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研究生: 孔詠萱
Kung, Yung-Hsuan
論文名稱: 從系統觀點初探都市災害經驗學習與資料整合架構
Exploratory Study on the Framework of Experiential Learning and Data Integration for Urban Disasters: A Systems Perspective
指導教授: 黃泰霖
Huang, Tai-Lin
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 規劃與設計學院 - 都市計劃學系
Department of Urban Planning
論文出版年: 2021
畢業學年度: 109
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 114
中文關鍵詞: 都市災害系統分析經驗學習
外文關鍵詞: urban disasters, systems analysis, experiential learning
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  • 古之明訓「不經一事,不長一智」、「一朝被蛇咬,十年怕草繩」,皆在描述人透過經驗學習成長、記取教訓的過程,同樣地,當人類面對災害的衝擊,可以透過了解過去形成災害問題的本質,加以採取對應措施降低可能受到的影響達到經驗學習。然而目前相似問題本質的災害現象仍反覆發生,回顧災害概念,其根植於人類活動的都市系統中,包含不同資源、實體設施、組織與人的交互運作與干擾而形成的複雜關係與因素,而過去累積災害事件描述則過於簡化,多關注於直接可見的自然危害、損失統計之內容並以災害類別主管機關各自存放、事件為記錄為單元,形成各自之描述與分析方式,將每個事件視為獨立的特殊現象,不利整合討論影響災害損失形成原因,需要建立更有效學習災害經驗的方式。
    基此,探討經驗學習理論,獲取建立模擬系統,反覆於現實與模擬系統資訊反饋結果中協助快速了解對問題的認知,提升學習效率的概念基礎,進一步回顧都市系統了解主要組成結構內容與關鍵的資源項目,並綜合事故分析工具提供系統性分析災害事件中的事故因素方法,提出系統觀點建立都市災害經驗學習與資料整合架構,進一步從都市運作基礎關鍵資源,擇定了臺北市生活用水供應系統作為初探個案,依據架構蒐集系統組成主要結構與不同影響系統運作的災害事件案例資訊討論可學習災害經驗。
    從操作結果可發現,架構可協助詮釋事件中上層可能形成問題管控單位,除了實體工程設施,也得以關注相關規章機制,確認是否有對應之策略,連結潛在的因果脈絡,並了解相互運作關係,補充對系統的認知,而能詮釋更廣泛的災害因素,促進改善都市各系統設計,提供了一個災害經驗學習與資料整合方向,輔助過去以單個事件檢視災害問題下可能未關注的影響關係與策略方向,為災害經驗學習帶來不同的啟發,未來研究建議透過視覺化研究、專家訪談與資料探勘技術,協助目前在資料蒐集與災害事件和系統關係呈現上的限制,並擴展探討不同面向、層級之都市系統範圍與災害事件,以利累積量化建模評估基礎。

    “Wisdom comes from experience.” Humans can understand the essential factors that formed the impact of disasters in the past, and take corresponding measures to reduce the possible impact. Therefore, it is more necessary to apply the experience brought by each event. However, the description of the current disaster event is too simplified and acts individually. Independent event records, unfavorable integration of discussions and considerations to form disaster factors, and rapid strategies may fail to solve the disaster problem. A more effective way of learning disaster experience is needed.
    Through literature reviews of experiential learning theory, disaster concept and experiential learning status, disaster concept and experiential learning status, urban system and accident analysis tools, establish a systematic disaster experiential learning and data integration framework. The framework helps to explore the operating mechanisms in Taipei City’s domestic water supply systems through case analysis. Besides physical engineering facilities, various regulations and control mechanisms at the upper level and understanding of mutual operating relationships link potential to interpret a broader disaster causal context, promoting the improvement of urban system design. The proposed framework assists in examining the impact relationships and strategic directions in the single past event that may lead to systemic problems and bring novel experiential learning from disasters. The author suggests that visualization, expert interviews, and data-mining techniques may help remove the limitations found in this research, including data collection, the presentation of the relationship between disaster events and the system, and extending the systems to different aspects and levels. The scope of urban systems and disaster events used in this study may form the basis of quantitative modeling and evaluation in the future.

    摘要 I 誌謝 VI 目錄 VII 圖目錄 VIII 表目錄 X 第一章、緒論 1 第一節、研究動機 1 第二節、研究目的 3 第三節、研究流程 4 第二章、文獻回顧 6 第一節、經驗學習理論 6 第二節、災害概念與經驗學習現況 10 第三節、都市系統 21 第四節、事故分析工具 26 第五節、文獻回顧總結 37 第三章、研究設計 39 第一節、研究性質 39 第二節、研究架構 40 第三節、個案研究法 41 第四節、個案研究範圍 42 第五節、操作流程 48 第四章、個案分析:架構應用探討 50 第一節、臺北市生活用水供應系統資訊蒐集 50 第二節、影響臺北市生活用水災害事件資訊蒐集 60 第三節、臺北市生活用水供應系統災害經驗分析 71 第五章、結論與建議 85 第一節、研究發現與討論 85 第二節、研究限制 90 第三節、未來研究建議 92 參考文獻 94 附件一、災害事件記錄資料庫網站調查列表 102 附件二、臺北市生活用水供應系統資訊來源 111 附件三、影響臺北市生活用水災害事件資訊來源 113

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