| 研究生: |
李紀賢 Li, Chi-Hsien |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
盈餘由負轉正之資訊內涵及與盈餘管理之關聯性研究 |
| 指導教授: |
王萬成
Wang, Wann-Cherng |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 會計學系 Department of Accountancy |
| 論文出版年: | 2005 |
| 畢業學年度: | 93 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 98 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 盈餘資訊內涵,盈餘管理。 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | the informativeness of earnings, earnings management. |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:62 下載:4 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
自從Ball and Brown(1968)證實盈餘與股票的報酬具有正相關,盈餘反應係數研究即成為財務會計研究的主流,但是卻也發現盈餘反應係數有偏低的現象,其中一個原因即是負盈餘的存在。根據Hayn(1995)研究損失公司之資訊內涵發現,當公司報導的盈餘在某一水準以上時,盈餘與公司價值之間的關係會存在高度的相關;反之,當公司報導的盈餘在某一水準以下時,則盈餘與公司價值的關係趨近於零。本研究延伸前人關於盈餘資訊內涵之探討,進一步了解當公司盈餘由負轉正時,是否會產生資訊內涵。因此,本研究之第一個目的係針對宣告正盈餘之公司,尤其是以前具有負盈餘持續性(持續虧損)之公司,探討其正盈餘宣告是否具有資訊內涵。本研究之另一個目的,即在探討管理當局是否會為了避免虧損或盈餘下降,而針對當年度之盈餘進行操縱。
本研究期間是以1981年至2003年,排除金融保險業之台灣上市公司為研究對象。本研究採關聯性研究,針對以前是負盈餘但今年宣告正盈餘公司之平減後累計至當年度盈餘(Epr)與股票報酬進行迴歸分析。首先探討公司以前是負盈餘但今年宣告正盈餘,是否具資訊內涵;接著,本研究以Burgstahler and Dichev(1997)及Burgstahler(1997)的研究方法為基礎,採用綜合橫斷面分配法(pooled cross-sectional distribution approach)針對國內公開發行上市公司1981年至2003年累計盈餘資料進行分析,同時並檢視盈餘分配圖形在門檻附近是否有不連續的現象產生。
實證結果顯示:(1)以前是負盈餘但今年宣告正盈餘公司具有資訊內涵。(2)當年度累計盈餘分配於門檻附近均有顯著不連續的現象,代表管理當局確實會為了避免損失而操縱當年度盈餘。
After Ball and Brown(1968)provided empirical evidence that earnings and stock returns were positively related, the research of earnings response coefficient(ERC)has become the mainstream of financial accounting research. It manifests, however, the phenomenon of weak ERC. One of the possible reasons is the existence of negative earnings. Based on Hayn's empirical research results(1995), when the reported earnings is above some specified level,it would be highly correlated with the firm value. In contrast, when the reported earnings is below some specified level,there are almost no relationship between the reported earnings and firm value. Therefore, we extend the existing literature to examne the information content of the first-time positive earnings announcement and whether the managers have the incetives to manipulate the yearly earnings to avoid losses or earnings decreases.
We conduct regression analysis to examine the earnings-return relation for the year in which the sampled TSE-listed companies start to report positive earnings during 1981-2003.Our study use pooled cross-sectional distribution approach to detect whether there is discontinuity of the distribution of yearly earnings near the threshold after earnings management. Data are collected from Taiwan Economic News Journal from 1981-2003.
Our empirical results imply that:
(1)Our study provide supportive evidence for the information content of the first-time positive earnings announcement.
(2)Managers have the incentives to manipulate the yearly earnings to avoid losses.
參考文獻
一、國內部分
周文賢,2002,年多變量統計分析。
張君玉,2003,負盈餘資訊內涵-以負盈餘持續性觀之,國立台北大學會計學研究所未出版碩士論文。
陳沂爭,2001,負盈餘公司評價之問題,輔仁大學金融研究所未出版碩士論文。
黃正誠,1999,負盈餘研究-以資訊觀點與衡量觀點分析,國立台灣大學會計學研究所未出版碩士論文。
二、國外部分
Ball, R and P. Brown 1968, An empirical evaluation of accounting income numbers, Journal of Accounting Research, Autumn, p.159-178.
Brown, Philip R. and John W. Kennely 1972, The Informational content of Quarterly Earnings : An Extention and some Future Evidence, Journal of Business, (July), p.403-415.
