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研究生: 楊成
Chinpinkyo, Thitiwat
論文名稱: Corruption and Economic Growth: Preliminary Evidences from East Asian Economics
Corruption and Economic Growth: Preliminary Evidences from East Asian Economics
指導教授: 謝文真
Hsieh, Wen-Jen
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 國際經營管理研究所碩士班
Institute of International Management (IIMBA--Master)
論文出版年: 2012
畢業學年度: 100
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 88
外文關鍵詞: Corruption, Economic growth, Grease hypothesis, Sand hypothesis, Government efficiency, East Asian economies
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  • The relationship between corruption and the economic growth rate has been discussed for a few recent decades among economists. From reviewing the previous literatures, there are two existed theories, namely the grease and the sand the wheel of development. While the literatures from the sand side have strongly insisted the negative effect of corruption on growth regardless any condition, the grease theory suggests that corruption may foster the economic growth in some particular situations. Basically, this study aims to examine three hypotheses. First of all, this research intends to verify whether or not corruption can be beneficial to the growth for those developing countries while detrimental elsewhere. Second, it aims to validate whether or not corruption can foster economic growth rate for the economy where the government efficiency is relatively low and impede the growth for the otherwise. Lastly, it intends to verify whether or not in the situation where the level of corruption is almost absence, the amount of marginal cost spent for fighting against corruption is larger than the marginal benefit acquired.

    To test these hypotheses, the method of the fixed effects model is implemented. A panel data of Asian economies are mainly drawn from three sources including World Bank, Institution of International Management and Development, and Transparency International. As a consequence, based on the limitation of data, our samples are the 15-year balanced panel data of ten East Asian economies including, China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Taiwan, and Thailand.

    In conclusion, the regression results support two out of three proposals by the grease hypothesis. Particularly, corruption has the positive effect on the economic growth rate in those developing countries. The estimated results suggest that their economic growth rate will be lowered by 1.49 percent when their corruption perception index is improved by one-point scale. Nevertheless, it retards the economic performance in developed countries. The estimated results suggest that those developed countries can advance their economic growth rate by 2.74 percent when their corruption perception index is improved by one-point scale. Additionally, the government efficiency statistically moderates the relationship between corruption and the economic growth rate. In this region, the estimated results suggest that corruption seems to be beneficial to the economic growth rate in the aggregated level. However, this positive effect on the economic growth rate will become weaker by 0.43 as long as the government efficiency is improved by one-point scale. This concurs with the proposal by the grease side that corruption can be considered as the second best method. Subsequently, in order to move towards the economy where the best method is mainly used instead of the second best one, each economy, especially those developing ones, should improve the efficiency of its government. Finally, the results do not suggest the non-linear relationship in between.

    ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I ABSTRACT III TABLE OF CONTENTS V LIST OF TABLES VIII LIST OF FIGURES IX CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Research Background. 1 1.2 Research Motivations and Contributions. 3 1.3 Research Objective. 5 1.4 Research Framework. 5 CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW 7 2.1 Corruption. 7 2.2 Corruption and Growth. 9 2.2.1 “Grease the Wheel of Development” Hypothesis. 9 2.2.2 “Sand the Wheel of Development” Hypothesis. 15 2.2.3 Government Efficiency. 22 2.3 Hypotheses Development. 23 CHAPTER THREE RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY 30 3.1 Hypotheses to be Tested and Model. 30 3.2 Data Description and Collection. 35 3.2.1 Corruption and Government Efficiency Data. 36 3.2.2 Macro Economic Data and Explanatory Variables. 37 3.3 Methods of Analysis. 38 3.3.1 Granger Causality Test. 38 3.3.2 Hypothesis Testing. 38 3.3.3 Testing the Autocorrelation Problem. 39 CHAPTER FOUR EMPIRICAL STUDY 41 4.1 Data Summary. 41 4.2 Test of Granger Causality. 46 4.3 Results of Hypothesis Testing. 47 4.3.1 Results of The First Hypothesis. 47 4.3.2 Results of The Second Hypothesis. 50 4.3.3 Results of The Third Hypothesis. 54 4.4 The Regression Results of the CPI Lagged by One More Period. 58 CHAPTER FIVE CONCLUSION AND SUGGESTIONS 62 5.1 Research Conclusions and Discussion. 62 5.2 Research Implications and Suggestion. 64 5.3 Research Limitations and Future Research. 65 REFERENCES 68 APPENDICES 72 Appendix 1: Per Capita GDP Growth Rate of East Asian Developed Countries. 72 Appendix 2: Per Capita GDP Growth Rate of East Asian Developing Countries. 73 Appendix 3: Corruption Perception Index of East Asian Developed Countries. 74 Appendix 4: Corruption Perception Index of East Asian Developing Countries. 75 Appendix 5: Per Capita GDP of East Asian Developed Countries. 76 Appendix 6: Per Capita GDP of East Asian Developing Countries. 77 Appendix 7: Gross Fixed Capital Formation as Percentage of GDP of East Asian Developed Countries. 78 Appendix 8: Gross Fixed Capital Formation as Percentage of GDP of East Asian Developing Countries. 79 Appendix 9: Percentage of Increase in Total Labor in Economy of East Asian Developed Countries. 80 Appendix 10: Percentage of Increase in Total Labor in Economy of East Asian Developing Countries. 81 Appendix 11: Trade Openness of GDP of East Asian Developed Countries. 82 Appendix 12: Trade Openness of GDP of East Asian Developing Countries. 83 Appendix 13: Educational System of East Asian Developed Countries. 84 Appendix 14: Educational System of East Asian Developing Countries. 85 Appendix 15: Government Efficiency of East Asian Developed Countries. 86 Appendix 16: Government Efficiency of East Asian Developing Countries. 87 Appendix 17: The Regression Results of Latin Countries. 88

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