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研究生: 王識維
Wang, Shih-Wei
論文名稱: 利用機器學習技術進行落石地動訊號之自動判釋
Towards an automatic identification for rockfall seismic signals using machine learning technologies
指導教授: 林冠瑋
Lin, Guan-Wei
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 理學院 - 地球科學系
Department of Earth Sciences
論文出版年: 2021
畢業學年度: 109
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 131
中文關鍵詞: 機器學習落石鹿場地動訊號
外文關鍵詞: Machine learning, Ground motion, Rockfall, Luchang
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  • 苗栗鹿場崩塌邊坡上堆積大量碎屑岩塊,因此持續發生落石事件,影響邊坡下方道路之安全。若能有效地偵測由落石引致的地表振動,讓邊坡下方用路人能在最短時間內獲知落石發生資訊,便能發展為落石災害警報的工具之一。
    本研究利用2019年開始安裝於鹿場邊坡周圍的4個地震站紀錄,以人工辨識方式挑選落石、地震,以及車輛等三種地動訊號,透過分析三種地動訊號在時間域與頻率域之特徵,萃取合適的訊號特徵值建立監督式機器學習分類器,並探討分類器使用之特徵值的意義,同時也嘗試對落石訊號進行簡易定位,以及觀察每日落石事件數量與日降雨量之關聯性。其中,以隨機森林演算法所建構之分類器準確度為92.7%,以支援向量機演算法所建構之分類器準確度為90.4%,表示兩種分類器皆能有效地辨別三種地動訊號的差異。緊接著將所建立之地動訊號分類器運用於2020年6月至8月間的連續地動觀測紀錄,分類結果顯示兩個分類器之車輛和地震訊號的敏感度皆下降,而落石訊號雖然僅4個,有3個被正確分類,但依舊維持不錯的分類效果。最後,本研究提出以多站特徵值加權平均的方法建立訊號分類器,將原本的4個分類結果減少至單一分類結果,使分析人員更容易直接判斷為何種地動事件。特徵值加權平均後的隨機森林分類器之準確度為88.3%,特徵值加權平均後的支援向量機分類器之準確度為84.0%,特徵值加權平均後所建立之分類器準確度略為下降,但仍有助於提高辨識效率。

    Rockfall events occur intermittently on the slope filled with landsliding debris at Luchang in Miaoli Country, affecting the life and property of road users. If the ground motion caused by rockfalls can be detected effectively, it will become a useful tool to warn passersby of rockfall disasters.
    Since 2009, four seismic stations were installed around the collapsed slope at Luchang. In the study, three types of ground motion signals, including rockfalls, earthquake and cars, were selected by manual identification from the records of these four stations. By analyzing the characteristics of ground motion signals, the suitable features for discriminating three event signals were extracted in the time domain and frequency domain. Using random forest and support vector machine algorithm, two kinds of automatic classifiers were create and used to explore the meaning of the features. Besides, the rockfall ground-motions were used to locate the possible runout path and to investigate the relationship between the number of rockfall event and daily rainfall. Then, the built signal classifiers were operated for continuous seismic records from June to August in 2020. Finally, a weighted average method was proposed to build signal classifiers, which would reduce the confusion of different classification results shown in four station signals for researchers.

    摘要 I ABSTRACT III 致謝 IX 目錄 XI 表目錄 XIII 圖目錄 XV 第一章 緒論 1 1.1 研究動機 1 1.2 研究目的 2 1.3 論文架構 3 第二章 文獻探討 5 2.1 落石事件產生的地動訊號特徵 5 2.2 機器學習演算法在地動訊號分析上之應用 9 第三章 研究方法 13 3.1 研究區介紹及地動資料來源 13 3.2 三種地動訊號之人工辨識 18 3.3 機器學習與機器學習演算法 22 3.3.1 隨機森林演算法 24 3.3.2 支援向量機演算法 25 3.4 分類器驗證 29 3.5 地動資料前處理 29 3.6 分類特徵值 31 3.6.1 時間域特徵值 31 3.6.2 頻率域特徵值 38 3.7 混淆矩陣(Confusing Matrix) 42 3.8 分類器建置及測試流程 44 第四章 研究成果 45 4.1 落石發生位置及地動訊號樣本 45 4.2 三種分類事件之特徵值數值分佈 63 4.3 訓練樣本數對分類器效能的影響 65 4.4 兩種分類器之分類效果 66 第五章 討論 69 5.1 兩種分類器之分類表現 69 5.1.1 正確分類之地動事件 71 5.1.2 錯誤分類之地動事件 79 5.2 特徵值分類效果討論 87 5.2.1 特徵值各別分類效果 87 5.2.2 時間域與頻率域特徵值分類效能比較 95 5.3 多站特徵值加權平均後之分類效果 97 5.3.1 多站特徵值加權平均後製作之分類器的分類表現 98 5.3.2 多站特徵值加權平均方法之測試結果 100 5.4 落石與降雨之關係 106 第六章 結論 109 參考文獻 111 附錄 117

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