簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 黃藍葶
Huang, Lan-Ting
論文名稱: 匯率與電子零組件製造業出口
Exchange Rate and Electronic Parts and Components Manufacturing Exports
指導教授: 林姿妤
Lin, Tzu-Yu
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 社會科學院 - 經濟學系
Department of Economics
論文出版年: 2022
畢業學年度: 110
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 30
中文關鍵詞: 匯率電子零組件製造業出口
外文關鍵詞: exchange rate, electronic parts and components manufacturing exports
相關次數: 點閱:122下載:13
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 本文研究旨在探討我國匯率與電子零組件製造業出口的關聯,研究樣本為 2001M1-2019M12 月資料。為了了解匯率如何影響我國出口,我們首先使用實質有效匯率估計總出口匯率彈性,研究樣本為 1996M1-2019M12 ,接著運用 Sato et al. (2013, 2015) 提出的電子產業實質有效匯率估計電子零組件製造業出口匯率彈性,最後分析電子產業匯率波動對電子零組件製造業出口的影響。

    實證發現: (1) 在 1996M1-2019M12 期間,實質有效匯率貶值顯著有利總出口,但隨著考慮越近期的樣本期間,貶值有利總出口的效果不再具有統計顯著性。 (2) 2006M1-2019M12 與 2011M1-2019M12 期間,電子產業匯率升值對於電子零組件製造業出口有顯著的正面影響。 (3) 在所有樣本期間,我們尚無足夠證據證明電子產業匯率波動與電子零組件製造業出口有統計關聯。

    This paper investigates the impact of exchange rates on Taiwan's electronic parts and components manufacturing exports. Given that export price competitiveness among industries might be different, both REER from BIS and industry-specific REER from Sato et al. (2013, 2015) are used in our analysis. Different sample periods are investigated. Our empirical results reveal that while depreciation significantly benefits total exports in 1996M1-2019M12, the effects become insignificant when more recent periods are considered. In addition, we find that the electronic industry exchange rate appreciation has significant and positive effects on the exports of electronic parts and components manufacturing in 2006M1-2019M12 and 2011M1-2019M1. However, no statistical significance is found between exchange rate volatility and electronic parts and components manufacturing exports in all sample periods.

    第壹章 緒論 1 第貳章 研究方法 8 第參章 資料說明 10 第肆章 實證結果 16 第一節 總出口與電子零組件出口的匯率彈性 16 第二節 產業實質有效匯率波動對電子零組件出口的影響 17 第伍章 穩健性檢定 23 第一節 總出口與電子零組件出口的匯率彈性 23 第二節 產業實質有效匯率波動對電子零組件出口的影響 23 第陸章 結論 27 參考文獻 29

    丁志華 (2018),矽說台灣—台灣半導體產業發展與全球地位,《科學發展月刊》,第五百四十一期,21–29。
    王泓仁 (2005),台幣匯率對我國經濟金融活動之影響,《中央銀行季刊》,第二十七卷第一期,13–46。
    徐千婷 (2006),匯率與總體經濟變數之關係:台灣實證分析,《中央銀行季刊》,第二十八卷第四期,13–42。
    林依伶 (2014),影響我國商品出口變動之因素—考量匯率對進口中間財之影響,《中央銀行季刊》,第三十六卷第三期,3–29。
    經濟部投資業務處 (2020),臺灣重點發展產業—半導體產業,1–19,取自 https://bizportal.moea.gov.tw/document/IndustryCommentary/Semiconductors.pdf。
    經濟部統計處 (2021),我國半導體設備產值可望連續 9 年創新高,《產業經濟統計簡訊》,第三百七十五期,1–3。
    Anaraki, N. K. (2014). Effects of euro devaluation on eurozone exports. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 6(2):19–24.
    Cheng, K. C., Hong, G. H., Seneviratne, D., and van Elkan, R. (2016). Rethinking the exchange rate impact on trade in a world with global value chains. International Economic Journal, 30(2):204–216.
    de Soyres, F., Frohm, E., Gunnella, V., and Pavlova, E. (2021). Bought, sold and bought again: The impact of complex value chains on export elasticities. European Economic Review, 140:103896.
    De Vita, G. and Abbott, A. (2004). The impact of exchange rate volatility on UK exports to EU countries. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 51(1):62–81.
    Fang, W., Lai, Y., and Miller, S. M. (2006). Export promotion through exchange rate changes: Exchange rate depreciation or stabilization? Southern Economic Journal, 72(3):611–626.
    Kato, A. (2015). Effects of exchange rate changes on east Asian technology-intensive exports. The Journal of International Trade Economic Development, 24(6):809–821.
    Sato, K., Shimizu, J., Shrestha, N., and Zhang, S. (2013). Industry-specific real effective exchange rates and export price competitiveness: The cases of Japan, China, and Korea. Asian Economic Policy Review, 8(2):298–321.
    Sato, K., Shimizu, J., Shrestha, N., and Zhang, S. (2015). Industry-specific real effective exchange rates in Asia. RIETI Discussion Papers.
    Sato, K., Shimizu, J., Shrestha, N., and Zhang, S. (2016). Industry-specific exchange rate volatility and intermediate goods trade in Asia. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 63(1):89–109.
    Tabrizy, S. S. (2020). Industrial research and development and real exchange rate depreciation in a small open economy. The World Economy, 43(9):2490– 2523.
    Wong, K. N. and Tang, T. C. (2011). Exchange rate variability and the export demand for Malaysia's semiconductors: an empirical study. Applied economics, 43(6): 695–706.

    下載圖示 校內:立即公開
    校外:立即公開
    QR CODE