近年來受到氣候變遷和各類土地開發活動擴張的影響，河川集水區洪災風險增加。人類為了調適氣候變遷所帶來的衝擊，紛紛以洪災風險管理的概念提出土地利用洪災減緩策略。然而，過去雖已有許多研究確立在保護河川上游之地表自然覆蓋以後，中、下游集水區內的地表逕流量確實會受到控制，有益於減低整個流域集水區的洪災風險，但是並沒有針對土地利用洪災減緩策略對上游集水區土地利用型態之影響進行探討。從集水區內不同區段的土地利用特性來看，上游集水區的土地利用型態與下游都市化地區並不相同，也不如下游都市化地區能夠有較大的彈性去調整其土地利用，由於土地利用發展的動態性和複雜性，策略方案的實施仍然可能對既有的發展型態產生不同的衝擊。
爰此，本研究運用土地利用空間動態模擬方法，以曾文水庫集水區為空間範圍，分析土地利用洪災減緩策略對曾文水庫集水區土地利用分布型態的影響，並進一步評估它的洪災風險減緩效果，提供土地利用決策者與民眾有效的資訊以進行規劃支援。研究結果顯示，曾文水庫集水區的洪災風險從1995年至2006年間增加許多，其因乃是地表自然覆蓋轉變為人為覆蓋所導致。然而模擬結果顯示，在實施土地利用洪災減緩策略後，洪災風險確實能夠獲得改善。從洪災風險管理的角度來看，若改變目前曾文水庫集水區土地利用型態變遷的機制，如加強土地利用分區管制或是其他減緩策略的實施，應該能夠使曾文水庫集水區的洪災風險上升情形獲得減緩。

Due to the impact of climate change and land use expansion in recent years, the flood risk of watershed area increased. In order to adapt the impact of climate change, land use mitigation measures under the concept of flood risk management are proposed. However, although recent researches have proved that the protection of natural land cover is profit to decrease flood risk in the entire watershed area, there isn't any research on the impact of land use mitigation measures on upper watershed land use pattern. In consideration of different land use characteristic in different sections of watershed area, land use patterns in upper watershed are different to lower part, it has less capacity to change the land use patterns. Because of the complexity of land use development, the implementation of measures can possibly have negative impact on existing land use patterns.
This research applies land use spatial dynamic simulation, takes a case study of TsengWen reservoir watershed, analyzes the impact of land use mitigation measures on upper watershed land use pattern and evaluate the efficiency of flood risk mitigation. The result shows that the flood risk of TsengWen reservoir watershed has increased a lot since 1995 to 2006 because of the transformation of natural cover to built environment. Moreover, the result of simulation shows the improvement on flood risk after the implementation of land use measures. From the perspective of flood risk management, the flood risk in TsengWen reservoir will be adapted if we change the land use patterns.

一、中文文獻
