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研究生: 阮文國盛
Thinh, Nguyen Van Quoc
論文名稱: The Effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Illiquidity Return Premium
The Effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Illiquidity Return Premium
指導教授: 謝惠璟
Hsieh, Hui-Ching Sana
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 國際經營管理研究所
Institute of International Management
論文出版年: 2019
畢業學年度: 107
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 79
外文關鍵詞: Economic policy uncertainty, Illiquidity return premium, Asset pricing, Stock liquidity, Risk aversion
相關次數: 點閱:61下載:5
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  • This study investigates the effect of economic policy uncertainty on illiquidity return premium by using the sample of common stocks in the NYSE from 1990 to 2018. The result shows a significantly positive illiquidity return premium in the sample. On average, illiquid portfolio earns 0.597% higher monthly return than does liquid portfolio. The result further shows that the EPU index has a positive relationship with illiquidity return premium. This indicates that investors require higher compensation for holding illiquid stocks in time of high EPU than in time of low EPU. The study also shows that EPU affects illiquidity return premium through the market illiquidity channel. Particularly, EPU is associated with an increase in market illiquidity and high market illiquidity is followed by a rise in illiquidity return premium. The rise of EPU and decline of market liquidity could make investors become more risk-averse, thus they require higher compensation for illiquidity. Finally, this study shows that the relationship between EPU and illiquidity return premium is stronger when market liquidity is impaired and in crises.

    ABSTRACT I ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS II TABLE OF CONTENTS III LIST OF TABLES VI LIST OF FIGURES VIII CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Research Background. 1 1.1.1 Illiquidity Return Premium. 1 1.1.2 Economic Policy Uncertainty. 3 1.1.3 Economic Policy Uncertainty and Illiquidity Return Premium. 4 1.2 Research Motivation. 5 1.3 Research Objectives. 6 1.4 Research Gap and Research Contributions. 7 1.4.1 Research Gap. 7 1.4.2 Contributions to Literature. 7 1.4.3 Practical Implications. 8 1.5 Research Structure. 8 CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW 9 2.1 Illiquidity Return Premium. 9 2.1.1 Stock Liquidity. 9 2.1.2 Illiquidity Return Premium Hypothesis. 10 2.1.3 Distinction from Illiquidity Risk Premium. 12 2.2 Economic Policy Uncertainty. 13 2.3 Law of Supply and Demand. 15 2.4 Theoretical Relationship between Risk and Return. 18 2.5 Hypothesis Development. 19 CHAPTER THREE RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY 23 3.1 Sample selection. 23 3.2 Dependent Variables. 24 3.2.1 Illiquidity Measures. 24 3.2.2 Illiquidity Return Premium. 25 3.3 Independent Variables and Control Variables. 28 3.3.1 Economic Policy Uncertainty. 28 3.3.2 Control Variables. 29 3.4 Procedure of Data Analysis. 36 3.4.1 Methodology. 36 3.4.2 Research Models. 36 3.5 Result Expectations. 42 CHAPTER FOUR RESEARCH RESULTS 44 4.1 Descriptive Statistics. 44 4.2 Correlations and Multicollinearity Tests. 47 4.3 Analysis Results. 55 4.3.1 Pricing of Illiquidity. 55 4.3.2 EPU and Market Illiquidity. 56 4.3.3 Market Illiquidity and Illiquidity Return Premium. 59 4.3.4 EPU and Illiquidity Return Premium. 62 4.3.5 Relationship between EPU and Illiquidity Return Premium when Market Liquidity is Low. 65 4.3.6 Relationship between EPU and Illiquidity Return Premium in crises. 67 CHAPTER FIVE CONCLUSION AND SUGGESTIONS 73 5.1 Research Conclusions. 73 5.2 Limitations and Suggestions. 75 REFERENCES 76

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