Retrieved August 2, 2026, from https://engineering.case.edu/bearingdatacenter/welcome
    Cha, M., Yoon, S.-I., Kim, S., Kang, D., Nam, K., Lee, T., & Kim, J.-Y. (2025). Large language model-based autonomous agent for prognostics and health management. Machines, 13(9), Article 831. https://doi.org/10.3390/machines13090831
    Chen, L.-C., Pardeshi, M. S., Liao, Y.-X., & Pai, K.-C. (2025). Application of retrieval-augmented generation for interactive industrial knowledge management via a large language model. Computer Standards & Interfaces, 94, Article 103995. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csi.2025.103995
    Cho, K., van Merriënboer, B., Bahdanau, D., & Bengio, Y. (2014). On the properties of neural machine translation: Encoder-decoder approaches. In Proceedings of SSST-8, Eighth Workshop on Syntax, Semantics and Structure in Statistical Translation (pp. 103–111). Association for Computational Linguistics. https://doi.org/10.3115/v1/W14-4012
    Deng, H., Namoano, B., Zheng, B., Khan, S., & Erkoyuncu, J. A. (2024). From prediction to prescription: Large language model agent for context-aware maintenance decision support. PHM Society European Conference, 8(1), Article 10. https://doi.org/10.36001/phme.2024.v8i1.4114
    Es, S., James, J., Espinosa-Anke, L., & Schockaert, S. (2024). RAGAs: Automated evaluation of retrieval augmented generation. In Proceedings of the 18th Conference of the European Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics: System Demonstrations (pp. 150–158). Association for Computational Linguistics. https://doi.org/10.18653/v1/2024.eacl-demo.16
    International Organization for Standardization. (2003). Condition monitoring and diagnostics of machines—Data processing, communication and presentation—Part 1: General guidelines (ISO Standard No. 13374-1:2003). https://www.iso.org/standard/21832.html
    International Organization for Standardization. (2015). Condition monitoring and diagnostics of machine systems—Data processing, communication and presentation—Part 4: Presentation (ISO Standard No. 13374-4:2015). https://www.iso.org/standard/54933.html
    Jardine, A. K. S., Lin, D., & Banjevic, D. (2006). A review on machinery diagnostics and prognostics implementing condition-based maintenance. Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 20(7), 1483–1510. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ymssp.2005.09.012
    Jiang, L., Chen, J., Cao, H., Li, P., & Wang, K. (2025). A novel bearing fault diagnosis method using a hybrid TCN-transformer architecture: A deep learning approach. Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology, 39, 3821–3834. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12206-025-0607-5
    Kamat, P., Kumar, S., Patil, S., & Kotecha, K. (2024). Anomaly-informed remaining useful life estimation (AIRULE) of bearing machinery using deep learning framework. MethodsX, 12, Article 102555. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mex.2024.102555
    Khan, U., Cheng, D. S., Setti, F., Fummi, F., Cristani, M., & Capogrosso, L. (2026). A comprehensive survey on deep learning-based predictive maintenance. ACM Transactions on Embedded Computing Systems, 25(2), 1–43. https://doi.org/10.1145/3732287
    Lee, J., Wu, F., Zhao, W., Ghaffari, M., Liao, L., & Siegel, D. (2014). Prognostics and health management design for rotary machinery systems—Reviews, methodology and applications. Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 42(1–2), 314–334. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ymssp.2013.06.004
    Lei, Y., Li, N., Guo, L., Li, N., Yan, T., & Lin, J. (2018). Machinery health prognostics: A systematic review from data acquisition to RUL prediction. Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 104, 799–834. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ymssp.2017.11.016
    Lewis, P., Perez, E., Piktus, A., Petroni, F., Karpukhin, V., Goyal, N., Küttler, H., Lewis, M., Yih, W.-T., Rocktäschel, T., Riedel, S., & Kiela, D. (2020). Retrieval-augmented generation for knowledge-intensive NLP tasks. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 33, 9459–9474. https://proceedings.neurips.cc/paper_files/paper/2020/hash/6b493230205f780e1bc26945df7481e5-Abstract.html
    Li, R., Verhagen, W. J. C., & Curran, R. (2020). A systematic methodology for prognostic and health management system architecture definition. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 193, Article 106598. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2019.106598