1. 王俞婷、李欣輯、謝龍生、林宣汝、郭玫君(2010)，嘉義縣淹水與坡地易致災區之災害衝擊評估，「中華水土保持學報」，第41卷，第3期，第255-263頁。
2. 王彥覃(2008)，應用自上而下與自下而上土地利用及降雨-逕流模式模擬土地利用變遷與水文量－以寶橋集水區為例，「台灣大學生物環境系統工程系碩士論文」。
3. 王艷艷、梅青、程曉陶(2009)，流域洪水風險情境分析技術簡介及其應用，「水利水電科技進展」，第29卷，第2期。
4. 汪中和(2004)，台灣降雨的長期變化及對環境的衝擊，「自然與文化研討會」，台北：行政院農業委員會林業試驗所，第50-54頁。
5. 吳宜昭、陳永明、朱容練(2010)，台灣氣候變遷趨勢，「國研科技」，第25期，第40-46頁。
6. 吳杰穎、邵珮君、林文苑、柯于璋、洪鴻智、陳天健、陳亮全、黃智彥、詹士樑、薩支平(2007)，「災害管理學辭典」，台北市：五南圖書。
7. 吳杰穎、李玉生(2010)，非結構式減災措施運用於空間規劃與管理之研究，「建築學報」，第72 期，第169-186頁。
8. 吳振發(2011)，台灣鄉村景觀變遷模擬之CLUE-s模式最佳參數試驗，「地理學報」，第62期，第103-125頁。
9. 李三畏(2005)，「集水區經營管理」，財團法人中興工程科技研究發展基金會。
10. 何报寅、張穗、杜耘、中山裕則、李兵(2004)，湖北省洪災風險評價，「長江科學學院院報」，第21卷，第3期。
11. 林漢良(2009)，「建立易致災地區之安全建地劃設機制與準則」，內政部營建署委託辦理。
12. 林裕彬、朱宏杰、吳振發(2011)，土地使用變遷模式回顧與比較，「國土資訊系統通訊」，第77期。
13. 金菊良、魏一鳴、傅強、丁晶(2002)，洪水災害風險管理的理論框架探討，「水利水電技術」，第33期，第40-42頁。
14. 周成虎(1993)，「洪水災害評估信息系統」，北京：中國科學技術出版社
15. 洪耀明、呂鴻廷、洪祈存、傅桂霖、郭炳榮、董至睿(2011) 上游河道泥砂清疏量體預測模式建立之研究，「水保技術」，第6卷，弟2期，第110-117頁
16. 洪鴻智、陳羚怡(2007) 洪災風險評估與災害風險稅課徵－以台北市為例，「臺灣土地研究」，第10卷，第2期，第95 -125頁。
17. 張益三、林威(2001)，南化水庫集水區土地分級使用規劃模式之建構，「規劃學報」，第28期，第65-87頁。
18. 張政亮、張瑞津(2006)，運用馬可夫鍊模型與細胞自動機理論模擬植生復育之研
80
究：以九九峰地區為例，「地理研究」，第45期，第123-142頁。
19. 張長義(2003)，濁水溪流域土地利用變遷機制研究－陳有蘭溪集水區山坡地土地經營面向分析(II)，行政院國家科學委員會專題研究計畫成果報告。
20. 黃書禮、蔡靜如（2000），台北盆地土地利用變遷趨勢之研究，「都市與計劃」， 第27卷，第1期，第1-22頁。
21. 陳永森(2010)，極端氣候影響下對臺灣環境規劃與災害識覺之省思－以八八水災為例，「工程環境會刊」，弟25期，第33-44頁。
22. 陳韋伶(2010)，以水災風險管理觀點評估土地使用調洪策略之研究--以鹽水溪流域為例，「國立成功大學都市計畫研究所碩士論文」。
23. 陳建忠、周士雄(2005)，地震災害風險分析與都市土地使用管制之研究，內政部建築研究所。
24. 陳亮全、洪鴻智、詹士樑、簡長毅(2003)，地震災害風險－效益分析於土地使用規劃之應用：應用HAZ-Taiwan系統，「都市與計劃」，第30卷，第4期，第281-299頁。
25. 郭翡玉(2010)，因應氣候變遷之國土調適策略－以台灣沿海地區為例，「都市與計劃」，第37卷，第1期，第47~99頁
26. 許晃雄、吳宜昭、周佳、陳正達、陳永明、盧孟明(2011)，「台灣氣候變遷科學報告2011」，台北市：行政院國家科學委員會。
27. 許澤仁(2009)，智慧型成長管理政策對於都市發展影響之情境模擬研究-以嘉義市為例，「國立成功大學都市計畫研究所碩士論文」。
28. 梁惠儀、許振崑、林伯勳、鄭錦桐、冀樹勇(2010)，極端暴雨事件於石門水庫集水區之土壤沖蝕量估算及探討，「中興工程」，第106期，第5-15頁。
29. 游保杉(2004)，水文循環與洪水，「科學發展」，第374 期，第6-13 頁。
30. 詹士樑、黃書禮、王思樺(2003)，台北地區洪水災害風險分區劃設之研究，「都市與計劃」，第30卷，第4期，第263-280頁。
31. 萬慶、魏一鳴、陳德清(1999)，「洪水災害系統分析與評估」，北京：科學出版社。
32. 盧光輝、廖健宏(1999)，集水區土地經營策略－以南投水里溪爲例，「私立中國文化大學地理研究報告」，第12期，第51-63頁。
33. 鄧英慧 (2003)，德基水庫集水區管理機制之探討，「中興大學水土保持學系博士論文」。
34. 蘇政宇、鄭旭涵、林家榮、林昭遠(2007)，地理資訊系統於土地可利用限度之劃定與土地利用適宜性之評估，「水土保持學報」，第39卷，第4期，第333-354頁。
