近幾年強震造成不少傷害，開始注重地震風險評估。本研究加入校舍結構考量，分成有補強校舍與無補強校舍，建立受「台東、恆春、花蓮及甲仙地震」影響之274棟校舍資料。
首先運用存活率分析、非線性分析方式迴歸出對數常態分佈之修復工期機率曲線圖與修復金額機率曲線圖。進一步分成有補強校舍、無補強校舍及整體校舍機率曲線圖預測校舍震後的修復金額與修復工期。
在應用上，假設嘉義市國中小校舍均發生DGA地震後，預測校舍修復工期與修復金額及分佈。比較嘉義市國中小校舍全部均補強與現況校舍修復金額與修復工期，在學校校舍安全性及震後迅速恢復考量，提供政府機關相關規化的政策。

The heavy damage of earthquake losses in recent years ,which is unavoidable, resulted in much interest on seismic risk evaluation of buildings. This study investigated school buildings on the estimation of post-earthquake reconstruction cost and duration needed. The surveyed 274 school buildings suffered damage in Chiahsien, Hualien, Taitung, and Hengchun earthquake were divided into two types : retrofitted school buildings and non-retrofitted school buildings.
First , using survival analysis and nonlinear regression we derived the probability curves in log-normal distribution and then derived the probability curves of recovery time and repair cost. Further, we analyzed the school buildings of recovery time and repair cost after earthquake,using the retrofitted,non-retrofitted and all school buildings of the curves.
The application of these curves are demonstrated in the buildings of junior high and elementary schools in Chiayi city assuming every school experienced their DGA. This research also assumed that all the buildings were retrofitted before earthquake and compare results to current status of the school constructions.

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