Beaver, W. H., R. Clarke and W. F. Wright 1979, The Association between Unsystematic Security Returns and the Magnitude of Earnings Forecast Errors, Journal of Accounting Research, Vol. 17, p.316-340.
Beaver, W. H., R. A. Lambert and D. Morse 1980, The Information Content of Security Prices, Journal of Accounting and Economics, Vol. 2, p.3-28.
Beaver, W. 1986, The information content of annual earnings announcements, Journal of Accounting Research, Vol. 6, p.67-92.
Beaver, W. H., R. A. Lambert and S. G. Ryan 1987, The information content of security prices: A second look, Journal of Accounting and Economics, Vol. 9, p.139-157.
Basu, S. 1997, The conservatism principle and the asymmetric timeliness of earnings, Journal of Accounting and Economics, Vol. 24, p.3-37.
Burgstahler, D. 1997, Incentives to Manage Earnings Management to Avoid Earnings Decreases and Losses: Evidence from Quarter Earnings, Working Paper, Seattle: University of Washington.
Burgstahler, D. and I. Dichev 1997, Earnings Management to Avoid Earnings Decreases and Losses, Journal of Accounting and Economics, Vol. 24, p.99-126.
Chambers, D. 1996, The information content of negative earnings and its relation with initial-loss persistence, Working paper, University of Illinois—Urbana Champaign.
Collins, D., E. Maydew and I. Weiss 1997, Changes in The Value-relevance of Earnings and Book Value over The Past Forty Years, Journal of Accounting and Economics, Vol. 24, p.39-67.
Collins, D. W., M. Pincus and H. Xie 1999, Equity Valuation and Negative Earnings: The Role of Book Value of Equity, The Accounting Review, Vol. 74, p.29-61.
DeAngelo, H., L. DeAngelo and D. J. Skinner 1992, Dividends and Losses, The Journal of Finance, Vol. 47, p.1837-1863.
Degeorge, F., J. Patel and R. Zeckhauser 1999, Earnings Management to Exceed Thresholds, Journal of Business, Vol. 72(1), p.1-33.
Easton, P. D. and M. E. Zmijewski 1989, Cross-Sectional Variation in the Stock Market Response to Accounting Earnings Announcements, Journal of Accounting and Economics, Vol. 11, p.117-141.
Easton, P. and T. Harris. 1991, Earnings as explanatory variables for returns, Journal of Accounting Research, Vol. 29, p.19-36.
Healy, P. M. 1985, The effect of bonus schemes on accounting decisions, Journal of Accounting and Economics, Vol. 7, p.85-107.
Hayn, C. 1995, The information content of losses, Journal of Accounting and Economics, Vol. 20, p.125-153.
Healy, P. M. and J. M. Wahlen 1999, A Review of The Earnings Management Literature and Its Implications for Standards Setting, American Accounting Association, Vol. 13, p.365-383.
Kormendi, R. and R. Lipe 1987, Earnings Innovations, Earnings Persistence, and Stock Returns, Journal of Business, Vol. 60, p.323-345.
Lipe, R.C., L. Bryant and S. K. Widener. 1998, Do nonlinearity, firm-specific coefficients, and losses represent distinct factors in the relation between stock returns and accounting earnings? Journal of Accounting and Economics, Vol. 25, p.195-214.
Moses, O. D. 1987, Income Smoothing and Incentives:Empirical Tests Using Accounting Changes, The Accounting Review, (April), p.358-377.
Myers, L. A. and D. J. Skinner 1999, Earnings Momentum and Earnings Management, Working Paper, University of Michigan.
Ohlson, J. A. 1995, Earnings, Book Value, and Dividends in Equity Valuation, Contemporary Accounting Research, Vol. 11( 2) , p.661-687.
Ronen, J. and S. Sadan. 1981, Smoothing Income Numbers: Objectives, Means, and Implications, Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley.
Ramakrishnan, R. and J. Thomas 1991, Valuation of Permanent, Transitory and Price-irrelevant Components of Reported Earnings, Working Paper, Columbia University.
Schipper, K. 1989, Commentary on Earnings Management, Accounting Horizons, Vol. 3(4), p.91-102.
Subramanyam, K. R. and J. J. Wild 1996, Going-Concern Status, Earnings Persistence, and Information of Earnings, Contemporary Accounting Research, Vol. 13, p.251-273.