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研究生: 何育憲
Ho, Yu-Hsien
論文名稱: 專案趕工在模糊環境下之多目標權衡分析
Multi-objective Trade-off Analysis of Project compression in Fuzzy Environment
指導教授: 潘南飛
Pan, Nan-Fei
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 工學院 - 土木工程學系
Department of Civil Engineering
論文出版年: 2016
畢業學年度: 104
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 131
中文關鍵詞: 時間-成本-安全權衡多目標最佳化專案趕工模糊數學規劃
外文關鍵詞: Time-cost-quality-safety Trade-off, Multi-objective Optimization, Project Crashing, Fuzzy Mathematical Programming
相關次數: 點閱:107下載:7
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  • 營建工程專案的執行過程存在有許多無法預期且不可避免的不確定因素,使得專案進度落後。因此,承包商或管理者須執行趕工計畫,可能導致成本增加、品質下降、意外風險增加等問題。許多的施工單位因業主要求工程的施工進度而進行趕工,因此疏忽營造施工安全管理問題,造成職業災害發生機率較一般行業為高。因此,本研究提出專案趕工之時間、成本、品質與安全的權衡模式來分析趕工問題,並以非線性二次曲線來分析工期與直接成本之關係。另外,也提出模糊趕工模式,以模糊理論來分析在趕工期間所面臨不確定性的趕工成本與施工安全性。最後本研究使用兩個案例來驗證明確型與模糊型兩種模式之應用,以期達到縮短工期、降低成本、提升施工品質與降低安全風險的目標。

    On the execution of construction projects there are many unexpected and unavoidable factors, such that the project is behind the schedule. Therefore, the contractor or manager shall be implement catch-up plan, it result in increasing construction costs, reduction of quality, loss of construction safety and other issues. Many contrators due to the owner’s requirements to reduce the duration of construction works so as to neglect construction safety, it cause the construction occupational accidents higher than the other industry. Therefore, this study proposes a crashing project’s time, cost, quality and safety trade-off model to analyze crashing problem and nonlinear quadratic curve to analyze the relationship with the duration of the direct costs. In addition, a fuzzy crash mode, it using fuzzy theory to analyze the situation when execution crash plan facing uncertainty of crashing cost and construction safety. The last, using two cases in this study to show the certain model and fuzzy model , to shorten the construction duration, lower costs, improve construction quality and reduce the accident risks.

    目錄 摘要I Extended AbstractII 誌謝VIII 目錄IX 表目錄XII 圖目錄XIV 第一章 緒論1 1.1 研究背景與動機1 1.2 研究目的3 1.3 研究範圍與限制4 1.4 研究流程5 第二章 文獻回顧6 2.1 時間與成本權衡分析6 2.1.1時間與成本權衡分析小結9 2.2 營建施工安全9 2.3營建施工品質13 2.3.1施工品質與安全小結14 2.4非線性成本函數15 2.4.1小結17 2.5 模糊數學規劃17 2.5.1模糊數學規劃小結20 2.6 多目標最佳化20 2.7 文獻回顧小結23 第三章 研究方法之背景回顧24 3.1施工安全模型24 3.1.1施工安全模型小結26 3.2 時間、成本、品質與安全之趕工權衡模式27 3.3時間與成本權衡問題33 3.3.1時間與成本權衡問題小結36 3.4 可能性規劃36 3.5 小結45 第四章 模型之建立47 4.1 明確型非趕工模式47 4.2 明確型趕工模式50 4.2.1 時間模式50 4.2.2 成本模式51 4.2.3品質模式52 4.2.4安全模式53 4.2.5時間、成本、品質與安全模式小結 54 4.2.6滿意度法分析多目標問題54 4.2.7滿意度權重法分模式56 4.3 模糊型趕工模式57 4.3.1 模糊多目標模式比較60 4.4解法流程64 4.5小結78 第五章 案例分析與探討80 5.1 趕工問題─案例一80 5.1.1 非趕工情況88 5.1.2 明確型趕工情況89 5.1.3 小結106 5.2 趕工問題─案例二106 5.2.1 模糊型趕工情況108 5.3 小結 117 第六章 結論與建議118 6.1 結論與貢獻118 6.2 後續研究建議121 6.3研究限制122 參考文獻123 表目錄 表3-1 風險之可能性與嚴重度的程度分級表30 表3-2 Afshar等人(2007)案例形式32 表3-3 作業二時程資料45 表4-1 Daisy與Ng(2005)案例資料60 表4-2範例成本函數 66 表4-3範例成本函數 66 表4-4範例品質函數 67 表4-5範例風險發生可能性與嚴重度67 表4-6 雙目標工期與成本結果 69 表4-7 權重雙目標工期與成本結果71 表4-8 範例滿意度法求解結果 72 表4-9 小案例滿意度權重求解結果74 表4-10 模糊工期75 表4-11 模糊成本函數75 表4-12 模糊品質函數75 表4-13 小案例滿意度法α=0求解結果77 表4-14 小案例滿意度法α=0.5求解結果78 表4-15 小案例滿意度法α=1求解結果78 表5-1 各作業的時程資料81 表5-2 各作業項目資料82 表5-3 各作業項目資料83 表5-4 要徑作業上趕工1天之時程資料87 表5-5 要徑作業上趕工2天之時程資料87 表5-6 非趕工情況下之資料88 表5-7 各作業模糊直接成本函數106 表5-8 各作業之模糊品質函數 107 表5-9 各作業之模糊工期108 表5-10 單目標最佳化112 表5-11 雙目標最佳化112 表5-12 三目標最佳化113 表5-13 多目標最佳化113 表5-14 業主限制之多目標最佳化114 表5-15 權重滿意度法多目標最佳化114 表5-16 業主限制之α=0模糊多目標最佳化114 表5-17 業主限制之α=0.5模糊多目標最佳化115 表5-18 業主限制之α=1模糊多目標最佳化115 圖目錄 圖1-1 研究流程5 圖2-1 營建業職業災害類型統計圖12 圖2-2五種時間成本關係15 圖2-3 問題陳述圖18 圖3-1 安全投資之分類項目圖 25 圖3-2 安全投資型式25 圖3-3作業時間與直接成本費之關係圖27 圖3-4 選擇不同方案下所對應安全風險的示意圖29 圖3-5隸屬函數36 圖3-6 不明確係數c的可能性分布圖37 圖3-7 底集合39 圖3-8 Possibility measure39 圖3-9 Necessity measure 39 圖3-10 三角形模糊數41 圖3-11 品質二次函數46 圖4-1 小案例網圖66 圖4-2 成本關係圖74 圖5-1 專案各作業之節點式網路圖86 圖5-2 成本關係圖 112 圖5-3Klanšek與Pšunder (2012)求解結果116

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