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研究生: 楊慧華
Yang, Hui-Hua
論文名稱: 客艙安全與乘員生還因素之研究
Cabin Safety and Occupant Survival Factors of Aviation Accidents
指導教授: 張有恆
Chang, Yu-Hern
學位類別: 博士
Doctor
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 交通管理科學系
Department of Transportation and Communication Management Science
論文出版年: 2010
畢業學年度: 98
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 154
中文關鍵詞: 飛航事故客艙安全生還因素模糊德爾菲法緊急疏散因素分析風險優先數
外文關鍵詞: Aircraft accidents, Cabin safety, Survival factors, Fuzzy Delphi Method, Emergency evacuation, Factor analysis, Risk priority number
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  •   客艙安全 (cabin safety) 乃是整體飛安的一部份,涵蓋許多項目及領域,包括生還因素、人為因素、生理 / 心理因素、客艙緊急逃生、乘客安全及適航驗證等。由過去許多研究及統計資料可以得知,飛航事故生還機率最少佔有五成左右,而客艙安全與生還因素研究之目的,即在藉由降低意外事件中客艙及環境的危險,以增加航機失事後的生還機率,減少意外事故的傷害及損失。
      本研究依飛航事故發生時,客艙安全影響乘員安全及逃生的因素,發展及建立系統化且完整的評估架構,分為:『航空器設計及裝載狀況』、『駕客艙組員的訓練與協調』、『乘客行為與安全教育』、『機場及場外應變能力』等四大項,共計47個因素,利用模糊德爾菲法及統計分析工具,分析航機失事後影響旅客生還機率之關鍵因素。問卷發放對象為行政院飛航安全委員會飛安調查專家、民航局客艙安全檢查員及航空公司資深訓練講師。而實證研究以國內最近較著名的兩個個案為實證對象,一為新加坡航空公司SQ006班機2000年發生於桃園國際機場之重大意外事故為例,進行個案實證討論,並與模糊德爾菲專家問卷結果進行比較分析,驗證本研究所提因素之重要性;二為中華航空公司CI120班機2007年發生於日本那霸國際機場之重大意外事故為例,進行質性問卷深入訪談及量化問卷因素分析,從旅客觀點瞭解客艙緊急疏散實況,並探討我國客艙安全及教育訓練可改善之處。最後透過風險管理的觀念,以風險評估矩陣、風險優先數及改善可行性評估,研擬改善政策方向及建議。
      本研究結果發現,飛航組員的專業訓練與緊急應變程序為專家及乘客最重視之客艙安全因素,本研究最後並提出許多客艙安全改善建議,可以提供我國民航主管機關及民航業者加強客艙安全管理及各項教育訓練之參考。

      Cabin safety standards and training are important for maintaining safe aircraft operations, and aim at increasing the survival rate by minimizing hazards in the cabin and its environment to reduce the effects of an accident.
      This study designes a comprehensive survey based on discussions with aviation safety experts. And next a new framework of four major cabin-safety indicators that influence occupant survivability is proposed: (1) aircraft design and loading, (2) cockpit- and cabin-crew training and coordination, (3) passenger behavior and safety education, and (4) ability to cope with emergencies inside and outside the airport. Moreover, 47 possible survival factors are generalized and categorized under these four indicators. The Fuzzy Delphi Method is used to identify and rank the survival factors that may reduce injury and fatality in potentially survivable accidents. This study presents two empirical studies of Singapore Airlines (SIA) flight SQ006 and China Airlines (CAL) flight CI120 to illustrate the critical factors that influence airplane occupant survivability. This study also explores the cabin safety perceptions of passengers from their emergency evacuation experiences in an actual aviation accident. The data from the passenger perception questionnaire are analyzed using the factor analysis method. Finally, risk assessment matrix, risk priority number and achievability of four risk management policies are used to propose some recommendations in cabin-safety management.
      The study findings reveal important cabin-safety and survivability information that should provide a valuable reference for developing and evaluating aviation safety programs. The findings indicate that the crew assistance and emergency procedure are the most important factors from aviation safety experts’ opinions and the passengers’ perspectives. The results will be practical for designing cabin-safety education material for air travelers and encourage improvements that will promote more successful cabin-safety management.

    中文摘要 I 英文摘要 II 致謝 III 目錄 IV 表目錄 VII 圖目錄 VIII 第一章 緒  論 1 1.1 研究背景與動機 1 1.2 研究目的 2 1.3 研究範圍 3 1.4 研究流程 3 第二章 文獻回顧與探討 6 2.1 飛安事故之定義與分類 6 2.2 客艙安全之範圍與相關研究 9 2.3 乘員生還因素相關研究 12 2.4 小結 15 第三章 研究設計與評估架構 16 3.1 客艙安全與乘員生還因素研究設計 16 3.2 客艙安全與乘員生還因素研究架構 18 3.3 問卷前測與專家訪談 22 3.4 客艙安全與乘員生還因素評估架構 25 3.5 小結 30 第四章 研究方法 31 4.1 模糊理論 31 4.2 模糊德爾菲法 33 4.3 相關性分析 41 4.4 信度分析與因素分析 43 4.5 小結 44 第五章 客艙安全與乘員生還因素專家問卷分析 45 5.1 客艙安全影響乘員生還因素指標分析 45 5.2 客艙安全影響生還重要因素排序 52 5.3 小結 56 第六章 實證研究一:新航SQ006 57 6.1 新航SQ006個案介紹 57 6.2 新航SQ006生還因素分析 59 6.3 生還因素相關性分析與討論 62 6.4 小結 64 第七章 實證研究二:華航CI120 65 7.1 華航CI120個案介紹 65 7.2 華航CI120乘客問卷調查 66 7.3 客艙安全問題因素分析 71 7.4 小結 76 第八章 客艙風險管理與改善可行性分析 77 8.1 風險管理的意涵與衡量 77 8.2 客艙安全影響乘員生還因素風險管理分析 80 8.3 客艙風險管理與改善政策分析流程 86 8.4 客艙安全影響乘員生還重要因素改善政策 87 8.5 小結 99 第九章 結論與建議 100 9.1 研究結論 100 9.2 研究建議 104 9.3 研究貢獻 107 9.4 後續相關研究建議 108 參 考 文 獻 109 附錄一 專家背景資料一覽表 115 附錄二 專家建議修正之初擬問卷節錄 117 附錄三 專家訪談記錄 123 附錄四 正式問卷 126 附錄五 華航CI120乘客訪談問卷 139 附錄六 客艙安全影響乘員生還因素之風險管理問卷 144 作者簡歷 152

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