| 研究生: |
陳姿伶 Chen, Tzu-Ling |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
以土地使用規劃觀點探討地震災害風險地區調適行為 Exploring adaptive behaviors in earthquake disaster risk area based from land use planning perspective |
| 指導教授: |
張學聖
Chang, Hsueh-Sheng |
| 學位類別: |
博士 Doctor |
| 系所名稱: |
規劃與設計學院 - 都市計劃學系 Department of Urban Planning |
| 論文出版年: | 2017 |
| 畢業學年度: | 105 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 160 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 地震災害 、土地使用規劃 、災害認知 、災害調適行為 、有限理性 、土地利用變遷 、不動產價格 、空間分析 、地區依附特性 、計畫行為理論 、結構方程模型 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | earthquake disaster, land use planning, disaster perception, disaster adaptation behavior, bounded rationality, land use change, real estate price, spatial analysis, place attachment, theory of planned behavior (TPB), structural equation model (SEM) |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:224 下載:23 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
臺灣位於環太平洋地震帶上,多變的地形與破碎的地層,加乘持續的壓縮推擠機制致能量向上累積,地震的不可預測性增添災害的敏感性與致命性。土地使用規劃手段為風險去除措施,納入災害風險相對關係、災害特性改變建成環境的地點、類型與發展密度,引導未來開發遠離已知災害風險地區,或是針對位於災害風險地區的既成建成區進行耐震補強、遷建等。然而,地震災害風險地區土地使用規劃面臨許多挑戰,尤其地震風險地區土地使用規劃的發佈實施變相地將地震災害風險資訊進行公開,可能潛在衝擊不動產開發投資意願與地震災害風險地區不動產價格。事實上,災害會對個體及其行為產生影響,行為個體接受到一定災害的刺激,即會產生情緒狀態並對災害產生回應。災害調適行為決策主要受到災害認知所影響,災害認知是人類面對災害的個體管理策略,受限於知識、資源的有限性,行為個體依據主觀的價值觀:「居住地點的情感依附性」與「有限理性」進行有限的選擇,最終形成「有限的最適決策」。綜合上述,規劃者與行為個體實質地兼負著不對等的責任,故面對防減災的決策是截然不同的。本研究認為人類行為普遍性為規劃者應具備的核心知識,藉由掌握人類行為進而合理的預期計畫施行的反應;另一方面,地震災害風險地區的土地使用規劃除了為研擬減緩地震風險土地使用規劃的核心目標,地震風險地區土地使用規劃的影響分析亦相當重要。是以,本研究據此關注於探討兩個課題,其一為地震災害風險地區土地使用規劃之影響,其二為探討災害風險認知與調適行為。本研究以全臺灣唯一一條車籠埔斷層限建區為研究地區進行討論。地震災害風險地區土地使用規劃之影響將應用土地利用變遷與不動產價格進行量測,進一步應用空間分析探討土地利用變遷與不動產價格的空間集聚特性,研究結果顯示車籠埔斷層線兩側各15公尺範圍建築使用面積增加比例呈現穩定增長趨勢,反觀研究地區建築使用面積增加比例趨緩,顯示地震災害風險地區並未衝擊土地利用需求;儘管限建區建築使用面積較非限建區略低,惟建築使用面積增加比例為限建區略高,以及變遷為建築使用面積增長比例亦為限建區較為顯著,顯示地震災害風險地區限建與非限建土地利用變遷存在差異;豐原與北屯車籠埔斷層線兩側各15公尺範圍出現變遷為建築使用與不動產價格高值集聚情形。災害風險認知與調適行為則奠基於計畫行為理論綜納居住地點情感依附性與災害風險認知建構假說模型,進一步應用問卷調查結果資料與結構方程模型進行探究各項潛在變數間的關聯性,研究結果顯示行為個體有限理性:地震災害未受損害信心程度正向影響行為個體繼續居住斷層帶的意願較大,其次為居住地點的情感依附性,主觀規範與知覺行為控制則對行為個體繼續居住斷層帶影響不顯著。
Taiwan is located at the Ring of Fire in Asian Resion.The diverse terrain, fragmental stratum, and continuing plate movement result in devastating earthquake disasters. Land use planning is one of nonetructural measures to eliminate risk by steering future development away from and by enforcing particular measures to exsiting built environment according to the disaster risk. Nevertheless, various argument arisen for applying land use planning in earthquake risk areas. Among the arguments, the announcement of land use planning in earthquake risk area is sort of disaster risk information disclosure and might impact real estate development willingness or property value. Athough land use planning in earthquake risk area might not necessarily impact real estate development willingness, some studies found out real state value in earthquake risk area is lower than non-earthquake risk area. Regardless of the arguments, the core value of land use planning in earthquake risk area is to mitigate potential loss caused by earthquake disaster. Therefore, the stakeholder is not only planners but also humankind. Any disaster affects individual and further force individual come out responses which is so called adaptation behavior, and such adaptation behavior miught be affected seriously by disaster perception. However, the external and internal factors and subjective values including place attachment and bounded rationality limit self choice and further make up limited optimizing decision. To sum up, the inequivalent responsibility between land use planners and private land owners result in various decision making outcome. The invariants of human behavior are important for land use planners to further predict the impact of land use planning reasonably. Besides, land use planning approaches are important while the assessments of land ise planning are as well. Overall, the study focuses on two topics, one is exploring the impact of land use planning in earthquake risk area, and another one is exploring individuals’ disaster perception and adaptation behavior in earthquake risk area with land use planning. Chelungpu Fault zone area is the study area for it is the only one has land use planning on it. Both land use change and real estate value will be applied to explore the impact of land use planning in earthquake risk area, and spatial analysis is used to measure whether there is significant cluster or dispersed pattern. Afterwards, the study establishes hypothetical model based on theory of planned behavior (TPB), place attachment and disaster perception, and structural equation model (SEM) is applied to measure the relationship between the variables.
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