本文分析機場之準點率表現，是否影響其飛航聯通性，並使用空間統計方法，從空間維度觀察機場準點率是否具有空間依存性，確立該事實成立後，利用空間計量經濟模型分析空間脈絡關係，探討機場之間準點率表現與飛航聯通性之相互影響關係。實證資料為2017年，全球 1047 個機場和歐洲177個機場的準點率資訊。分析結果顯示，一機場之準點率表現佳時，其周遭鄰近機場亦呈現準點率表現佳之現象，表示準點率佳之機場多為彼此相鄰，並且機場飛航聯通性指數同樣呈現顯著之群聚現象；此外，空間迴歸模型主要包括空間落遲模型(Spatial Lag Model)、空間誤差模型 (Spatial Error Mode)、空間Durbin模型 (Spatial Durbin Model)以及空間自迴歸綜合模型 (Spatial Autoregressive Combined Model)，透過本研究探討準點率與飛航聯通性指數之空間關係及空間計量模式應用，對於相鄰機場具有空間外溢效果者，應在鄰近機場採取共同政策，例如多邊協調時間帶分配，若擁擠機場一整天之內遭遇不同時段的航班延誤情形，可增加鄰近次級機場之使用，藉由仍可安排時間帶之次級機場而緩解擁擠機場之限制；透過空間外溢效應，其改善準點率之成效即可能大於僅針對單一機場之政策。

This research aims to explore whether airport’s on-time performance affects its air connectivity, and we use spatial statistics method to observe from spatial dimension whether airport’s on-time performance has spatial dependence. After determining this fact, we use spatial econometrics model to analyze spatial interaction and explore the relationship of interaction between airport’s on-time performance and air connectivity. Empirical materials are on-time performance information of 1047 global airports and 177 European airports in 2017. The analysis results show that nearby airports have better on-time performance when one airport has good on-time performance. Airports that have good on-time performance are mostly adjacent to each other; likewise, the air connectivity index has significant clustering. Besides, the spatial regression model mainly includes Spatial Lag Model, Spatial Error Model, Spatial Durbin Model and Spatial Autoregressive Combined Model. This research explores spatial relationship and spatial econometrics model application of on-time performance and air connectivity index. For nearby airports that have the spatial spillover effect, they should adopt common policies. For example, due to congested airport encountering flight delay of different time interval, it could increase the use of secondary airports by allocating time slots of secondary airports to alleviate restriction of congested airport. Through the spatial spillover effect, the effect of improvement on on-time performance may be greater than single airport’s policy.

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網路資料
1. ATAG. (2016). Aviation benefits beyond borders. Retrieved from https://www.atag.org/our-publications/latest-publications.html
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4. 董冠麟（民105年1月19日）。政黨票票倉到底在哪裡？空間自相關分析告訴你【部落格文字資料】。取自http://www.geog-daily.org/geogforum/14
5. 侯俐安（民107年5月22日）。準點率又跌！桃機：陸航班逾55％都會延誤【新聞群組】。取自https://udn.com/news/story/7266/3156715