    Li, Y., Zhao, H., Jiang, H., Pan, Y., Liu, Z., Wu, Z., Shu, P., Tian, J., Yang, T., Xu, S., Lyu, Y., Blenk, P., Pence, J., Rupram, J., Banu, E., Song, K., Zhu, D., Wang, X., & Liu, T. (2026). Large language models for manufacturing. Journal of Manufacturing Systems, 86, 516–545. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmsy.2026.02.014
    Li, Y.-F., Wang, H., & Sun, M. (2024). ChatGPT-like large-scale foundation models for prognostics and health management: A survey and roadmaps. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 243, Article 109850. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2023.109850
    Li, Z., He, Q., & Li, J. (2024). A survey of deep learning-driven architecture for predictive maintenance. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 133, Article 108285. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engappai.2024.108285
    Liang, Y., Mao, W., & Wu, C. (2025). Unsupervised incremental transfer learning with knowledge distillation for online remaining useful life prediction of rotating machinery. Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability, 239(1), 15–30. https://doi.org/10.1177/1748006X231223777
    Lin, L., Zhang, S., Fu, S., & Liu, Y. (2025). FD-LLM: Large language model for fault diagnosis of complex equipment. Advanced Engineering Informatics, 65(Part A), Article 103208. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aei.2025.103208
    Liu, H., Zhang, F., Tan, Y., Huang, L., Li, Y., Huang, G., Luo, S., & Zeng, A. (2024). Multi-scale quaternion CNN and BiGRU with cross self-attention feature fusion for fault diagnosis of bearing. Measurement Science and Technology, 35(8), Article 086138. https://doi.org/10.1088/1361-6501/ad4c8e
    Liu, Y., Zhang, W., Bao, Z., Chai, X., Gu, M., Jiang, W., Zhang, Z., Tian, Y., & Wang, F.-Y. (2025). Brain-like cognition-driven model factory for IIoT fault diagnosis by combining LLMs with small models. IEEE Internet of Things Journal, 12(16), 32296–32309. https://doi.org/10.1109/JIOT.2024.3503274
    Lukens, S., & Ali, A. (2023). Evaluating the performance of ChatGPT in the automation of maintenance recommendations for prognostics and health management. Annual Conference of the PHM Society, 15(1). https://doi.org/10.36001/phmconf.2023.v15i1.3487
    Lukens, S., McCabe, L. H., Gen, J., & Ali, A. (2024). Large language model agents as prognostics and health management copilots. Annual Conference of the PHM Society, 16(1). https://doi.org/10.36001/phmconf.2024.v16i1.3906
    Lundberg, S. M., & Lee, S.-I. (2017). A unified approach to interpreting model predictions. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 30, 4765–4774. https://proceedings.neurips.cc/paper_files/paper/2017/hash/8a20a8621978632d76c43dfd28b67767-Abstract.html
    Moenks, N., Penava, P., & Buettner, R. (2025). A systematic literature review of large language model applications in industry. IEEE Access, 13, 160010–160033. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2025.3608650
    Mohd Ghazali, M. H., & Rahiman, W. (2021). Vibration analysis for machine monitoring and diagnosis: A systematic review. Shock and Vibration, 2021, Article 9469318. https://doi.org/10.1155/2021/9469318
    Mustapha, K. B. (2025). A survey of emerging applications of large language models for problems in mechanics, product design, and manufacturing. Advanced Engineering Informatics, 64, Article 103066. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aei.2024.103066
    Nikiforidis, K., Kyrtsoglou, A., Vafeiadis, T., Kotsiopoulos, T., Nizamis, A., Ioannidis, D., Votis, K., Tzovaras, D., & Sarigiannidis, P. (2025). Enhancing transparency and trust in AI-powered manufacturing: A survey of explainable AI (XAI) applications in smart manufacturing in the era of Industry 4.0/5.0. ICT Express, 11(1), 135–148. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.icte.2024.12.001
    Noot, J.-P., Martin, M., & Birmele, E. (2025). LSTM and transformers based methods for remaining useful life prediction considering censored data. International Journal of Prognostics and Health Management, 16(2). https://doi.org/10.36001/IJPHM.2025.v16i2.4260
    Nunes, P., Santos, J., & Rocha, E. (2023). Challenges in predictive maintenance: A review. CIRP Journal of Manufacturing Science and Technology, 40, 53–67. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cirpj.2022.11.004
