本論文於2011年7月至2013年6月期間，在南投縣鹿谷鄉溪頭森林遊樂區湧泉監測地下水水氡濃度變化，期待捕捉臺灣中部地震前兆。地下水樣來自自由含水層，地下水水氡濃度隨雨季及旱季週期性起伏。在2012/12/31阿里山地震(ML 5.3)、2013/3/27南投地震(ML 6.2)和2013/6/2南投地震(ML 6.5)前，觀測到地震前兆地下水水氡濃度異常下降。在2012/12/31阿里山地震、2013/3/27南投地震和2013/6/2南投地震前；分別由360 ± 9 pCi/L下降至251 ± 25 pCi/L、由364 ± 24 pCi/L下降至238 ± 8 pCi/L及322 ± 29 pCi/L下降至168 ± 10 pCi/L。

Radon anomalous declines prior to the 2012 ML 5.3 Alisan, 2013 ML 6.2 Nantou, and 2013 ML 6.5 Nantou earthquakes were recorded at the Shitou spring. Specifically, radon decreased from background levels of 360 ± 9, 364 ± 24, and 322 ± 29 pCi/L to minima of 251 ± 25, 238 ± 8, and 168 ± 10 pCi/L prior to the 2012 ML 5.3 Alisan, 2013 ML 6.2 Nantou, and 2013 ML 6.5 Nantou earthquakes, respectively. The study at the Shitou spring in southern Taiwan confirms that groundwater radon can be a consistent precursor for strain changes in the crust preceding an earthquake when observed in a low-porosity fractured aquifer.

1.王志豪，溪頭森林集水區地下水文特性之研究，國立臺灣大學， 2005。
2.王隆昌，溪頭地區坡地型土石流地形及發生特性研究，國立成功大學，2005。
3.范愷軍，地下水水氡濃度異常下降及地震前兆機制之研究：東台灣2003Mw6.8成功地震，國立成功大學，2009。
4.陳文山，大地的怒吼與傷痕，地球科學文教基金會地球科學園地季刊，第11期，1999。
5.陳璿臣，九二一地震車籠埔斷層震測研究，國立中央大學，2002。
6.張道明、瓦里亞、林世榮、謝宏灝、溫國樑、楊燦堯，科學園區為地震觀測及地震前兆之地球化學研究，財團法人國家實驗研究院國研科技期刊，第十九期，45-50，2008。
7.焦中輝、林俊余、俞旗文、盧佳遇，台西盆地南段晚中新世至更新世沉積地層作為碳地質封存層之探討研究，中國礦冶工程學會年會宣讀論文，2010。
8.葉義雄、辛在勤、何俊偉，台灣現有地震前兆評估與未來研究規劃(IV)，交通部中央氣象局地震技術報告彙編，第五十七卷，249-258，2011。
9.楊燦堯、宋聖榮、傅慶州、蘇春旭、劉聰桂、陳正宏，活動斷層地球化學監測現況與成果，2004 年台灣活動斷層與地震災害研討會論文集，120-137，2004。
10.楊燦堯、陳正宏，利用土壤氣地球化學方法探勘台灣西南部地表下斷層可能分佈，行政院國家科學委員會專題研究計畫成果報告，2004。
11.鄭富書、陳福勝、吳文隆，溪頭森林遊樂區鹿寮坑土石流災害案例分析，中華技術雜誌，57期，2003。
12.鄭傑銘、吳政貞，溪頭地質工程與生態深度探討-與會報導，地工技術，93期，100-102，2002。
13.Angelier, J., Chu, H.T., Lee, J.C. and Hu J.C., Active faulting and earthquake hazard: the case study of the Chihshang fault, Taiwan. Geodynamics, 29, 151-185, 2000.
14.Freyer, K., Treutler, K., Dehnert, J. and Nestler W., Sampling amd measurement of radon-222 in water. Journal of Environmental Radioactivity, 37, no. 3, 327-337, 1997.
15.Friedmann, H., Radon in earthquake prediction research. Radiation protection dosimetry, vol. 149, no. 2, 177-184, 2011.
16.Hauksson, E., Radon content of groundwater as an earthquake precursor: Evaluation of worldwide data and physical basis. Journal of Geophysical Research, 86, 10, 9397-9410, 1981.
17.Igarashi, G., Saeki, S., Takahata, N., Sumikawa, K., Tasaka, S., Sasaki, Y., Takahashi, M. and Sano, Y., Ground-water radon anomaly before the Kobe earthquake in Japan. Science, 269, 5220, 60-61, 1995.
18.Kawabe, I., Anomalous changes of CH4/Ar ratio in subsurface gas bubbles as seismo geochemical precursors at Matsuyama, Japan. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 122, 194-214, 1984.
19.Kuo, M.C.T., Fan, K., Kuochen, H. and Chen, W., A mechanism for anomalous decline in radon precursory to an earthquake. Ground Water, 44, 5, 642-647, 2006a.
20.Kuo, T., Fan, K., Kuochen, H., Han, Y., Chu, H. and Lee, Y., Anomalous decrease in groundwater radon before the Taiwan M6.8 Chengkung Earthquake. Journal of Environmental Radioactivity, 88, no. 1, 101-106, 2006b.
21.Kuo, T., Lin, C., Chang, G., Fan, K., Cheng, W. and Lewis, C., Estimation of aseimic crustal-strain using radon repetitive radon precursors of the 2003 M 6.8, 2006 M 6.1, and 2008 M 5.0 earthquakes in eastern Taiwan. Nat Hazards, 53, 219-228, 2010a.
22.Lomnitz, C., Fundamentals of earthquake prediction. John Wiley & Sons, New York, 1994.
23.Nisith, K.D., Rakesh, K.B., Debasis, G., Prasanta, S. and Bikash, S., Anomalous fluctuation of radon, gamma dose and helium emanating from a thermal spring prior to an earthquake. Science, 89, 8, 1399-1404, 2005.
24.Noguchi, M., New method of radon activity measurement with liquidscintillator. Radioisotopes 13, no. 5, 362-367, 1964.
25.Prichard, H.M., Venso, E.A. and Dodson, C.L., Liquid-scintillation analysis of 222Rn in water by alpha-beta discrimination. Radioactivity and Radiochemistry 3, no. 1, 28-36, 1992.
26.Scholz, C.H., Sykes, L.R. and Aggarwal, Y.P. Earthquake prediction: A physical basis. Science 181, no. 4102, 803-810, 1973.
27.Sugisaki, R., Ito, T., Nagamine, K. and Kawabe, I., Gas geochemical changes at mineral springs associated with the 1995 southern Hyogo earthquake (M = 7.2), Japan. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 139, 239-249, 1996.
28.Tsunogai, U. and Wakita, H., Precursory chemical changes in ground water: Kobe Earthquake, Japan. Science, 269, 61-63, 1995.
29.Tsunomori, F. and Kuo, T., A mechanism for radon decline prior to the 1978 Izu-Oshima-Kinkai earthquake in Japan. Radiation Measurements, 45, 139-142, 2010.