| 研究生: |
洪翊華 Hung, Yi-Hua |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
經理人過度自信、現金流量與公司投資決策:以台灣上市公司為例 CEO Overconfidence, Cash Flow, and Corporate Investment Decision:Evidence from Taiwan Listed Companies |
| 指導教授: |
林軒竹
Lin, Hsuan-Chu |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 財務金融研究所 Graduate Institute of Finance |
| 論文出版年: | 2020 |
| 畢業學年度: | 108 |
| 語文別: | 英文 |
| 論文頁數: | 39 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 經理人過度自信 、投資支出和現金流量之敏感度 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | managerial overconfidence, investment-cash flow sensitivity |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:130 下載:1 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
首先,本研究探討台灣上市公司的投資支出和現金流量之間是否存在正向關係,再來,進一步探討經理人過度自信的特質是否會導致投資支出和現金流量的正向關係更顯著。本研究採用754家台灣上市公司2014年到2018年的資料為樣本,共計3,770筆觀察值。相較於過去的研究,本研究分別採用兩種現金流量:營運現金流量和自由現金流量來進行研究。研究結果顯示,投資支出和兩種現金流量之間均存在正向關係,然而,經理人過度自信的特質並沒有強化現金流量對於投資支出的正向影響,未符合假說和過去的研究結果。綜上所述,不同地方未必存在相同狀況,故推測可能存在其他因素對於台灣上市公司的投資支出和現金流量的敏感度產生影響。
This paper explores whether there is a positive relation between investment expenditure and cash flow in Taiwan and further explores whether the characteristic of managerial overconfidence can strengthen the positive relation. We analyze a sample of 754 publicly traded firms from 2014 to 2018 with 3,770 observations. Compared to prior literature, this paper defines two kinds of cash flows, operating cash flow and free cash flow, respectively to conduct empirical research. According to the empirical results, there are positive relation between investment expenditure and both cash flows in Taiwan. However, not as predicted by our hypothesis and prior literature, the characteristic of managerial overconfidence does not strengthen the positive impacts of both cash flows on investment expenditure. In summary, the same phenomenon may not exist in every area, and thus there may be other factors that have impacts on the investment-cash flow sensitivity in Taiwan.
Alicke, M. D., Klotz, M. L., Breitenbecher, D. L., Yurak, T. J., and Vredenburg, D. S. (1995), “Personal Contact, Individuation, and the Better-Than-Average Effect”, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 68, 804–825.
Bernanke, B., and Gertler, M. (1989), “Agency Costs, Net Worth, and Business Fluctuations”, American Economic Review, 79, 14-31.
Fazzari, S. M., Hubbard, R. G., and Petersen, B. C.(1988), “Financing Constraints and Corporate Investment”, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 141-195.
Fazzari, S. M., and Petersen, B. C. (1993), “Working Capital and Fixed Investment: New Evidence on Financing Constraints”, RAND Journal of Economics, 24, 328-342.
Fazzari, S. M., Hubbard, R. G., and Petersen, B. C. (2000), “Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivities Are Useful: A Comment on Kaplan and Zingales”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115, 695-705.
Greenwald, B., Stiglitz, J. E., and Weiss, A. (1984), “Informational Imperfections in the Capital Market Macroeconomic Fluctuations”, American Economic Review, 74, 194-199.
Hackbarth, D. (2008), “Managerial Traits and Capital Structure Decisions”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 43, 843–882.
Heaton, J. B. (2002), “Managerial Optimism and Corporate Finance”, Financial Management, 31, 33-45.
Hsiao, Hsiao-Fen, Chuan-Ying Hsu, Chun-An Li, and Ai-Chi Hsu (2011), “The Relationship Among Managerial Sentiment, Corporate Investment, and Firm Value: Evidence from Taiwan”, Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 47, 99-111.
Hubbard, R. G. (1998), “Capital-Market Imperfections and Investment”, Journal of Economic Literature, 36, 193-225.
Jensen, M. C., and Meckling, W. H. (1976), “Theory of the Firm: Managerial Behavior, Agency Costs and Ownership Structure”, Journal of Financial Economics, 3, 305-360.
Jensen, M. C. (1986), “Agency Costs of Free Cash Flow, Corporate Finance, and Takeovers”, American Economic Review, 76, 659-665.
Kaplan, S. N., and Zingales, L. (1997), “Do Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivities Provide Useful Measures of Financing Constraints?”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 112, 169-215.
Kaplan, S. N., and Zingales, L. (2000), “Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivities Are Not Valid Measures of Financing Constraints”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115, 707-712.
Larwood, L., and Whittaker, W. (1977), “Managerial Myopia: Self-Serving Biases in Organizational Planning”, Journal of Applied Psychology, 62, 194-198.
Lin, Yueh-hsiang, Shing-yang Hu, and Ming-shen Chen (2005), “Managerial Optimism and Corporate Investment: Some Empirical Evidence from Taiwan”, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 13, 523-546.
Lin, Chan-Jane, Chao-Jung Pan, and Ta-wei Wang (2015), “The association between free cash flows and investment decisions of family firms in Taiwan”, NTU Management Review, 26, 95-124.
Malmendier, U., and Tate, G. (2005), “CEO Overconfidence and Corporate Investment”, Journal of Finance, 60, 2661-2700.
Malmendier, U., and Tate, G. (2008), “Who Makes Acquisitions? CEO Overconfidence and The Market’s Reaction”, Journal of Financial Economics, 89, 20-43.
March, J. G., and Shapira, Z. (1987), “Managerial Perspectives on Risk and Risk Taking”, Management Science, 33, 1404-1418.
Miller, D. T., and Ross, M. (1975), “Self-Serving Biases in the Attribution of Causality: Fact or Fiction?”, Psychological Bulletin, 82, 213-225.
Modigliani, F., and Miller, M. (1958), The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment”, American Economic Review, 48, 261-297.
Myers, S. C. (1977), “Determinants of Corporate Borrowing”, Journal of Financial Economics, 5, 147-175.
Myers, S. C. (1984), “The Capital Structure Puzzle”, Journal of Finance, 39, 575-592.
Myers, S. C. and Majluf, N. S. (1984), “Corporate Financing and Investment Decisions When Firms Have Information That Investors Do Not Have”, Journal of Financial Economics, 13, 187-221.
Pawlina, G., and Renneboog, L. (2005), “Is Investment‐Cash Flow Sensitivity Caused by Agency Costs or Asymmetric Information? Evidence from the UK”, European Financial Management, 11, 483-513.
Richardson, S. A. (2006), “Over-investment of Free Cash Flow”, Review of Accounting Studies, 11, 159-189.
Roll, R. (1986), “The Hubris Hypothesis of Corporate Takeovers”, Journal of Business, 59, 197-216.
Stiglitz, J. E., and Weiss, A. (1981), “Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information”, American Economic Review, 71, 393-410.
Stulz, R. M. (1990), “Managerial Discretion and Optimal Financing Policies”, Journal of Financial Economics, 26, 3-27.
Tobin, J. (1969), “A General Equilibrium Approach to Monetary Theory”, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1, 15-29.
Wang, Yun-Yi, Hsiang-Hsuan Chid, and Robin K. Chou (2016), “Review of Behavioral Finance Studies in Taiwan”, Taiwan Economic Review, 44, 1-55.
Weinstein, N. D. (1980), “Unrealistic Optimism About Future Life Events”, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 39, 806-820.