台灣誘發山崩的主要因子為重大地震及高強度降雨兩種，尤其在1999年發生台灣百年來最大的集集地震，不但造成嚴重崩塌，震後土石鬆動使後續的颱風事件伴隨高強度降雨亦造成更多崩塌災害。
以集集地震為例，本文研究該次地震地表擾動對於後續降雨引發山崩之影響。利用集集地震引發山崩潛勢模型作為地震之殘餘影響，以此模型推估不同時間內降雨誘發之山崩，藉由預測正確率曲線觀察地震力的影響。接著利用颱風引發之山崩建立降雨引發山崩潛勢模型，藉由山崩影響因子的顯著性變遷過程，及模型選入的相關因子，評估地震力於每次強降雨引發山崩之影響性。本研究將山區地形起伏所導致之地震強度放大現象，利用三維波傳模型計算考慮地形效應之地震強度參數Arias Intensity(Ia)，結合地質、地形、區位、地表覆蓋與地震力，並利用邏輯斯迴歸分析山崩潛勢模型。利用地震引發山崩模型推估颱風誘發山崩，由預測正確率曲線顯示，桃芝颱風有高達92.17%之預測正確率，證實地震對於後續颱風引致山崩的顯著影響力；而在預估2004年敏督利颱風之預測率降為76.45%，顯示地震力影響會逐年衰減。以此衰減特性可推估，集集地震影響後續降雨引發山崩，短時間內有顯著的影響，然此影響持續至10年後，2009年莫拉克颱風已幾乎與地震引發山崩潛勢模型無相關。另外，地震前後降雨引發山崩潛勢分析中，利用各因子對於山崩事件之顯著性檢定，以及震前與震後之模式選定之因子之轉變，亦可作為地震事件對於山崩影響衰減的佐證之一。

Major factors that trigger landslides in Taiwan are seismic events and heavy rainfall. The Chi-Chi earthquake in 1999 was the most largest in a century. It triggered severe coseismic landslides and disturbed the ground surface, which led to subsequent typhoons with heavy rainfall triggering more landslides. Using the Chi-Chi earthquake as a case study, this research discusses the effect of ground disruption after major seismic events on subsequent typhoon-induced landslides. Landslides triggered by major earthquakes are used to develop an earthquake-induced landslide model. The model is validated using landslides triggered by typhoons after an earthquake. The effect of the earthquake is measured using the accuracy curves method. Landslides triggered by typhoons are then used to develop a rainfall-induced landslide model. The model results before and after the Chi-Chi earthquake are used to estimate the influence of seismic events on rainfall-induced landslides. Earthquake-induced landslide hazards are studied using seismic shaking intensity based on the topographic amplification effect. A set of independent parameters, including lithology, elevation, slope gradient, slope aspect, terrain roughness, land use, and Arias intensity (Ia) with the topographic effect are used. The models are then validated using landslides triggered by typhoons Toraji and Mindulle The prediction accuracy for the former was 92.17% and that for the latter was 76.45%. The landslides in 2009 have little correlation with the earthquake-induced landslide model. Nevertheless, after a period of 10 years, the Chi-Chi earthquake still affects landslides in the study area. The attenuation of the effect of earthquakes on rainfall-induced landslides is confirmed.

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