| 研究生: |
黃孟乾 Huang, Meng-Chien |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
以降雨之機率分佈評估營建作業生產力 Assessment of Productivity of Construction Activities based on Rainfall Probability Distribution |
| 指導教授: |
潘南飛
Pan, Nang-Fei |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
工學院 - 土木工程學系 Department of Civil Engineering |
| 論文出版年: | 2018 |
| 畢業學年度: | 106 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 97 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 降雨量 、機率分佈函數 、營建生產力 、模糊推論 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Rainfall, Probability distribution function, Construction productivity, Fuzzy reasoning |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:85 下載:0 |
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營建工程中工期及安全問題受降雨因素影響甚大,降雨時會使露天工程作業施作困難,雨量過大時則必須停止作業,延誤工程進度。因此,降雨因素高度影響工期、安全甚至品質等問題。
一般工程上常見是否作業之決策方式是由工程人員主觀的經驗做判斷,為避免工程人員因不熟悉降雨模式或作業生產力的影響而發生不良判斷的狀況,本研究建立一套方法來輔助工程人員做決策。
本研究統計台灣地區單位小時降雨量資料,利用樣本之偏態及峰態係數制定座標圖法來配適小時降雨量對應之機率分佈模式及其函數,並建立降雨量之機率密度函數(Probability density function),參考過去文獻建立營建作業生產力對降雨函數圖,結合降雨量之機率密度函數計算期望生產力折減百分比,再以專業工程人員之經驗建立模糊推論系統來評估工程在受降雨影響的狀況下是否適合進行施工。
The construction duration and safety problems in the project are greatly affected by the rainfall factors. Especially the impact of open air operations is greater. Therefore, the rainfall factor has a high impact on the construction period, safety and even quality.
In general engineering, the decision-making method of whether the operation is common is judged by the subjective experience of the engineering personnel. In order to avoid the situation that the engineering personnel is unfavorable because of the unfamiliarity of the rainfall mode or the productivity loss of the operation, this study uses the fuzzy reasoning system to assist the project engineer to make the decisions.
This paper calculates the unit hourly rainfall data in Taiwan, uses the skewness and kurtosis coefficient of the sample to develop the coordinate method to match the probability distribution function, refer to the past research to establish the productivity of the construction operation by rainfall function, combined with the probability density function of rainfall to calculate the expected productivity reduction percentage, and then establish the fuzzy reasoning system to evaluate the project's impact on rainfall by the experience of professional engineers to decision if the operation is suitable for construction or not.
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