| 研究生: |
楊文博 Yang, Wen-Bo |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
多重因果中介分析之有序分解法與逆機率權重估計 Inverse Probability Weighting Approach for Sequential Effect Decomposition for Causal Multi-Mediation Analysis |
| 指導教授: |
戴安順
Tai, An-Shun |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 統計學系 Department of Statistics |
| 論文出版年: | 2024 |
| 畢業學年度: | 112 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 100 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 多重因果中介分析 、有序分解法 、路徑特定效應 、逆機率權重估計 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | causal multi-mediation analysis, inverse probability weighting, path-specific effect, sequential effect decomposition |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:53 下載:0 |
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因果中介分析常用於社會科學、醫學及流行病學等領域,用於探討暴露因子是如何透過感興趣的中介因子去影響到結果變量。然而在進行多重中介因子分析時,中介因子間的模型和結構通常十分複雜,傳統方法需要每個中介因子的模型皆正確假設,否則容易得到錯誤的結論。VanderWeele and Vansteelandt (2014) 針對多重中介因果分析提出了有序分解法並發展出逆機率權重(Inverse probability Weighting approach for sequential effect decomposition, SEQ-w)估計量。SEQ-w 估計量有效地放寬中介因子模型假設,在多個複雜的中介因子模型時具有穩健性。然而,SEQ-w 估計量在因果中介路徑的解釋尚未明瞭,同時,SEQ-w 估計量只局限於連續型反應變數。因此,本研究嘗試完備 SEQ-w 估計量相關性質。在因果解釋層次,本研究透過反事實模型確立了 SEQ-w 估計量在路徑特定效應上的分類,並證明出與 Tai et al. (2022a) 提出的完全交互作用分解法具有相同的機制解釋。在資料應用廣度層次,本文也將 SEQ-w 估計量拓展至多階段模型 (Multi-stage model) 以及存活分析。最後將以上的方法程式化進行模擬分析,並應用於癌症基因組圖譜(TCGA)資料,以探討肺腺癌及其潛在致癌基因組間的因果機制。
Causal mediation analysis is widely used in fields such as social sciences, medicine, and epidemiology to investigate how exposure influence outcome through mediators of interest. However, in causal multi-mediation analysis, the models and structures of these mediators are often highly complex. Traditional methods require correct specification of each mediator model, otherwise, erroneous conclusions may result. VanderWeele and Vansteelandt (2014) proposed a inverse probability weighting approach for sequential effect decomposition (SEQw) for multiple mediator causal analysis. SEQ-w effectively relaxes the assumptions of mediator models, demonstrating robustness in scenarios with complex mediator models. Nonetheless, the causal interpretation of SEQ-w pathways remains unclear, and SEQ-w is limited to continuous response variables. Therefore, this study aims to further develop the properties of SEQ-w. At the level of causal interpretation, we establish the classification of path-specific effects through counterfactual models, proving that SEQ-w shares the same mechanistic explanation as the fully mediated interaction effect decomposition proposed by Tai et al. (2022a). At the level of data application, this paper extends the SEQ to survival analysis and multi-stage models. Finally, we implement and simulate these methods, applying them to The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) data to explore the causal mechanisms between lung adenocarcinoma and its potential oncogenic genomes.
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校內:2026-08-31公開