35. 譚振威(2006)，台灣地區閃電與降雨的分類及其氣候特徵，「國立中央大學大氣物理研究所碩士論文」。
36. 顧嘉安(2010)，以馬可夫練細胞自動機模型模擬極端洪水對都市土地利用型態之影響－以台北市為例，「國立成功大學都市計畫研究所碩士論文」。
37. 薩支平、鄧慰先、賴如美、葉森海(2000)，「淹水潛勢資料在土地使用規劃與管理之初步應用研究」，台北市：內政部建築研究所。
二、英文文獻
1. Adger, W. N. (2006). Vulnerability, Global Environmental Change, 16(3): 268-281.
2. Anderson, D. R.(2000) Catastrophe insurance and compensation: Remembering basic principles, CPCU Journal, Vol.53: 76-89.
3. Asgary, A., Klosterman, R. and Razani, A. (2007). Sustainable urban growth management using What-If?, International Journal of Environmental Research, 1(3): 218-230.
4. Associated Programme on Flood Management (2007). APFM Technical Document No. 6- Formulating A Basin Flood Management Plan- A Tool for Integrated Flood Management, WMO/GWP Associated Programme on Flood Management.
5. Associated Programme on Flood Management (2007), APFM Technical Document No. 12- The Role of Land-Use Planning in Flood Management- A Tool for Integrated Flood Management, WMO/GWP Associated Programme on Flood Management.
6. Batty, M. and Torrens, P. M. (2005). Modeling and prediction in a complex world, Futures, 37(7):745-766.
7. Barredo, J.I., Demicheli, L., Lavalle, C., Kasanko, M., and McCormick, N. (2004), Modelling future urban scenarios in developing countries: an application case study in Lagos, Nigeria, Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, vol. 32, pp. 65-84.
8. Barredo, J. I., and Engelen, G. (2010). Land use scenario modeling for flood risk mitigation, Sustainability. 2: 1327-1344.
9. Batty, M. and Torrens, P. M. (2005). Modeling and prediction in a complex world, Futures, 37(7):745-766.
10. Beighley, R. E. and Moglen, G. E. (2002). Trend assessment in rainfall-runoff behavior in urbanizing watersheds, Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 7(1): 27-34.
11. Beighley, R. E., Melack, J. M. and Dunne T. (2003). Impacts of California's climatic regimes and coastal land use change on streamflow characteristics, Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 39(6): 1419-1433.
12. Benenson, I. (1998). Multi-agent simulations of residential dynamics in the city, Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 22(1):25-42.
13. Berke, P. R.(1994), Reducing nature hazard risks through state growth management, Journal of American Planning Association, 64(1): 76-87.
14. Böhm, H. R., Heiland, P., Dapp, K. and Haupter, B. (2002), Spatial Planning and Supporting Instruments for Preventive Flood Management. Final report of IRMA-SPONGE Project 5, Germany: Darmstadt University of Technology.
15. Böhm, H. R., Haupter, B., Heiland, P. and Dapp, K. (2004), Implementation of Flood Risk Management Measures into Spatial Plans and Policies, River Research and Applications, 20: 255-267
16. Bone C., Dragicevic S. and White R. (2011). Modeling-in-the-middle: bridging the gap between agent-based modeling and multi-objective decision-making for land use change, International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 25(5): 717-737.
17. Booth, D. B., Hartley, D. and Jackson, R. (2002). Forest cover, impervious-surface area, and the mitigation of stormwater impacts, Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 38(3): 835-845.
18. Bouwer, L. M., Bubeck, P., Aerts, J.C.J.H. (2010). Changes in future flood risk due to climate and development in a Dutch polder area, Global Environmental Change, 20:463–471.
19. Burby, R. J. (1998). Natural Hazard and Land Use: An Introduction, Cooperating With Nature: Confronting Natural Hazards with Land Use Planning for Sustainable Communities:1-26, Washington, D.C., Joseph Henry Press.
