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研究生: 戴哲
Tepsarn, Soponwit
論文名稱: The Effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the Performances of Venture Capitals
The Effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the Performances of Venture Capitals
指導教授: 謝惠璟
Hsieh, Hui-Ching Sana
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 國際經營管理研究所
Institute of International Management
論文出版年: 2018
畢業學年度: 106
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 87
外文關鍵詞: Venture Capital, Venture Capital performance, EPU index
相關次數: 點閱:195下載:4
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Venture Capital (VC) is the important financial intermediary that supports the
growth of entrepreneur business. They are interested to invest in these newly-developed
firms due to potentially attractive returns of investment. Nevertheless, the targeted firms
usually expose to large amount of risks which are able to deviate the performance of
investment rather than anticipated results. This research deploys the recent-developed
Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) index to examine its effect on the performance of
VC investment in U.S. market. We adopt the internal rate of return from Cambridge
Association to be the indicator of VC performance with additional validation to confirm
the consistency of analysis. We discover the significant inverse relationship between
the EPU index and the VC performance. Furthermore, we examine the stage of VC
investment that is dominantly influent by the EPU and find that the performance of
early-stage VC investment is the more sensitive to the movement of EPU than multistage
and later-stage of VC investment. Moreover, it is also found that the effect of EPU
on the performance of VC is more negatively intensive during the dotcom booming
period. Our findings give benefits to both VC limited partner and general partner to
deploy the EPU index as the indicator of the VC performance. The limited partnerships
can aware the sensitivity of their portfolio in each stage of VC investment that can be
influent by the EPU. Furthermore, the limited partnerships should be more concern
about the VC performance during the booming period due to more negative effect from
the fluctuation of EPU than normal period.

TABLE OF CONTENTS ABSTRACT I ACKNOWLEDGEMENT II TABLE OF CONTENTS III LIST OF TABLES VI LIST OF FIGURES VIII CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Research Background. 1 1.1.1 The Distinctive Role of Venture Capital. 1 1.1.2 The Performance of VC Investments. 3 1.1.3 High Risk-Exposure Characteristics of Venture Capitals. 4 1.1.4 The Rising of Economic Policy Uncertainty Awareness. 6 1.2 Research Motivation. 7 1.3 Research Objectives. 8 1.4 Research Gap and Research Contribution. 9 1.4.1 Our Contribution to Close the Research Gap. 9 1.4.2 Our Contribution to the VC Markets. 10 1.5 Research Structure. 11 CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW 12 2.1 The Investment in Venture Capital Market. 12 2.2 The Role of Venture Capital in Economics and Start-up Business 13 2.3 Measuring the Performance of Venture Capital Investments. 14 2.4 Agency Theory. 17 2.5 Transaction Cost Theory. 18 2.6 The Risk and Uncertainty of Venture Capital Investments. 19 2.6.1 Broad View of Risks and Uncertainty in VC Investment. 19 2.6.2 Political and Interorganizational Risks. 20 2.6.3 Liquidity Risk. 21 2.6.4 Economics Risk. 21 2.6.5 Interest Rate Risk. 22 2.6.6 Inflation Risk. 22 2.6.7 Risk from Activity of Stock Market. 23 2.7 The Performance and Uncertainty of VC investments During Dotcom Booming Period. 24 2.8 Economic Policy Uncertainty. 25 2.9 Hypothesis Development. 28 CHAPTER THREE RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY 31 3.1 Research Design. 31 3.2 Dependent Variables. 31 3.3 Independent Variables and Control Variables. 32 3.3.1 Economic Political Uncertainty Index (EPU). 33 3.3.2 Control Variables. 33 3.4 Theoretical Equations and Methodology. 41 3.4.1 Fundamental Regression. 41 3.4.2 Regression on Investment Stages of VC. 42 3.4.3 Regression on Investment Stages of VC during Dotcom Booming Period. 43 3.4.4 Methodology. 44 3.5 Results Expectation. 46 CHAPTER FOUR RESEARCH RESULTS 48 4.1 Descriptive statistics. 48 4.2 Correlation and VIF Tables. 51 4.3 Unit Root Test. 62 4.4 Results of Fundamental Regressions. 62 4.5 Results of Regressions on Investment Stages of VC. 68 4.6 Results of Regressions on Investment Stages of VC during Dotcom Booming Period.72 CHAPTER FIVE CONCLUSION AND SUGGESTIONS 76 5.1 Conclusion. 76 5.2 Limitations and Challenges 78 REFERENCES 79 APPENDIX 83 Appendix A. 83

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