| 研究生: |
蔡明志 Tsai, Ming-Jhih |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
含相乘性跳動之幾何布朗運動
與衍生性商品定價之應用 Geometric Brownian Motion with multiplicative Jumps and its application to Derivatives Evaluation |
| 指導教授: |
黃銘欽
Huang, Min-Ching |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 統計學系 Department of Statistics |
| 論文出版年: | 2005 |
| 畢業學年度: | 93 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 43 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 幾何布朗運動 、最大概位數 、跳動 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Maximun Likeihood Method, jump, Geometric Brownian Motion |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:107 下載:1 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
本論文研究幾何布朗運動下含相乘性跳動的模型。本文在Poisson 過程下,以反覆程序檢測跳動。最大概似法被用來估計跳動參數λ與跳動大小。反覆程序原理以Matlab 程式語言加以撰寫。由台灣實證研究得到Black-Scholes 理論值,市場價格與模擬價格。GBM加入跳動所得到的選擇權價格與Black-Scholes 理論值是有差異的。
The purpose of this study was to examine the model of geometric Brownian motion with multiplicative jumps. An iterative procedure was proposed to detect the jumps which follow a Poisson process with rate of intensityλ. The maximum likelihood method was used to estimate the parameterλ and the jump size. The algorithm of this iterative procedure was implemented in Matlab. The theoretical Black-Scholes, the market, and the simulated option prices were obtained through the investigation of a Taiwanese empirical study. The inclusion of the jump in the GBM resulted in option prices different from the Black-Scholes prices.
Bachelier, L.,1900, “Théorie de la Spéculation” Annales de l'Ecole Normale
Supérieure, 17 , 21-86.
Bailie, R. T., and R. P. DeGennaro, 1990, “Stock Returns and Volatility”
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 25, 203-214.
Bates, David, 1996, “Jumps and Stochastic Volatility:Exchange Rate Processes
Implicit in Deutschemark options” Review of Financial Studies, 9, 69-108.
Black, F. and Scholes, M., 1973, “The Pricing of Options and Corporate
Liabilities” Journal of Political Economy 81, 637-59.
Bollerslev, T., 1986, “Generalized Autoregressive Conditional
Heteroscedasticity” Journal of Econometrics, 31, 307-327.
Chiras, D., and S.Manaster, 1978, “The Information Content of Option Prices
and a Test of Market Efficiency” Journal of Financial Economics, 6,
September, 213-234.
Engle, R. F., 1982, “Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with
Estimates of the Variance of United kingdom Inflation” Econometrica, 50, 987-
1007.
Hamao, Y. R., W. Masculis, and V. Ng, 1990, “Correlation in Price Changes and
Volatility across International Stock Markets” Review of Financial Studies,
3, 281- 308.
Hull, J., 2003, “Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives” 5th ed, Upper-
Saddle River, New-Jersey, Prentice-Hall.
Hull, J., 2002, “Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets” 4th ed, Upper-
Saddle River, New-Jersey, Prentice-Hall.
Ito, K., 1951, “On Stochastic Differential Equations” Memoirs, American
Mathematical Society, 4, 1-51.
Kou, S. G., and H. Wang, 2004, “Option Pricing Under a Double Exponential Jump-
Diffusion Model” Management Science, 50, 9, 1178-1192.
Lauterbach, B. and P. Schultz, 1990, “Pricing Warrants:An Empirical Study of
the Black-Scholes Model and Its Alternatives” Journal of Finance 4,
September, 1181-1210.
MacBeth, J. D., and L. J. Merville, 1979, “An Empirical Examination of the
Black-Scholes Call Option Pricing Model” Journal of Finance 34, December,
1173-1186.
Merton, R. C., 1976, “Option Pricing When Underlying Stock Returns Are
Discontinuous” Journal of Financial Economics, 3, 125-44.
Ross, Sheldon M., 2003, “An Introduction to Mathematical Finance:Options and
Other Topics” 2nd ed, Cambridge University Press, New York.
Scott, L., 1987, “Option Pricing When the Variance Changes Randomly: Theory,
Estimation, and an Application” Journal of Financial and Quantitative
Analysis, 22, December, 419-438.
Seydel, R., 2004, “Tools for Computational Finance” 2nd ed, Berlin, Springer
New York.
Samuelson, P.A., 1965, “Proof that properly anticipated prices fluctuate
randomly” Industrial Management Review 6, 41-50.
Shih-Huang, C., Hsinan, H., and Tzung-Yuan, H., 2003, “Determinants of the
Volatility of Stock Prices” Journal of Risk Management, 5, 2, July, 167-193.
Son-Nan, C., 1999, “The Option Pricing Model under Discrete Hedging and
Transaction Cost: Adjusting The Theory for Practical Viewpoint” Journal of
Risk Management, 1, 2, November, 43-54.
Wiener, N., 1923, “Differential space” J. Math. Phys. Math. Inst. Tech. 2,
131-74.
李育嘉,1985, “漫談布朗運動” 數學傳播季刊第9卷第三期.中央研究院數學研究所發行.
姜祖恕,1985, “馬可夫鏈的簡介” 數學傳播季刊第9卷第三期.中央研究院數學研究所發
行.