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研究生: 司徒桂芳
Pramuan-ururat, Nisakorn
論文名稱: The Impact of World’s Mega Events and Macroeconomic Variables on FDI Inflow from the Whole World to Thailand
The Impact of World’s Mega Events and Macroeconomic Variables on FDI Inflow from the Whole World to Thailand
指導教授: 康信鴻
Kang, Hsin-Hong
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 國際經營管理研究所碩士班
Institute of International Management (IIMBA--Master)
論文出版年: 2011
畢業學年度: 99
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 63
外文關鍵詞: Foreign Direct Investment, FDI determinants, Macroeconomic variables, Mega events, GDP, Exchange rate, Labor cost, Red shirt and Yellow shirt protests, World economic crisis, Thailand
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  • Foreign direct investment (FDI) plays an extraordinary and growing role in global business. For many years, Thailand was among the most open in the developing world to foreign investment. This study aims to examine the determinants of foreign direct investment in Thailand. The study focuses on macroeconomic variables (GDP, exchange rate and labor cost) and mega events (red shirt and yellow shirt protests, world economic crisis and the interaction effect between red shirt and yellow shirt protests and world economic crisis). The data employed in this study is quarterly data from 2000 to 2009. Regression analysis is used as the method of analysis and the econometric program (E-Views) is used to test the model. The empirical results from this study indicate that GDP and exchange rate depreciation have positive influence on FDI inflow to Thailand; while red shirt and yellow shirt protests and world economic crisis have negative influence on the FDI inflow to Thailand, which is consistent with the previous literatures. However, labor cost and the interaction effect between red shirt and yellow shirt protests and world economic crisis do not have impact on the FDI inflow to Thailand.

    TABLE OF CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I ABSTRACT II TABLE OF CONTENTS III LIST OF TABLES VI LIST OF FIGURES VII CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Research Background and Motivation. 1 1.2 Research Objective and Contributions. 5 1.3 Research Structure. 6 CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW 8 2.1 Definition of Foreign Direct Investment. 8 2.2 Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment. 11 2.2.1 Exchange Rate and Foreign Direct Investment. 12 2.2.2 Gross Domestic Product and Foreign Direct Investment. 14 2.2.3 Labor Cost and Foreign Direct Investment. 15 2.2.4 Political Risk (Red Shirt and Yellow Shirt Protests) and Foreign Direct Investment. 17 2.2.5 World Economic Crisis (in Late 2008 to the First Half of 2009) and Foreign Direct Investment. 21 2.2.6 The Interaction Effect between Political Risk (Red Shirt and Yellow Shirt Protests) and World Economic Crisis (in late 2008 to the first half of 2009) on Foreign Direct Investment. 25 2.3 Research Direction. 27 CHAPTER THREE RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY 29 3.1 Overview of Foreign Direct Investment in Thailand. 29 3.2 Hypotheses to be Tested. 30 3.3 Methods of Analysis. 31 3.4 Data Sources and Data Collection. 32 3.4.1 Dependent Variable. 35 3.4.2 Independent Variables and Dummy Variables. 35 3.5 Multiple Regression Model. 36 CHAPTER FOUR RESEARCH RESULTS 38 4.1 Data Summary. 38 4.2 Test of Multicollinearity. 39 4.3 Test of Heteroscedasticity. 41 4.4 Test of Autocorrelation. 42 4.5 Ordinary Least Square Test. 43 4.5.1 Ordinary Least Square for overall regression model. 44 4.5.2 Estimated Coefficient for Exchange Rate. 44 4.5.3 Estimated Coefficient for GDP. 45 4.5.4 Estimated Coefficient for Labor Cost. 45 4.5.5 Estimated Coefficient for Red Shirt and Yellow Shirt Protests. 46 4.5.6 Estimated Coefficient for World Economic Crisis. 46 4.5.7 Estimated Coefficient for the Interaction Effect between Red Shirt and Yellow Shirt Protests and World Economic Crisis. 47 CHAPTER FIVE CONCLUSION AND SUGGESTIONS 48 5.1 Research Conclusion and Discussion. 48 5.2 Research Implication and Suggestion. 52 5.3 Research Limitation and Future Research. 55 REFERENCES 57

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