| 研究生: |
康祝誠 Kang, Chu-Cheng |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
CME玉米期貨價量關係的分量迴歸分析 A Quantile Regression Analysis of the Relations between Volume and Price Variability:Evidence from CME Corn Futures |
| 指導教授: |
黎明淵
Li, Ming-Yuan Leon |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 財務金融研究所 Graduate Institute of Finance |
| 論文出版年: | 2011 |
| 畢業學年度: | 99 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 34 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 分量迴歸 、價格 、成交量 、玉米期貨 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | quantile regression, price, volume, corn futures |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:111 下載:4 |
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關於金融市場的價量關係,長久以來一直是研究人員所關注,過去主要是以最小平方法來研究各個金融市場的價量關係,並鮮少以大宗商品期貨市場為研究標的。本文是以分量迴歸分析法來研究美國芝加哥期貨市場(CME)玉米期貨價格與成交量之間的關係。其實證結果顯示玉米期貨之價量關係存在「價量齊揚」與「價量背離」的情況,我們分析為買賣雙方在價格上漲或下跌時,所感受到的趨勢而因應的財務行為是有差異的。此結果與傳統文獻中所運用之最小平方法所估計的迴歸模型有異,故顯示分量迴歸分析確可獲得較詳細的結論。
People always care about the relationship of price and volume in financial market. In the past the researchers used ordinary least squares (OLS) way to study the relationship and seldom apply the data of commodity market. This study was used quantile regression (QR) model to test the price-volume relationship of CME corn futures. The empirical results show positive relationships between two factors when price goes up, and negative relationships when price goes down. We analyze the situation because buyers and sellers feel different trend when price goes up or down and take different action to sell or buy. The results of QR model is different from the results of linear regressions estimated by the OLS method.
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二.中文文獻
1.王毓敏、黃瑞靜,「價量關係-台股指數期貨市場之研究」,台灣金融財務季刊,2,2,97-114,2001。
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