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研究生: 周子筠
Chou, Tze-Yun
論文名稱: 消費者對家庭用太陽光電系統之租與購願付價格與相關影響因素探討
Willingness-to-pay for Household Photovoltaic Systems about Leasing contrast to Purchasing and Influential Factors
指導教授: 施勵行
Shih, Li-Hsing
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 工學院 - 資源工程學系
Department of Resources Engineering
論文出版年: 2009
畢業學年度: 97
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 104
中文關鍵詞: 太陽光電系統聯合分析法環境關切不確定性因素租與購願付價差
外文關鍵詞: willingness to pay, conjoint analysis, environmental concern, uncertain factors, household photovoltaic systems
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  • 在全球節能減碳的潮流下,使用替代能源成為世界趨勢,將太陽能電池應用在建築上逐漸變成設計規劃的主流。本研究將探討消費者購買家庭用太陽光電系統時的不確定性因素,造成消費者租賃太陽光電系統與購買之間的願付價差(Willingness To Pay, WTP),並利用不確定性因素得分做為分群依據,以及探討消費者對環境關切的重視程度與採用意願或租賃意願的關係。本研究首先選定系統發電量、每月租金、租期、故障頻率四個屬性,運用聯合分析法(Conjoint Analysis, CA)分析消費者對太陽光電系統屬性水準的偏好結構,並進一步計算租賃與購買的願付價差;藉由消費者的不確定性因素建構出不確定性因素的重視程度和租與購願付價差的結構方程式,以及環境關切的重視程度與租賃意願的結構方程式。研究結果有政府補助獎勵、系統價格、系統壽命、故障頻率、技術太換速度、電價上漲幅度等六項不確定性因素,並將消費者分為高疑慮群(不確定得分高者)及低疑慮群(不確定性得分低者),高疑慮群及低疑慮群之租與購願付價差分別為1969元/月及509元/月,並分別受電價上漲幅度及系統壽命、故障頻率、電價上漲幅度影響。最後,消費者對太陽光電系統之租賃意願顯示與環境關切重視程度相關。

    Following the trend of saving energy used and reducing carbon produced of the whole world, to use the alternative energy becoming popular. The research discussed whether the uncertain factors that consumers considered while they buy the household photovoltaic systems cause the willingness to pay (WTP) for leasing contrast to purchasing or not.

    The research selected four attributes of the household photovoltaic systems which included capacity, monthly rental price, contract period, reliability. Used conjoint analysis (CA) to measure consumers' preferences of the household photovoltaic systems, and further calculated the willingness to pay for leasing contrast to purchasing. Use the part worth utility of photovoltaic systems, we can construct two regression functions as following, one is consumers' willingness to pay and uncertain scores, and the other is consumers' will to lease and environmental concern.

    The result showed six uncertain factors that included subsidies, prices, life-span, reliability, technology replacement rate, electric price. The high one of uncertain score is named the high doubted group, and the other is named the low doubted group, and the WTP is NT$1969 and NT$509 every month respectively. The WTP of two groups were influenced by electric price and life-span, reliability and electric price respectively. Finally, consumers' will to lease is affected by environmental concern.