20. Burton, I., Kates, R. W. and White, G. F. (1993). The Environment as Hazard, N.Y. Guilford.
21. Burton, I., Malone, E. and Huq, S. (2004). Adaptation Policy Frameworks For Climate Change: Developing Strategies, Policies And Measures, United Nations Development Programme, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
22. Braimoh A. K. and Onishi, T. (2007). Spatial determinants of urban land use change in Lagos, Nigeria, Land Use Policy, 24:502-515
23. Castella, J. C., Kam, S. P., Quang, D.D., Verburg, P.H. and Hoanh, C. T. (2007). Combining top-down and bottom - up modelling approaches of land use/cover change to support public policies : Application to sustainable management of natural resources in northern Vietnam, Land Use Policy, 24(3):531-545.
24. Cardona, O. D. (2004). The Need for Rethinking the Concepts of Vulnerability and Risk from a Holistic Perspective: A Necessary Review and Criticism for Effective Risk Management’, in G Bankoff, G Frerks and DHilhorst (eds.), Mapping Vulnerability: Disasters, Development and People, Earthscan,London
25. Chang, C. T. (2008). Introduction of a Tradable Flood Mitigation Permit System, Environmental Science and Policy, 1(4): 329-335.
26. Chen, Y., Xu, Y., Yin Y. (2009) Impacts of land use change scenarios on storm-runoff generation in Xitiaoxi basin, China, Quaternary International, 208 (1-2):121-128.
27. Cheng, J. and Masser, I. (2003). Urban growth pattern modeling: a case study of WuhanCity, PR China Landscape and Urban Planning, 62:199–217
28. Choi, W. and Deal, B. M. (2008). Assessing Hydrological Impact of Potential Land Use Change through Hydrological and Land Use Change Modeling for the Kishwaukee River Basin (USA), Journal of Environmental Management, 88(4): 1119–1130.
29. Clarke, K. C., Gaydos, L. J. and Hoppen, S. (1997). A self-modifying cellular automaton model of historical urbanization in the San Francisco Bay area, Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, 24:247-261.
30. Clarke, K. C., and Gaydos , L. J. (1998). Loose-coupling a cellular automation model and GIS: long-term urban growth prediction for San Francisco and Washington/ Baltimore, International Journal of Geographic Information Science, 12(7): 699-714.
31. Cramér, H.(1999). Mathematical Methods of Statistics, Princeton:Princeton University Press.
32. Cutter, S. L., Barnes, L., Berry, M., Burton, C., Evans, E., Tate, E., and Webb, J. (2008). A place-based model for understanding commuity resilience to natural disasters, Global Environmental Change, 18：598–606.
33. Dams, J., Woldeamlak, S. T. and Batelaan, O. (2008) Predicting land-use change and its impact on the groundwater system of the Kleine Nete catchment, Belgium, Hydrology and Earth System Science, 12, 1369–1385
34. Deyle, R. E., and Smith, R.A. (2000). Risk-Based Taxation of Hazardous Land Development. Journal of the American Planning Association, 66,421-434.
35. Eakin, H. (2005). Institutional change, climate risk, and rural vulnerability: Case from central Mexico, World Development, 33(11):1923-1938.
36. Engelen, G. and White, R. (2007). Validating and calibrating cellular automata based models of land use change. In: S. Albeverio, et al., eds. The dynamics of complex urban systems: an interdisciplinary approach. New York: Springer, 297-320.
37. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) (1986). Mitigation Program Development Guidance, Federal Emergency Management Agency.
38. Fonstad, M. A. (2006). Cellular automata as analysis and synthesis engines at the geomorphology-ecology interface, Geomorphology, 77(3-4):217-234.
39. Footitt, A. and Hedger, M. (2007). Climate change and water adaptation issues, EEA Technical report, European Environment Agency, Copenhagen, Denmark
40. Fussel, H. M. (2007). Vulnerability: A generally applicable conceptual framework for climate change research, Global Environmental Change, 17(2):155-167.
41. Gallopin, G. C. (2006). Linkages between vulnerability, resilience, and adaptive capacity, Global Environmental Change, 16：293–303.
