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研究生: 洪靖媛
Hong, Jing-Yuan
論文名稱: 跨國供應鏈與分析師行為之研究
Analysts' Reaction to Information of Global Supply Chain
指導教授: 陳政芳
Chen, Jeng-Fang
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 會計學系
Department of Accountancy
論文出版年: 2009
畢業學年度: 97
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 45
中文關鍵詞: 跨國供應鏈外資券商投資評等垂直資訊移轉
外文關鍵詞: global supply chain, stock recommendation, vertical Information transfers, foreign broker
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  • 台灣電子產業與國際品牌廠的供應鏈經濟關聯緊密,過去研究指出兩者存在垂直資訊移轉效果,本研究針對台灣電子業公司與國際品牌廠之供應鏈進行討論,探討台灣券商分析師在發佈上游供應商的投資評等修正時,是否會參考下游國外品牌廠先前宣告的盈餘資訊,即探討國外品牌廠資訊是否會影響分析師對供應商的投資評等修正。
    研究結果發現品牌廠未預期盈餘對於外資券商分析師發佈的供應商投資評等修正方向有同向影響,對本國券商則無顯著影響。進一步測試指出當供應商與品牌廠在供應網絡中的層級較低時,外資券商分析師對其發佈評等修正的時間亦較晚。

    Prior research has examined the vertical information transfers between Taiwan’s electronics contract manufacturing companies and their foreign brand-name customers. However, the extent to which analysts exploit earnings information along the global supply chain has been largely overlooked in the literature. In this study, I investigate whether analysts revise the stock recommendation of a Taiwan supplier using the prior earnings surprises announced by its foreign brand-name customers.
    I find that foreign brokers indeed use earnings information contained in the earnings surprises of foreign brand-name customers to revise stock recommendations of Taiwan suppliers, but can’t find evidence that local brokers exploit the earnings information in the global supply chain. I further find that the analysts provide more timely revision when the participants are closer to each other along the global supply chain.

    第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究動機與目的 1 第二節 研究架構 3 第二章 文獻探討 5 第一節 資訊移轉之相關研究 5 第二節 分析師對資訊移轉反應之研究 8 第三章 研究方法 11 第一節 假說建立 11 第二節 研究範圍與期間 14 第三節 研究變數定義與衡量 17 第四節 研究設計與研究模型 22 第五節 資料來源 25 第四章 實證結果與分析 26 第一節 樣本資料與基本敘述 26 第二節 國外品牌廠未預期盈餘資訊對分析師投資評等影響 29 第三節 外資券商與本國券商分析師對國外品牌廠未預期盈餘反應 31 第四節 供應商層級與分析師反應關係 33 第五章 結論與建議 38 第一節 結論 38 第二節 研究限制 40 第三節 後續研究建議 41 參考文獻 42

    一、中文部分
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    池祥萱、蕭君怡,2005,券商投資評等報告的資訊內涵-本國券商與外資券商的比較,金融風險管理季刊,第一卷第三期,27−45。
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    李文源,1995,財務分析師盈餘預測修正之資訊內涵及影響預測因素研究,國立成功大學會計學研究所未出版碩士論文。
    徐雅君,1999,電子業代工關係之股價反應研究,國立中正大學財務金融研究所未出版碩士論文。
    曹登閎,2008,比較本國券商與外資券商對分級股票績效之評估,國立中山大學財務管理學系研究所未出版碩士論文。
    黃月娥,1995,季盈餘宣告之產業內資訊移轉,國立台灣大學會計學研究所未出版碩士論文。
    蕭君怡,2004,國內券商與外資券商投資評等績效之比較,國立東華大學國際經濟研究所未出版碩士論文。

    二、英文部分

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