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研究生: 博麥克
Brose, Michael
論文名稱: The Impact of the U.S. Subprime Mortgage Crisis on Different Industries in the U.S.
The Impact of the U.S. Subprime Mortgage Crisis on Different Industries in the U.S.
指導教授: 康信鴻
Kang, Hsin-Hong
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 國際經營管理研究所碩士班
Institute of International Management (IIMBA--Master)
論文出版年: 2009
畢業學年度: 97
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 68
外文關鍵詞: Subprime mortgage market, Herding, Financial crisis theory, Asset price, Default, Financial liberalization
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  • This study investigates an empirical relationship of previous financial crises with that of the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis of 2007. Using data from 2002 to 2008, this paper examines three key industries in the U.S. stock market before and after the U.S. subprime mortgage meltdown in the fall of 2007. There are one hundred and eighty companies examined, using a multiple regression model to examine the interdependencies between industries and previous global financial crises. This investigation contributes to the general literature by documenting the relationship between global financial crises this century and last to a proven financial crisis theory. A financial crisis theory is used to show the connection to prior financial crises to the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, in order to better comprehend the fundamental and technical patterns of a financial crisis. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact the current U.S. subprime mortgage crisis has had on three industries in the U.S. stock market. A multiple regression model is used to investigate the significance of the subprime mortgage crisis on three separate U.S. industries. This paper analyzes important financial information from February 2002 to October 2008, five years prior to January 2007 and a period of twenty-one months after the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis became evident of its sheer size and power to influence financial institutions and markets in February 2007.

    ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS……………………………………………………………………I ABSTRACT…………………………………………………………………………………..II TABLE OF CONTENTS…………………………………………………………………….III LIST OF TABLES…………………………………………………………………………...VI LIST OF FIGURES................................................................................................................VII CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION………………………………………………………….1 1.1 Research Background and Motivation .......................................................................... 1 1.2 The Anatomy of the Crisis………………………………………………………………3 1.2.1 Mortgage………………………………………………...………………………...3 1.2.2 Subprime Mortgage………………………………..………………….…………...3 1.2.3 Subprime Lenders………………………………………………………...………..4 1.2.4 Subprime Borrowers………………………………………..………….….……….5 1.2.5 U.S. Subprime Mortgage Defaults……………………………...…………………5 1.2.6 Why a Crisis………………………………………………….………….….……..6 1.3 Contribution……………………………………………………...…………....………...7 CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW…………………………………...……………10 2.1 Financial Crisis Theory……………………………………...………………....………10 2.1.1 A Theory of Financial Crisis in depth....................................................................11 2.2 A Comparison of International Financial Crises………………………..………..…….14 2.2.1 Great Depression…………………………………………………………........…15 2.2.2 Mexico/Latin America Financial Crises…………………………….…….….…..16 2.2.3 East Asian Financial Crisis………………………………………………..…..…17 2.2.4 U.S. Subprime Mortgage Crisis…………………………………………….....….18 CHAPTER THREE RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY……………….……..21 3.1 Data Source…………………………………………………………………………….21 3.2 Regression Model…………………………………………………………….…...……22 3.2.1 Dummy Variable and Independent Variables..........................................................22 3.2.2 Dependent Variables………………………………………………………………22 3.3 Hypothesis………………………………………………………………….……....…..25 CHAPTER FOUR RESEARCH RESULTS……………………………………….…...……27 4.1 Regression Models Tested………………………………………………………..…….27 4.1.1 Multicollinearity Test..............................................................................................27 4.1.2 Significance Test………………………………………………………....….…….28 4.1.3 Heteroscedasticity Test………………………………………………....………....28 4.1.4 Autocorrelation Test…………………………………………...……………….…29 4.1.5 Chow Breakpoint Test……………………………………………………....…….29 4.2 Regression Results before the Financial Crisis……………………….…………....…..32 4.2.1 Regression Model Results of Equation 4.1…………………………..…….....…..34 4.2.2 Regression Model Results of Equation 4.2…………………………..…….....…..37 4.2.3 Regression Model Results of Equation 4.3………………………..……….....…..40 4.2.4 Regression Model Results of Equation 4.4…………………………..……….…..43 4.3 Regression Results after the Financial Crisis…………………………………….…….46 4.3.1 Regression Model Results of Equation 4.1………………………………...……..47 4.3.2 Regression Model Results of Equation 4.2………………………..……….……..50 4.3.3 Regression Model Results of Equation 4.3………………………..……….……..53 4.3.4 Regression Model Results of Equation 4.4…………………………….…..……..56 4.4 Comparison of the Data Results before and after the Crisis…………………….……..59 CHAPTER FIVE RESEARCH CONCLUSIONS AND SUGGESTIONS………………….61 5.1 Financial Crises Conclusions……………………………………………………….….61 5.2 Practical Implications……………………………………………………..………....…63 5.3 Policy Implications……………………………………………………….……….……64 REFERENCES….………………………………………………………….…………....…...68

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