42. Geertman, S., & Stillwell, J. (Eds.)(2003). Planning Support Systems in Practice. New York: Springer.
43. Hooijer, A., Klijn, F., Pedroli, G. B. M. and Os, A. G. V. (2004), Towards Sustainable Flood Risk Management in the Rhine and Meuse River Basins: Synopsis of the Findings of IRMA-SPONGE, River Research and Applications, 20: 343-357.
44. Hung, H. C. and Chen, L. C.(2007), The Application of Seismic Risk-Benefit Analysis to Land-Use Planning in Taipei City, Disasters, 31: 256-276.
45. International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (ISDR) , Living with Risk A global review of disaster reduction initiatives 2004 version, United Nations, Geneva, 2004。
46. Kamusoko, C., Aniya, M., Adi, B. and Manjoro, M. (2009). Rural sustainability under threat in Zimbabwe–Simulation of future land use/cover changes in the Bindura district based on the Markov-cellular automata model, Applied Geography, 29:435-447.
47. Khoi, D. D. and Murayama, Y. (2010), Forecasting Areas Vulnerable to Forest Conversion in the Tam Dao National Park Region, Vietnam, Remote Sensing, 2,1249-1272.
48. Kleinen, T. and Petschel-Held, G. (2007). Integrated assessment of changes in flooding probabilities due to climate change. Climatic Change 81(3-4): 283-312.
49. Klosterman, R. E. (1999). The What if? collaborative planning support system. Environment and Planning B-Planning & Design, 26(3):393-408.
50. Kundzewicz, Z. W. (2002) Non-structural Flood Protection and Sustainability, Water International, Vol. 27, Issue 1: 3 – 13.
51. Lin Y.P., Hong N.M. and Wu P.J (2007) Modeling and assessing land-use and hydrological processes to future land-use and climate change scenarios in watershed land-use planning, Environmental Geology ,53:623–634
52. Linnerooth-Bayer, L. J. and Amendola, A. (2000) Global Change, Natural Disaster and Loss-sharing: Issues of Efficiency and Equity, The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance, Vol.25: 203-219.
53. Marshall, E. and Randhir, T. O. (2008). Spatial modeling of land cover change and watershed response using Markovian cellular automata and simulation, Water Resources Research.
54. Masood, M. &Takeuchi, K. (2012) Assessment of flood hazard, vulnerability and risk of mid-eastern Dhaka using DEM and 1D hydrodynamic model, Natural Hazards, 61:757-770
55. McColl, C. and Aggett, G. (2007). Land-use forecasting and hydrologic model integration for improved land-use decision support. Journal of Environmental Management 84(4): 494-512.
56. Merz, B., Hall, J., Disse, M., and Schumann, A. (2010), Fluvial flood risk management in a changing world. Natural Hazard Earth System, 10, 509-527.
57. Meyer, V., Scheuer, S. and Haase, D. (2009). A multi-criteria approach for flood risk mapping exemplified at the Mulde river, Germany, Natural Hazards, 48(1), 17-39.
58. Mileti, D. (1999) Disaster by Design: a Reassessment of Natural Hazards in the United States,Washington, Joseph Herry Press.
59. Milly, P. C. D., Wetherald, R. T., Dunne, K.A., and Delworth, T.L. (2002). Increasing risk of great floods in a changing climate. Nature 415(6871): 514-517.
60. Musungu, K. Siddique Motala, and Julian Smit ,(2012), Using Multi-criteria Evaluation and GIS for Flood Risk Analysis in Informal Settlements of Cape Town: The Case of Graveyard Pond, South African Journal of Geomatics, 1(1):77-91
61. Pagneux, E., Gi´slado´ttir, G. and Jo´nsdo´ttir, S.(2011) Public perception of flood hazard and flood risk in Iceland: a case study in a watershed prone to ice-jam floods. Natural Hazards 58:269-287
62. Pettit, C. J.(2005). Use of a collaborative GIS-based planning support system to assist in formulating a sustainable-development scenario for Hervey Bay, Environment and Planning, B: Planning and Design 32:4, 523-546.
63. Poelmans, L., Rompaey, A. V. and Batelaan, O. (2010). Coupling urban expansion models and hydrological models: How important are spatial patterns, Land Use Policy, 27(3):965-975.
64. Pontius, R. G. (2000). Quantification Error Versus Location Error in Comparison of Categorical Maps, Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing, 66(8): 1011-1016.