    Pan, Y., Kang, S., Kong, L., Wu, J., Yang, Y., & Zuo, H. (2025). Remaining useful life prediction methods of equipment components based on deep learning for sustainable manufacturing: A literature review. Artificial Intelligence for Engineering Design, Analysis and Manufacturing, 39, Article e4. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0890060424000271
    Randall, R. B., & Antoni, J. (2011). Rolling element bearing diagnostics—A tutorial. Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 25(2), 485–520. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ymssp.2010.07.017
    Ribeiro, M. T., Singh, S., & Guestrin, C. (2016). “Why should I trust you?”: Explaining the predictions of any classifier. In Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (pp. 1135–1144). Association for Computing Machinery. https://doi.org/10.1145/2939672.2939778
    Shi, D., Li, J., Meyer, O., & Bauernhansl, T. (2025). Enhancing retrieval-augmented generation for interoperable industrial knowledge representation and inference toward cognitive digital twins. Computers in Industry, 171, Article 104330. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compind.2025.104330
    Smith, W. A., & Randall, R. B. (2015). Rolling element bearing diagnostics using the Case Western Reserve University data: A benchmark study. Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 64–65, 100–131. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ymssp.2015.04.021
    Sundararajan, M., Taly, A., & Yan, Q. (2017). Axiomatic attribution for deep networks. In D. Precup & Y. W. Teh (Eds.), Proceedings of the 34th International Conference on Machine Learning (Vol. 70, pp. 3319–3328). PMLR. https://proceedings.mlr.press/v70/sundararajan17a.html
    Vaswani, A., Shazeer, N., Parmar, N., Uszkoreit, J., Jones, L., Gomez, A. N., Kaiser, Ł., & Polosukhin, I. (2017). Attention is all you need. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 30, 5998–6008. https://proceedings.neurips.cc/paper_files/paper/2017/hash/3f5ee243547dee91fbd053c1c4a845aa-Abstract.html
    Vogl, G. W., Weiss, B. A., & Helu, M. (2019). A review of diagnostic and prognostic capabilities and best practices for manufacturing. Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, 30(1), 79–95. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10845-016-1228-8
    Wang, B., Lei, Y., Li, N., & Li, N. (2020a). A hybrid prognostics approach for estimating remaining useful life of rolling element bearings. IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 69(1), 401–412. https://doi.org/10.1109/TR.2018.2882682
    Wang, B., Lei, Y., Yan, T., Li, N., & Guo, L. (2020b). Recurrent convolutional neural network: A new framework for remaining useful life prediction of machinery. Neurocomputing, 379, 117–129. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neucom.2019.10.064
    Wang, L., Ma, C., Feng, X., Zhang, Z., Yang, H., Zhang, J., Chen, Z., Tang, J., Chen, X., Lin, Y., Zhao, W. X., Wei, Z., & Wen, J.-R. (2024). A survey on large language model-based autonomous agents. Frontiers of Computer Science, 18(6), Article 186345. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11704-024-40231-1
    Wang, T., Zhang, B., Jiang, D., & Li, D. (2025). A multimodal large language model framework for intelligent perception and decision-making in smart manufacturing. Sensors, 25(10), Article 3072. https://doi.org/10.3390/s25103072
    Wen, Y., Rahman, M. F., Xu, H., & Tseng, T.-L. B. (2022). Recent advances and trends of predictive maintenance from data-driven machine prognostics perspective. Measurement, 187, Article 110276. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.measurement.2021.110276
    Zhang, W., Peng, G., Li, C., Chen, Y., & Zhang, Z. (2017). A new deep learning model for fault diagnosis with good anti-noise and domain adaptation ability on raw vibration signals. Sensors, 17(2), Article 425. https://doi.org/10.3390/s17020425
    Zhao, R., Yan, R., Chen, Z., Mao, K., Wang, P., & Gao, R. X. (2019). Deep learning and its applications to machine health monitoring. Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 115, 213–237. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ymssp.2018.05.050
    Zhou, R., Gebraeel, N., & Serban, N. (2012). Degradation modeling and monitoring of truncated degradation signals. IIE Transactions, 44(9), 793–803. https://doi.org/10.1080/0740817X.2011.618175
    Zio, E. (2022). Prognostics and health management (PHM): Where are we and where do we (need to) go in theory and practice. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 218, Article 108119. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2021.108119

    下載圖示
    校外:立即公開
    QR CODE