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研究生: 姚國樑
Yao, Kuo-Liang
論文名稱: 人力資本、分析師盈餘預測與公司價值
Human Capital, Analyst Earnings Forecast and Corporate Value
指導教授: 周庭楷
Chou, Tin-Kai
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 高階管理碩士在職專班(EMBA)
Executive Master of Business Administration (EMBA)
論文出版年: 2021
畢業學年度: 109
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 23
中文關鍵詞: 人力資本企業價值分析師盈餘預測
外文關鍵詞: human capital, corporate value, analyst’s earnings forecast
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  • 本研究試圖探討人力資本與公司價值之關聯性,以及探討透過分析師推薦是否充分影響對市場投資者的意涵。本研究以2000年至2019年間的所有美國上市公司為樣本,實證結果顯示公司的人力資本投入與分析師盈餘預測間存在正向關係,代表分析師在評估未來的盈餘時會參考人力資本的規模。再者,公司的人力資本投入與公司價值間存在正向關係,代表市場對於公司的人力資本給予正面評價。最後,實證結果顯示公司的人力資本資源部分要透過分析師發佈的盈餘預測來反應到股價,亦即分析師的盈餘預測部分中介了人力資本與公司價值之間的關係。

    This research investigates the impact of human capital on corporate value, and explores whether earnings forecasts of analysts can mediate the relationship between human capital and firm value. The empirical analysis is based on all U.S. listed companies’ data from 2000 to 2019 as a sample. The results show that there is a positive connection between company’s human capital investment and their earnings prediction from analysts, which means that analysts will refer to the scale of human capital investment when they evaluate the company’s future earnings. As a conclusion analysts play the roles to reflect company’s human capital investment are parts of company’s value and price in the stock market.

    摘要 i Summary ii 誌謝 vi 目錄 vii 表目錄 viii 第一章 緒論 1 第二章 文獻回顧與研究假說 2 第一節 人力資本 3 第二節 分析師與工作績效 4 第三節 分析師建議對人力資本的中介作用 5 第三章 研究設計 6 第一節 實證模型 – 檢驗假說一 7 第二節 實證模型 – 檢驗假說二 8 第三節 資料來源與樣本選取 9 第四章 研究分析與結果 10 第一節 敘述性分析 10 第二節 相關係數檢定 12 第三節 實證結果分析 15 第五章 結論與建議 18 參考文獻 19 表目錄 表1 實證模型敘述性統計 11 表2 實證模型相關係數表 13 表3 分析師盈餘預測與人力資本關聯性之迴歸結果 15 表4 股價與人力資本關聯性關聯性之迴歸結果 16 表5 股價與人力資本加入分析師預測關聯性之迴歸結果 17

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