簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 徐一峰
Xu, Yi-Feng
論文名稱: 網約車及汽車共享對應自行駕車之偏好研究-比較上海及杭州之差異
Consumer Preference of Car driving versus Ridesoucing and Carsharing – A comparative analysis between Hangzhou and Shanghai
指導教授: 黃國平
Hwang, Kevin-P
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 交通管理科學系
Department of Transportation and Communication Management Science
論文出版年: 2021
畢業學年度: 109
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 106
中文關鍵詞: 汽車共享網約車敘述性偏好多元羅吉特
外文關鍵詞: Carsharing, Ridesoucing, Stated Preference, Multinomial Logit
相關次數: 點閱:135下載:0
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 共享汽車運具服務已潛移默化地深入民眾的日常生活,漸漸成為民眾出行的選擇方式。儘管探討共享汽車屬性研究之文獻數量不斷地出現,不過這些研究的努力大多數均專注於使用者特性或單一共享汽車運具的研究。但在網約車服務逐步霸佔融合傳統計程服務;汽車共享漸入民眾視野後,是否影響民眾對於出行運具的選擇方式的轉變是一大課題。
    本研究使用敘述性偏好法探討生活出行的上海與杭州地區的民眾對於現今之行之有年的網約車及逐步發展的汽車共享之偏好,並進一步鎖定最常使用運具外出之18歲以上進入社會工作的民眾。本研究另並探討現今使用者於買車意願的不同想法對於其偏好的影響。
    根據本研究結果顯示,「使用距離與使用成本」、「取車便利性」、「停車便利性」及「城市有無限行政策」都為屬性變數中影響最為顯著的部分,而對於擁有自有車輛的民眾而言,其對城市有無限行政策無感,但更為在意於停車之便利程度。另外,具有共享運具使用經驗之用戶更願意在住家附近進行共享出行旅程,本研究亦發現社會經濟變數對於模型之影響程度,如收入、年齡、學歷、買車意願等方案特定變數。透過建構偏好模型,藉希望了解民眾在意的變數因子,以使未來能更精確地反應民眾的出行偏好。

    Vehicle sharing services gradually synchronise with daily life by osmosis and become an alternative to travel. Albeit the number of research and documents focusing on the relevant issues consecutively emerges, a myriad of efforts contributes to understanding personal features or only coping with a specific vehicle. However, while ridesoucing services are capable of providing traditional and innovative services to customers, the impact of sharing services inseparable from the public begets an issue that how the novel services affect the way people travel.
    This research utilizes a narrative preference method to explore the preferences of people who commute in daily life in Shanghai and Hangzhou. Those who above 18-year-old and having working experience are the testing subjects. This research discusses the interplay between the intention of purchasing a vehicle and customers’ preferences.
    Pursuant to the results, distance and cost, availability of hailing, accessibility of parking, and the limitation of speed in a city make a huge and significant influence on the level of customer acceptance. However, for those who possess private vehicles, they are not sensitive to road space rationing, but more concerning the accessibility of parking. Furthermore, customers with experience in using shared vehicles are more willing to make a second attempt in the vicinity of their residences. This research also carries out efforts to analyse socioeconomic variables, including incomes, ages, education, and willingness to pay, and, by constructing a preference model, this research is able to identify factors that make a huge influence on people’s decisions. A model enabling researchers to measure people’s preferences more accurately is proposed.

    目錄 VII 表目錄 IX 圖目錄 X 一、前言 1 1.1 研究背景及動機 1 1.2 研究目的 6 1.3 研究對象 6 1.4研究流程 7 二、文獻回顧 9 2.1 網約車相關文獻回顧 9 2.1.1 網約車研究整理 9 2.1.2 小結 11 2.2 國內外網約車的市場 14 2.2.1 國際網約車發展現況 14 2.2.2 中國網約車發展現況 17 2.3 汽車共享相關文獻回顧 22 2.3.1 汽車共享研究整理 22 2.3.2 小結 24 2.4 國內外汽車共享的市場 29 2.4.1 國際汽車共享的發展現況 29 2.4.2 中國汽車共享的發展現況 33 2.5杭州與上海交通現況 37 2.5.1 杭州地區發展現況 37 2.5.2 上海地區發展現況 41 2.5.3 小結 45 三、研究方法 46 3.1敘述性偏好 46 3.1.1 敘述性偏好之意義與內涵 46 3.1.2 實驗設計 47 3.2 個體選擇模式 48 3.3 多元羅吉特模式 49 3.4 多元羅吉特模式參數校估與參數檢定 50 3.4.1 羅吉特模式參數校估 50 3.4.2 羅吉特模式參數檢定 50 3.5 問卷設計 52 3.6 屬性變數考量 53 3.7 屬性水準值設計 57 四、統計分析與模式校估 63 4.1 問卷調查 63 4.1.1 調查方式與範圍 63 4.1.2 問卷調查發放與回收 63 4.2 基本統計分析 64 4.3 IIA檢定實證結果 70 4.4 變數說明 71 4.5 結果校估 72 4.6 市場分析 81 4.6.1 市佔率分析 81 4.6.2 彈性分析 84 4.7 小结 87 4.8 管理意涵 88 五、結論與建議 91 5.1 結論 91 5.2 研究建議與限制 92 參考文獻 94 附件一 正式問卷 100

    一、中文文獻
    1. 同慶(2017),網約車使用者出行方式選擇研究,首都經濟貿易大學應用統計碩士論文。
    2. 蕭哲穎(2018),探討汽車共享之接受度:以台北都會區為例,淡江大學運輸管理學系碩士論文。