65. Portugali, J., (2000). Self-organization and the city, New York: Springer
66. Randhir, T. O. and Tsverkova, O. (2011). Spatiotemporal dynamics of landscape pattern and hydrologic process in watershed systems, Journal of Hydrology, 404, 1-12
67. Rees, W. G.(2008). Comparing the Spatial Content of Thematic Maps. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 29(13):3833-3844.
68. Schanze, J. (2006). Flood risk management—a basic framework. In: Schanze J, Zeman E, Marsalek J (eds) Flood risk management—hazards, vulnerability and mitigation measures. Springer, 149–167
69. Schwab, A. K., Eschelbach, K., Brower, D. J. (2006) Hazard Mitigation and Preparedness: Building Resilient Communities, Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons.
70. Shrestha, A. B. (2008) Resource Manual on Flash Flood Risk Management, Module 2:Non-Structural Measures, ICIMOD.
71. Stern, N. H. (2007). The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK
72. Semadeni-Davies, A., Hernebring, C., Svensson, G. and Gustafsson, L. (2008). The impacts of climate change and urbanisation on drainage in Helsingborg, Sweden: Combined sewer system. Journal of Hydrology 350(1-2):100-113.
73. Tong, S. T. Y. and Chen, W. L. (2002). Modeling the relationship between land use and surface water quality. Journal of Environmental Management 66(4): 377-393.
74. Verburg, P. H., van Eck, J. R. R., de Nijs, T. C. M., Dijst, M. J., & Schot, P. (2004). Determinants of land-use change patterns in the Netherlands. Environment and Planning B-Planning & Design, 31(1), 125-150.
75. Verburg, P. H. and Overmars, K. P. (2009). Combining top-down and bottom-up dynamics in land use modeling: exploring the future of abandoned farmlands in Europe with the Dyna-CLUE model, Landscape Ecology, 24:1167-1181
76. Verburg P. H., Koomen E., Hilferink M., Pe´rez-Soba M. and Lesschen J.P. (2012) An assessment of the impact of climate adaptation measures to reduce flood risk on ecosystem services, Landscape Ecology, 27:473-486
77. Vonk,G., Geertman, S., & Schot, P. (2007). A SWOT analysis of planning support systems. Environment and Planning A, 39(7):1699-1714.
78. Werners, S. E., West, J., Leemans, R., Ta`bara, J. D., Dai, X., Flachner, Z., Cots, F. and Neufeldt, H.(2011). Opportunities and Constraints for Climate Adaptation in Regional Water and Land Use Planning, The Economic, Social and Political Elements of Climate Change, Climate Change Management.
79. White, G. F.(1974), Natural Hazard Research: Concepts, Methods, and Policy Implication. In White, G. F. ed. Natural Hazards: Local, National, Global., N.Y. : Oxford University Press.
80. White, G. F., Kates, R. W. and Burton, I. (1986), Geography resources and environment; v.1. Selected writings of Gilbert F. Whit, Chicago, IL: University of Chicago.
81. Xie, Y. and Batty, M. (2005). Integrated urban evolutionary modeling. In P. M. Atkinson, G. M. Foody, S.E. Darby, & F. Wu(Eds.), GeoDynamics. Boca Raton:CRC Press
82. Xu, J., Eriksson, M., and Ferdinand, J. (2006) Managing Flash Floods and Sustainable Development in the Himalayas,Report of an International Workshop held in Lhasa, PRC, October 23-28, 2005. Kathmandu: ICIMOD
83. Yahaya, S., Ahmad, N. and Abdalla, R. F. (2010), Multi-criteria analysis for flood vulnerable areas in Hadejia-Jamaare River basin, Nigeria, European Journal of Scientific Research, 42(1):71-83
84. Zhang, R., Tang, C., Ma, S., Yuan, H., Gao, L. and Fan, W. (2011). Using Markov chains to analyze changes in wetland trends in arid Yinchuan Plain, China, Mathematical and Computer Modelling, 54(3-4):924-930.
三、網路資料
1.WERC水環境研究中心
http://140.124.61.21/newpublic_html/watershed/info/watershed_info.htm
2.行政院農委會林務局
http://www.forest.gov.tw/mp.asp?mp=1