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研究生：	德古卡 Pineda, Carlos Fernando Delgado
論文名稱：	利用本體論發展預製住宅專案之風險管理架構–以尼加拉瓜為例 Using Ontology to Develop the Risk Management Framework for Prefabricated Housing Projects in Nicaragua
指導教授：	馮重偉 Feng, Chung-Wei
學位類別：	碩士 Master
系所名稱：	工學院 - 土木工程學系 Department of Civil Engineering
論文出版年：	2020
畢業學年度：	108
語文別：	英文
論文頁數：	106
外文關鍵詞：	Risk, Risk Management, Prefabrication, Extraction Knowledge, Ontology
相關次數：	點閱：77 下載：6
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Risks are ever-present in all aspects of life, and the construction industry is no exception. One of the most important tasks that pertains to a project manager is how to effectively manage project risks and, in particular, schedule risks that may cause delays. This duty is very intricate not only due to the nature of the risk itself, but because the project management team must have a complete comprehension of their risk factors, origin and consequences.
Risks also depend in the nature of the construction project. In order to meet the global demand of housing and population growth, new technologies and procedures in construction have emerged in order to deliver on those needs. One such technology is prefabrication which combines both manufacturing and construction procedures to deliver a residential solution in a more expedite manner. The main drawback, however, is that the implementation of prefabricated houses in the construction industry brings about more complexity to risk management practices, as it merges risks from a manufacturing perspective.
The more knowledge and experience project managers can have, in conjunction with a proper methodology for risk identification, the more effective and efficient the risk management procedure can be. Consequently, the extraction of relevant knowledge and key features becomes a fundamental step towards competent risk management procedures. More specifically, this research conducts the development of an ontology-based risk management framework to improve the effectiveness of risk management of prefabricated housing projects.
In order to establish the framework, the methodology for ontology development was implemented and merges the information from the risk management practices and the various stakeholders involved in that process with the data obtained from the operational documents of the prefabricated housing production (PHP) project. The framework was validated through a case study analysis, which confirms a satisfactory inclusion of the knowledge gathered. The outcome of the framework is the ease for the project management team to pin point risk factors, analyze them and determine the potential project risks. This is demonstrated by the case study’s result, as it shows the ability of the proposed framework to identify features that show the trigger events of risk factors and their influence on the schedule of the project.

ABSTRACT ........................................................................................................................ I
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS .............................................................................................. III
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................ 1
1. Background ............................................................................................................. 1
1.1. Overview of Prefabricated Housing Production ............................................. 1
1.2. Overview of Schedule Risk Monitoring.......................................................... 2
1.3. Motivation ....................................................................................................... 3
1.4. Objectives ........................................................................................................ 4
1.5. Limitations ...................................................................................................... 4
1.6. Research Procedure ......................................................................................... 6
1.7. Thesis Structure ............................................................................................... 8
CHAPTER 2 PROBLEM STATEMENT .......................................................................... 9
1. Project Schedule Monitoring and PHP Construction ............................................. 9
1.1. Project Schedule Monitoring Methodologies .................................................. 9
1.2. Project Schedule Monitoring in Prefabrication ............................................... 9
2. Risk Management and Risk Monitoring System Requirements ........................... 10
2.1. Risk Management Approach ......................................................................... 10
2.2. Risk Management Gap in Construction ........................................................ 10
2.3. Construction Project Schedule in Risk Management .................................... 11
2.4. Schedule Risk Monitoring Raw Data ............................................................ 11
2.5. Summary of Problem Statement ................................................................... 12
CHAPTER 3 LITERATURE REVIEW ........................................................................... 14
1. Risk Management in the Construction Industry ................................................... 14
2. Project Schedule Risks ......................................................................................... 15
3. Prefabricated Housing Production ........................................................................ 17
4. Ontology Models in Construction Risk Management ...................................... 19
5. Summary of Literature Review ......................................................................... 21
CHAPTER 4 RESEARCH FRAMEWORK .................................................................... 23
1. Description of Scope ............................................................................................ 23
1.1. Domain Definition ......................................................................................... 23
1.2. Scope Definition ............................................................................................ 23
1.3. Aptitude Questions ........................................................................................ 25
1.4. Ontology Specification .................................................................................. 25
2. Data Collection ..................................................................................................... 27
2.1. Analysis of Gathered Documentation ........................................................... 27
2.2. Extraction of Important Concepts ................................................................. 29
3. Ontology Development......................................................................................... 30
3.1. Organization of Concepts into Hierarchies ................................................... 30 4.4. SWRL Logic Rules ............................................................................................... 31
5. Ontology for Schedule Risks and Project Documentation ................................... 32
5.1. Risk Type ...................................................................................................... 33
5.2. Factor/Stakeholder ........................................................................................ 34
5.3. Cause/Reason ................................................................................................ 36
5.4. Operational Document .................................................................................. 38
5.4.1. Forms ..................................................................................................... 38
5.5. Text ................................................................................................................ 39
5.6. Text Item ....................................................................................................... 43
CHAPTER 5 RESULT AND VALIDATION ................................................................. 49
1. Results .................................................................................................................. 49 5.1.1. Application of SWRL Logic Rules ............................................................... 49
1.2. Construction Operational Data Mapping ...................................................... 50
2. Framework Validation .......................................................................................... 64
2.1. Schedule Risk and Project Documentation Case Study Analysis ................. 64
2.1.1. Current Forms Evaluation ...................................................................... 64
2.1.2. Framework case study analysis: Document features and Risk Factors . 72
CHAPTER 6 CONCLUSION AND FUTURE WORK ................................................... 78
1. Conclusion ............................................................................................................ 78
2. Implication for Future Research ........................................................................... 79
REFERENCES ................................................................................................................. 80
APPENDICES .................................................................................................................. 83
Appendix A: Risk Classification – Design Stage of PHP ............................................... 83
Appendix B: Documentation Classification – Design Stage of PHP .............................. 84
Appendix C: Risk Classification – Ordering/Request and Production of PVC Parts Stages of PHP .................................................................................................................. 85
Appendix D: Documentation Classification – Ordering/Request and Production of PVC Parts Stages of PHP ......................................................................................................... 86
Appendix E: Risk Classification – Shipping and Customs Stages of PHP ..................... 87
Appendix F: Documentation Classification – Shipping and Customs Stages of PHP .... 88
Appendix G: Risk Classification – Storage and Assembly Stages of PHP ..................... 89
Appendix H: Documentation Classification – Storage and Assembly Stages of PHP .... 90
Appendix I: Definition of Ontology Instances ................................................................ 91
Appendix J: SWRL Logic Rules ................................................................................... 102
                                    

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