    3. 侯登华(2015),網約車規制路徑比較研究———兼評交通運輸部《網路預約計程車經營服務管理暫行辦法( 徵求意見稿)》。北京科技大學學報(社會科學版),Vol. 31 No. 6。
    4. 黃信榮(2014),電動汽車共享作為捷運轉乘運具之使用者偏好探討,國立高雄第一科技大學運籌管理研究所碩士論文。
    5. 陳昶宏(2009),共享汽車在台灣的市場潛力研究-以台灣北部縣市為例,元智大學管理研究所碩士論文
    6. 張英英(2017),網約車市場結構、差異化定價目標與平臺企業定價策略的選擇,天津財金大學應用經濟碩士論文。
    二、英文文獻
    1. Abraham, J. (1999). A survey of carsharing preferences. World Transport Policy and Practice, 5(3), 189-200.
    2. America, I. (2015). Rise of the Real-Time Traveler: An exploration of trends and innovation in urban mobility 81, 320-330.
    3. Barbour, N., Zhang, Y., & Mannering, F. (2020). An exploratory analysis of the role of socio-demographic and health-related factors in ridesourcing behavior. Journal of Transport & Health, 16, 100832.
    4. Beck, M. J., Rose, J. M., & Greaves, S. P. (2017). I can’t believe your attitude: a joint estimation of best worst attitudes and electric vehicle choice. Transportation, 44(4), 753-772.
    5. Becker, H., Ciari, F., & Axhausen, K. W. (2017). Comparing car-sharing schemes in Switzerland: User groups and usage patterns. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 97, 17-29.
    6. Ben-Akiva, M., & Lerman, S. R. (2018). Discrete choice analysis: theory and application to travel demand: Transportation Studies. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
    7. Catalano, M., Lo Casto, B., & Migliore, M. (2008). Car sharing demand estimation and urban transport demand modelling using stated preference techniques, European Transport Trasporti Europei 40 (2008): 33-50.
    8. Costain, C., Ardron, C., & Habib, K. N. (2012). Synopsis of users’ behaviour of a carsharing program: A case study in Toronto. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 46(3), 421-434.
    9. Dias, F. F., Lavieri, P. S., Garikapati, V. M., Astroza, S., Pendyala, R. M., & Bhat, C. R. (2017). A behavioral choice model of the use of car-sharing and ride-sourcing services. Transportation, 44(6), 1307-1323.
    10. Franckx, L., & Mayeres, I. (2015). Future trends in mobility: challenges for transport planning tolls and related decision-making on mobility product and service development. In: Deliverable, 1-49..
    11. Greene, W. H. (2002). Nlogit reference guide: Version 3.0: Econometric Software, Incorporated.
    12. Guda, H., U. Subramanian. 2017. Strategic surge pricing and forecast communication on on‐demand service platforms. Working paper, University of Texas at Dallas, Dallas, TX.
    13. Hall, J. D., Palsson, C., & Price, J. (2018). Is Uber a substitute or complement for public transit? Journal of Urban Economics, 108, 36-50.
    14. Hausman, J., & McFadden, D. (1984). Specification tests for the multinomial logit model. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1219-1240.
    15. Hensher, D. A. (1994). Stated preference analysis of travel choices: the state of practice. Transportation, 21(2), 107-133.
    16. Johnson, D., & Spence, J. C. H. (1974). Determination of the single-scattering probability distribution from plural-scattering data. Journal of Physics D: Applied Physics, 7(6), 771.
    17. Jorge, D., Molnar, G., & de Almeida Correia, G. H. (2015). Trip pricing of one-way station-based carsharing networks with zone and time of day price variations. Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 81, 461-482.
    18. Li, Z., Hong, Y., & Zhang, Z. (2016). Do ride-sharing services affect traffic congestion? An empirical study of uber entry. Social Science Research Network, 2002, 1-29.
    19. McFadden, D. (1978). Modeling the choice of residential location. Transportation Research Record(673), pp 72-77.
    20. Mohamed, M. J., Rye, T., & Fonzone, A. (2019). Operational and policy implications of ridesourcing services: A case of Uber in London, UK. Case Studies on Transport Policy, 7(4), 823-836.
