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研究生: 王婷茹
Wang, Ting-Ru
論文名稱: 分析濟急:急診複雜腹腔內感染之敘述性與預測性分析
Emergency Analytics: Descriptive and Predictive Analytics for the Complicated Intra-abdominal Infection
指導教授: 李昇暾
Li, Sheng-Tun
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 工業與資訊管理學系碩士在職專班
Department of Industrial and Information Management (on the job class)
論文出版年: 2022
畢業學年度: 110
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 71
中文關鍵詞: 急診複雜腹腔內感染描述性分析預測性分析資料探勘
外文關鍵詞: Emergency department, Complicated intra-abdominal infections, Descriptive analytics, Predictive analytics, Data mining
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  • 急性腹痛為急診常見的主訴之一,從最輕微的急性胃炎到會隨時致命的主動脈剝離都會以腹痛來表現。然而,腹部藏了眾多的器官,醫師必須從病史詢問、身體檢查、實驗室檢驗到影像檢查,將可能的原因逐一抽絲剝繭找出問題,明確地鑑別複雜腹腔內感染 (complicated intra-abdominal infection, cIAI) 與其他疾病。本研究以資料探勘對臨床數據進行分類與預測,應用商業智慧描述性分析急診複雜腹腔內感染之可能性,並預期將複雜且雜亂的數據注入專家知識,達到決策支援的目的。
    此研究回溯性收集2017年1月至6月在台灣南部某醫學中心急診就診之成年患者,且接受腹部電腦斷層檢查的資料,從電子病歷提取患者生命徵象、身體檢查的初始表現及檢驗數值,經由線上即時分析處理 (On-Line Analytical Processing, OLAP),以多個維度來剖析急診病患數據,運用資料探勘軟體以決策樹、隨機森林及梯度提升等探勘方法建立模型,了解資料間的關聯性,並找出急診患者之複雜腹腔內感染的重要特徵,最終以視覺化圖表呈現與說明分析之結果。
    結果顯示變數中以腹痛徵狀及檢驗項目中C反應性蛋白 (C-reactive protein, CRP)、丙胺酸轉胺酶 (glutamic pyruvic transaminase, GPT) 的數值差異對診斷cIAI有顯著影響。針對cIAI患者數據,收縮壓 (systolic blood pressure, SBP)、白血球 (white blood cell, WBC)、中性球 (segmented neutrophil, Seg)、GPT及CRP皆較正常值高的傾向,其中針對SBP建議觀察患者之長時間的血壓變化,而疼痛感較為特異的類別,例如:右下腹反彈痛、右下腹壓痛、右下腹轉移痛、及右上腹痛,有比較高的機率診斷為cIAI。透過梯度提升模型建立模型,達到85.71%的準確率,確立關鍵變數為檢驗項目中的白血球及血紅蛋白 (hemoglobin),讓醫療人員在臨床執行醫療照護時,能注意患者指標。綜觀急診患cIAI的患者在執行電腦斷層檢查前,仍有許多防線能及早發現,以提醒醫療人員需更深入的了解,如此才能利用數據為臨床加值。

    From acute gastritis to lethal aortic dissection, acute abdominal pain is a common presentation in the emergency department (ED). However, the abdomen contains many vital organs. Hence, emergency physicians have to differential diagnosis complicated intra-abdominal infection (cIAI) from other disease by means of taking the patients' medical history, requesting a physical examination, performing laboratory tests, and conducting imaging examinations, such as X-ray and computed tomography. This study practices data mining to predict and classify clinical data and applies business intelligence analytics to analyze cIAI in ED for the decision-making process.
    The research retrospectively enrolled 1,628 patients who visited the ED of a tertiary teaching hospital in Southern Taiwan from January to June in 2017. The collected clinical data include patients’ vital signs, clinical symptoms, and laboratory data. Meanwhile, On-line analytical processing (OLAP) technique was applied to analyze data with multiple dimensions. We also developed models via integrating decision trees, random forests, and gradient boosting methods to identify the correlation of data. And the research results were presented visually by charts to help effective data presentation.
    These results suggest that the abdominal pain symptoms and the increments in the values of C-reactive protein (CRP) and glutamic pyruvic transaminase (GPT) have a significant impact on the diagnosis of cIAI. We disclose the values in cIAI patients of systolic blood pressure, white blood cell (WBC), segmented neutrophil, GPT and CRP are higher than normal, but it is more appropriate to observe the patients’ long-term blood pressure variability; patients with specific pain, such as RLQ rebound pain, RLQ tenderness, RLQ transfer pain, and RUQ pain have higher possibilities to be diagnosed as cIAI; the gradient boosting model demonstrates the highest prediction with the accuracy of 85.71% that shows the key variables are established as WBC and hemoglobin. On this basis, the concept of patients suffering from cIAI still have many lines of defense that can be detected early before performing the CT examination.

    摘要 I 英文延伸摘要 II 誌謝 VI 目錄 VII 表目錄 X 圖目錄 XI 第一章、緒論 1 1-1研究背景 1 1-2研究動機與目的 1 1-3研究流程 2 第二章、文獻回顧 4 2-1腹腔內感染 4 2-1.1急診複雜腹腔內感染 5 2-1.2複雜腹腔內感染之臨床表現與診斷 6 2-2商業智慧 7 2-2.1商業智慧分析類型 7 2-2.2資料的多維度模式 9 2-2.3線上即時分析處理 10 2-3資料探勘 11 2-3.1機器學習 13 2-3.2決策樹 14 2-3.3隨機森林 16 2-3.4梯度提升決策樹 17 2-4文獻小結 18 第三章、研究方法 19 3-1研究架構 19 3-1.1資料來源 20 3-1.2研究限制 21 3-2研究工具 21 3-3研究方法 22 3-3.1問題描述 22 3-3.2資料前置處理 23 3-3.3資料倉儲的維度資料模式 23 3-3.4商業智慧分析 26 3-3.5資料探勘SEMMA模式 27 3-3.6模型方法 28 3-3.7模型評估指標 30 第四章、實證結果與分析 33 4-1數據處理與說明 33 4-2研究結果 37 4-2.1商業智慧 37 4-2.2統計分析 51 4-2.3資料探勘 53 4-3研究結果小結 58 第五章、結論與建議 60 5-1研究結論與建議 60 5-2管理意涵 62 5-3未來研究方向 63 參考文獻 65

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