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研究生: 王劭哲
Wang, Shao-Che
論文名稱: 勞動生產力對薪資停滯的影響-台灣、日本及韓國跨國比較
The Influence of Labor Productivity on Wage Stagnation: A Comparative Study among Taiwan, Japan, and Korea
指導教授: 林常青
Lin, Chang-Ching
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 社會科學院 - 經濟學系
Department of Economics
論文出版年: 2020
畢業學年度: 108
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 60
中文關鍵詞: 薪資停滯勞動生產力拆解共整合總要素生產力
外文關鍵詞: Wage stagnation, labor productivity decoupling, co-integration, total factor productivity
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  • 從1990開始,許多國家都面臨了薪資停滯的問題,過去也有許多文章針對此議題去探討。相較於台灣,日本及韓國的薪資停滯研究較少,也尚未有利用勞動生產力的變化去探討薪資停滯的研究。因此我們將利用勞動生產力的角度去探討哪些因素是造成台灣、日本及韓國薪資停滯的原因。
    本篇文章將控制因採用不同平減指數所導致的薪資脫鉤問題。先藉由結構性斷裂找出各個產業實質薪資的斷點來找到薪資成長趨緩及停滯的時間點,再利用共整合觀察三個國家各產業薪資與勞動生產力間長期均衡關係。最後拆解三國各產業勞動生產力去觀察薪資停滯的時間中,是哪些因素導致了勞動生產力成長的下降及薪資成長的趨緩及停滯。
    研究觀察到台灣及日本受到總要素生產力的影響,導致了薪資成長的停滯。韓國的產業則受資本份額及資本密集度影響,導致了薪資成長的趨緩。但韓國由於總要素生產力在薪資趨緩時呈現正成長,導致韓國的薪資停滯問題較不嚴重。因此本研究認為總要素生產力是影響薪資最重要的因素,政府若要解決薪資停滯的問題可以由總要素生產力下手。

    Since 1990, many countries have faced the problem of wage stagnation, and much research has focused on the causes of wage stagnation. However, little research has been conducted to explore the causes of wage stagnation from the perspective of labor productivity. To further investigate what caused wage stagnation from a different perspective, Taiwan, Japan, and South Korea were chosen as research objects because of their geographical proximity and industrial similarity.
    This thesis dealt with the problem of wage decoupling caused by using different deflators. First, the breakpoints of wages in each activity were found by using a structural break to find the time of wage stagnation. After that, the co-integration was used to observe the long-term equilibrium relation between wages and labor productivity in each activity in these three countries. Lastly, we decoupled the labor productivity into three factors: total factor productivity, capital share, and capital intensity to observe what factors caused the decline in labor productivity growth and wage stagnation.

    From our observations, the labor productivity of Taiwan and Japan are most affected by total factor productivity, while the labor productivity of South Korea is most affected by capital share and capital intensity.
    Compared to Taiwan and Japan, the wage stagnation problem in South Korea is less severe because of the growth in total factor productivity. The results reveal that total factor productivity is the most important factor affecting wage growth. The government might start with enhancing total factor productivity to solve wage stagnation.

    目錄 摘要 I 英文延伸摘要 II 致謝 VII 目錄 VIII 表目錄 X 圖目錄 XII 第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究背景與動機 1 第二節 研究目的 2 第三節 研究架構 3 第二章 文獻回顧 3 第一節 勞動生產力與實際薪資相關研究 4 第二節 薪資停滯與脫鉤相關研究 5 第三節 日本及韓國的相關研究 6 第四節 文獻總結 7 第三章 研究方法 7 第一節 結構性斷裂檢驗 8 第二節 勞動生產力模型拆解 10 第三節 單根檢定與共整合 11 第四章 資料來源及處理 14 第一節 資料來源 14 第二節 資料處理 17 第五章 研究結果 18 第一節 結構性斷裂結果 18 第二節 單根檢定及共整合結果 22 第三節 結構性斷裂比較結果 35 第六章 結論 57 第一節 結論與討論 57 第二節 研究限制與未來發展 58 參考文獻 59

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