    中文摘要 I Abstract II 致謝 III 目錄 IV 圖目錄 VII 表目錄 VIII 第一章 緒論 1 1-1 研究背景與動機 1 1-2 研究目的 4 1-3 研究方法與流程 5 1-4 研究對象與範圍 7 第二章 文獻回顧 8 2-1 新產品的接受度及不確定性 8 2-1-1 新產品的接受度 8 2-1-2 新產品的不確定性 9 2-2 太陽光電發展及不確定性 12 2-2-1 太陽光電技術原理 12 2-2-2 太陽光電系統型式 13 2-2-3 國內外太陽光電發展與推動情形 15 2-2-4 太陽能光電系統的不確定性 20 2-3 環境關切 23 2-4 聯合分析法與願付價格分析 24 2-4-1 聯合分析法的概念及發展 24 2-4-2 聯合分析法分析程序 26 2-4-3 聯合分析與願付價格 28 第三章 研究設計與方法 30 3-1 研究架構 30 3-2 建立屬性及水準值 32 3-2-1 建立屬性 32 3-2-2 建立水準值 33 3-3-1 成份效用值 40 3-3-2 屬性相對重要性 40 3-3-3 願付價格分析 40 3-4 問卷調查與設計 41 第四章 研究結果 43 4-1 問卷樣本資料分析 43 4-2 消費者偏好分析 45 4-2-1 全體消費者偏好分析 45 4-2-2 消費者分群 47 4-2-3 各分群消費者偏好分析與基本資料 48 4-3 消費者租與購願付價差分析 53 4-3-1 全體消費者租與購願付價差分析 53 4-3-2 各分群消費者願付價差分析 59 4-4 消費者願付價差與不確定性因素影響分析 65 4-4-1 不確定性因素之因素分析 65 4-4-2 願付價差與不確定性因素之相關性檢定 66 4-5 消費者願付價差與人口統計變數影響分析 72 4-6 消費者環境關切因素影響分析 78 4-6-1 環境關切因素之因素分析 78 4-6-2 環境關切因素與租賃意願分析 79 4-6-3 環境關切因素與人口統計變數分析 82 第五章 結論與建議 86 5-1 結論 86 5-2 建議 91 參考文獻 92 中文部份 92 英文部分 93 網頁部分 98 附錄 100 圖目錄 圖1-1 研究流程圖 6 圖2-1 太陽光發電原理示意圖 13 圖2-2 獨立、混合、併聯型太陽光電發電系統 14 圖3-1 研究架構 31 圖4-1 全體消費者之屬性相對重要性比較圖 46 圖4-2 全體消費者之成分效用值折線圖 46 圖4-3 高疑慮群和低疑慮群之屬性相對重要性比較圖 52 圖4-4 高疑慮群與低疑慮群之成分效用值折線比較圖 53 圖4-5 各集群發電量願付價差比較圖 63 圖4-6 各集群租期願付價差比較圖 64 圖4-7 各集群每度電租與購願付價差比較圖 64 圖4-8 不確定性因素平均得分長條圖 65 表目錄 表1-1 美國太陽光電租賃公司服務內容 3 表2-1 五個產品特徵與新產品採用率的關係 10 表2-2 各國太陽光電獎勵政策推動情形 18 表2-3 消費者購買太陽光電系統的不確定性影響因素內容及文獻 22 表3-1 再生能源相關文獻屬性蒐集 32 表3-2 本研究所選屬性及各支持文獻 33 表3-3 本研究所選維修服務屬性及水準值 34 表3-4 中華民國97 年10 月1 日起的電費計算 35 表3-5 家中電費與電力使用度數對照表 35 表3-6 不同發電量與每月分攤費用對照表 37 表3-7 各虛擬變數所代表之屬性水準值對照表 39 表3-8 9 組產品概念 39 表4-1 樣本敘述性統計表 43 表4-2 全體消費者之成分效用值分析 45 表4-3 全體受測者不確定性因素平均得分與標準差 48 表4-4 各集群不確定性平均得分及變異數分析檢定結果 48 表4-5 高疑慮群與低疑慮群之成分效用值與人口統計變數 49 表4-6 發電量之租與購願付價差(列減欄) 54 表4-7 全體消費者在不同地區之每度電租賃願付價格 54 表4-8 租期之願付價差(列減欄) 55 表4-9 購買不同發電量的太陽光電系統花費分析 57 表4-10 租賃汽車/房屋花費分析 58 表4-11 高疑慮群與低疑慮群發電量之效用值差距與願付價差 59 表4-12 不同集群消費者在不同地區之每度電租賃願付價格 61 表4-13 高疑慮群與低疑慮群租期之效用值差距與願付價差 62 表4-14 不確定性因素轉軸後的成分矩陣 66 表4-15 全體受測者租與購買願付價差與不確定性因素相關性檢定 67 表4-16 全體-不確定性因素與租購願付價差之廻歸係數 68 表4-17 各集群租與購買願付價差與不確定性因素相關性檢定 70 表4-18 高疑慮群不確定性因素與租購願付價差之廻歸係數 71 表4-19 低疑慮群不確定性因素與租購願付價差之廻歸係數 71 表4-20 全體受測者願付價差與人口統計變數之變異數分析結果 72 表4-21 不確定性因素和人口統計變數與租購願付價差之廻歸係數 73 表4-22 高疑慮受測者願付價差與人口統計變數之變異數分析結果 74 表4-23 不確定性因素和人口統計變數與租購願付價差之廻歸係數 76 表4-24 低疑慮受測者願付價差與人口統計變數之變異數分析結果 77 表4-25 不確定性因素和人口統計變數與租購願付價差之廻歸係數 78 表4-26 環境關切因素轉軸後的成分矩陣 79 表4-27 環境關切因素與租賃意願相關性檢定 80 表4-28 環境關切因素與租賃意願之廻歸係數 81 表4-29 全體受測者環境關切因素與人口統計變數之變異數分析 84 表4-30 高疑慮受測者環境關切因素與人口統計變數之變異數分析 84 表4-31 低疑慮受測者環境關切因素與人口統計變數之變異數分析 85

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    網頁部分
    1. 美國Citizenre REnU 太陽光電租賃公司網站
    http://renu.citizenre.com/index.php
    2. 美國Solar City 太陽光電租賃公司網站
    http://www.solarcity.com/
    3. 美國CT Solae Lease 太陽光電租賃網站
    http://www.ctsolarlease.com/
    4. 經濟部能源局
    http://www.moeaboe.gov.tw/Default.aspx?group=2
    5. 太陽光電資訊網
    http://solarpv.itri.org.tw/memb/main.aspx
    6. 台灣電力公司
    http://www.taipower.com.tw/
    7. 美國再生能源獎勵政策資料庫
    http://www.dsireusa.org/summarytables/finre.cfm
    8. 拓墣產業研究所
    http://www.topology.com.tw/tri/
    9. 日本太陽光電協會
    http://www.jpea.gr.jp/
    10. 工業技術研究院
    http://www.itri.org.tw/
    11. 小馬租車
    http://www.ponyrent.com.tw/short/short.html

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