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研究生: 林佳蓁
Lin, Jia-Jhen
論文名稱: 球隊的球員異動,對球隊股價的影響
Market Reactions to Turnover of Sports Teams
指導教授: 張紹基
Chang, Shao-Chi
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 國際企業研究所
Institute of International Business
論文出版年: 2009
畢業學年度: 97
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 49
中文關鍵詞: 市場反應球員異動球隊股價事件影響
外文關鍵詞: player turnover, information effects, team stocks, market reactions
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  • 球隊為了建設新球場或取得更好球員,往往會靠著發行股票以籌募資金,因此我們推論球員異動可視為影響球隊股價的重要因素之一。之前的研究指出,球隊的球員平均表現、得獎數目、平均年齡等變數,對球隊勝率有顯著影響;此外,球隊勝率對於球隊收入、ROA、甚至球隊股價也有顯著正向影響。本篇研究主要在探討球員異動時,哪些的球員變數將會影響球隊股價。
    本篇研究使用事件研究法,選取Boston Celtics及Cleveland Indians的人員異動新聞作為研究樣本,共使用84筆球員加入與68筆球員離開資料,並取球員異動日前後兩天累積異常報酬作為應變數。研究結果顯示,當球員加入時,加入球員在前一完整球季(P1)與前三完整球季(P3)的得獎數目,將顯著正向影響球隊累積異常報酬;加入球員在前一球季的出賽時間(NWT)與球員所擁有的知識(EX),對球隊累積異常報酬也有影響,但結果是不穩定的。當球員離開時,棒球球員的異動所帶來的衝擊會顯著大於籃球球員;至於球員變數方面,只有離開球員在前一完整球季的表現數據(STATS1),會顯著負向影響球隊累積異常報酬。
    由於本研究選用北美球隊作為研究樣本,然而北美運動的上市球隊較少,造成本研究樣本數量太少,可能導致結果的誤差或不顯著。建議未來研究可以選取歐洲足球作為研究樣本。另外,本研究的相關文獻較少,因此可能有許多其他沒考量到的變數、或是有其他更好的變數衡量方式,建議未來研究可朝此方向改進。

    When sports teams want to purchase playing staff or to construct new playing facilities, they can issue stocks to raise money. For this reason, I infer that the player turnover decision may affect the team stock return. Previous studies show that the team average performance statistics, the number of prize gaining, or the average age of the team players will significantly affect the team performance. Moreover, the team performance will be positively related to the team revenue, ROA, and the team stock return. This study mainly explores the relations between the team player turnover and the market reactions.
    There are 84 player joining events and 68 player leaving events of Boston Celtics and Cleveland Indians in this study. The empirical results show that when players join a team, the number of prize they gained will significantly and positively affect the cumulated abnormal return. The number of games the player played before and the knowledge the player owed will also affect the stock return; however, both of them are not stable factors. When players leave a team, the performance statistics will be the only factor that affects the cumulated abnormal return.
    There are two limitations in this study. First, the small size data may lead to a bias and insignificant result. The future research can focus on the soccer teams in Europe because there are lots of soccer teams which issue stocks. Second, there may be some other factors that will affect the team stock return when player turnover happened. Moreover, future research can try to modify the measurement of each factor in this study.

    Chapter 1 Introduction 1 Chapter 2 Literature Review 5 2.1 The motivation for teams to issue stocks 5 2.2 How team performance affects the stock price 5 2.3 Team performance does matter! 7 2.3.1 Team performance affects the revenue 7 2.3.2 Team performance affects stock return 7 2.4 Turnover does matter! 8 2.4.1 Turnover affects team performance 8 2.4.2 Turnover affects revenue and stock return 8 2.5 Hypothesis 9 2.5.1 The impact of the turnover 9 2.5.2 The player performance 11 2.5.3 The experience of the player 13 Chapter 3 Data and Methodology 15 3.1 Analysis data 15 3.1.1 Player information 15 3.1.2 Turnover news 16 3.1.3 Stock return 16 3.2 Measuring the control variables 16 3.2.1 Stock market index 17 3.2.2 Game result 17 3.3 Measuring the independent variables 18 3.3.1 The impact of the turnover 18 3.3.2 The player performance 21 3.3.3 The experience of the player 24 3.4 Measuring the dependent variable 25 3.5 Empirical model 25 Chapter 4 Empirical Results 26 4.1 Data Description 26 4.1.1 News collection 26 4.1.2 Announcement effect of turnover news 27 4.1.3 Summary statistics 30 4.2 Empirical Results 34 4.2.1 The results of player joining 34 4.2.2 The results of player leaving 36 4.2.3 The discussion of player joining and leaving 36 Chapter 5 Conclusion 40 Reference 43 APPENDIX A 45 APPENDIX A (Cont’d) 46 APPENDIX B 47 APPENDIX C 48 APPENDIX C (Cont’d) 49

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    2010-06-23公開
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