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研究生: 郭文齊
Kuo, Wun-Ci
論文名稱: 莫拉克颱風對災害相關生理疾病的門診次數與支出之影響研究
The Impact of Typhoon Morakot on the Visits and Expenditures of Outpatient Care for Natural Hazard Related Physiological Diseases
指導教授: 郭彥廉
Kuo, Yen-Lien
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 社會科學院 - 經濟學系
Department of Economics
論文出版年: 2018
畢業學年度: 106
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 102
中文關鍵詞: 莫拉克颱風發病率門診次數醫療支出差異中之差異法
外文關鍵詞: typhoon Morakot, incidence rate, outpatient visits, health care expenditures, difference-in-differences
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  • 本研究旨在探討莫拉克颱風造成的水災對受災地區居民在個人生理健康上以及對健保在生理疾病醫療支出上之影響,並且更進一步將災害相關生理疾病再區分為:蟲媒傳染性疾病、囓齒動物傳染性疾病、水媒接觸傳染性疾病以及水災相關(眼睛、皮膚、胃腸道)疾病,探究災害相關生理疾病的「發病率」、「就診率」以及「支出率」在不同傳染性疾病類別中是否存在差異。國內外不乏探討水災對人類健康造成影響之相關文獻,然而其中多數研究著重在水災前後發病率之差異,且並未控制非水災地區之趨勢。本研究利用全民健康保險研究資料庫2008年至2010年之承保資料檔、門診處方及治療明細檔、醫事機構基本資料檔等檔案,結合莫拉克颱風災情報告、縣市重要統計指標等外部資料,建構出縱橫資料,以差異中之差異法(difference-in-differences, DID)固定效果迴歸模型進行分析。實證結果發現:莫拉克颱風造成的水災,使受災地區居民在災害相關生理疾病的發病率、就診率以及支出率上,分別提高0.1823%、0.2439%以及0.2568%,表示莫拉克颱風對受災地區居民在個人生理健康上產生負面之影響,並增加健保在生理疾病醫療支出上之損失。本研究之貢獻在於─估計颱風對災害相關生理疾病的個人就診次數與健保醫療支出之影響,可作為未來減災政策之成本效益分析。此外,針對各類別災害相關生理疾病發病率之估計結果,可作為降低颱風對健康造成負面影響之政策的制定依據。

    This study analyzes the impact the flooding caused by typhoon Morakot had on outpatient care visits and expenditures due to natural hazard related physiological diseases. Using the research database, we analyzed the morbidity rate, number of visits, and the expenditures on outpatient care for natural hazard related physiological diseases includes vector-borne diseases, rodent-borne diseases, waterborne diseases and flood-related eye, skin and gastrointestinal tract diseases. We examined the panel data of the 2008 to 2010 National Health Insurance outpatient claims using the difference-in-differences (DID) fixed effect regression model. The results show that the flood caused by typhoon Morakot increased the morbidity rate from natural hazard related physiological diseases by 0.1823% per 10,000 people, the rate of outpatient care visits increased by 0.2439% and the rate of expenditure for outpatient care increased by 0.2568%, indicating that the flood caused by typhoon Morakot had a negative impact on the physical health of residents in the flooded areas while also increasing the physiological diseases’ health care National Health Insurance expenditures. The contribution of this study is to be used as cost-benefit analysis of disaster mitigation policies which explore whether the preventive measures’ cost for natural hazard related physiological diseases is less than the increase in health care expenditures caused by the typhoon.

    第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究背景與動機 1 第二節 研究目的 4 第三節 論文架構 5 第二章 文獻回顧 6 第一節 莫拉克颱風災情概述 6 第二節 水災對人類生理健康之影響 8 第三章 研究方法 12 第一節 差異中之差異法(Difference-in-Differences, DID) 12 第二節 實證模型設定 16 第三節 資料來源 27 第四節 資料處理 30 第五節 傾向分數配對(Propensity Score Matching, PSM) 38 第四章 實證結果 41 第一節 敘述性統計 42 第二節 生理疾病發病率之處理效果 49 第三節 差異中之差異法模型之迴歸結果 52 第四節 穩健性測試(Robustness Test) 66 第五章 結論與建議 75 第一節 結論 75 第二節 研究限制與未來研究建議 78 參考文獻 80 附錄一 研究地區 87 附錄二 生理疾病ICD-9-CM碼 88 附錄三 生理疾病患病人數 89 附錄四 DID傳染性疾病迴歸結果 96 附錄五 PSMDID迴歸結果 100

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