    21. Paundra, J., Rook, L., van Dalen, J., & Ketter, W. (2017). Preferences for car sharing services: Effects of instrumental attributes and psychological ownership. Journal of environmental psychology, 53, 121-130.
    22. Rayle, L., Dai, D., Chan, N., Cervero, R., & Shaheen, S. (2016). Just a better taxi? A survey-based comparison of taxis, transit, and ridesourcing services in San Francisco. Transport Policy, 45, 168-178.
    23. Seik, F. T. (2000). Vehicle ownership restraints and car sharing in Singapore. Habitat International, 24(1), 75-90.
    24. Shaheen, S., Sperling, D., & Wagner, C. (1998). Carsharing in Europe and North American: past, present, and future, Vol 52, no 3, pp 35-52.
    25. Shaheen, S., Sperling, D., & Wagner, C. (1999). Carsharing and partnership management: an international perspective. Transportation Research Record, 1666(1), 118-124.
    26. Shaheen, S. A., Cohen, A. P., & Martin, E. (2010). Carsharing parking policy: Review of north american practices and san francisco, california, bay area case study. Transportation Research Record, 2187(1), 146-156.
    27. Stillwater, T., Mokhtarian, P. L., & Shaheen, S. A. (2009). Carsharing and the built environment: Geographic information system–based study of one US operator. Transportation Research Record, 2110(1), 27-34.
    28. Wang, M., Martin, E. W., & Shaheen, S. A. (2012). Carsharing in Shanghai, China: analysis of behavioral response to local survey and potential competition. Transportation Research Record, 2319(1), 86-95.
    29. Yu, H., & Peng, Z.-R. (2020). The impacts of built environment on ridesourcing demand: A neighbourhood level analysis in Austin, Texas. Urban Studies, 57(1), 152-175.
    30. Zha, L., Yin, Y., & Du, Y. (2018). Surge pricing and labor supply in the ride-sourcing market. Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 117, 708-722.
    三、網路文獻
    1. 極光大數據資料,擷取日期:2019年10月26日,
    https://www.jiguang.cn/reports
    2. 國信證券研究報告資料,擷取日期:2019年10月26日,
    http://002736.stock.inv.org.cn/report/?chinese=traditional
    3. 滴滴出行,擷取日期:2019年11月3日,
    https://www.didiglobal.com/
    4. EVCARD,擷取日期:2019年11月3日,
    https://www.evcard.com/
    5. 德勤行業報告,擷取日期:2019年11月4日,https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/cn/Documents/about-deloitte/dttp/deloitte-cn-dttp-vol7-ch3-future-of-shared-travel-zh.pdf
    6. 普華永道研究報告,擷取日期:2019年11月4日,
    https://www.strategyand.pwc.com/cn/zh/reports-and-studies.html
    7. 中國交通部,擷取日期:2019年10月1日,
    http:// big5.mot.gov.cn/
    8. 上海市人民政府,擷取日期:2019年10月1日,
    http://www.shanghai.gov.cn/
    9. 浙江新聞-早晚高峰 杭州私家车空载率超七成,擷取日期:2019年11月5日,
    https://zj.zjol.com.cn/news.html?id=1235458
    10. 浙江省人民政府,擷取日期:2019年9月11日,
    http://www.zj.gov.cn/
    11. 中國政府網-2018年中國機動車環境管理年報,擷取日期:2020年9月11日, http://www.gov.cn/guoqing/2019-04/09/5380744/files/88ce80585dfd49c3a7d51c007c0a5112.pdf
    12. 杭州地圖,擷取日期:2020年11月11日,http://m.manmu.net/tupian/pic62441.html
    13. 杭州統計局,擷取日期:2020年11月11日,http://tjj.hangzhou.gov.cn/art/2019/10/23/art_1229279688_56705074.html
    14. 人民網-交通強國建設的“杭州方案”,擷取日期:2020年11月15日,http://zj.people.com.cn/BIG5/n2/2020/0530/c186327-34052353.html
    15. 杭州網,擷取日期:2020年11月16日,https://hznews.hangzhou.com.cn/chengshi/content/2018-05/24/content_7007180_0.htm
    16. 微文庫,擷取日期:2020年11月16日,https://www.luoow.com/dc_hk/104936876
    17. 上海統計局,擷取日期:2020年11月16日,http://tjj.sh.gov.cn/tjnj/20200427/4aa08fba106d45fda6cb39817d961c98.html
    18. 杭州市交通擁堵指數實時監測平台,擷取日期:2020年12月4日,http://www.hzjtydzs.com/
    19. YiMagazine,擷取日期:2020年12月4日,https://www.cbnweek.com/articles/normal/17955

    下載圖示
    2026-01-15公開
    QR CODE