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研究生: 梁瑋茜
Liang, Wei-Chien
論文名稱: 都市地區洪災風險評估與管理之空間特性分析─以高雄市為例
Spatial Analysis of Flood Risk and Disaster Management in Urban Area: A Case Study in Kaohsiung City
指導教授: 張學聖
Chang, Hsueh-Sheng
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 規劃與設計學院 - 都市計劃學系
Department of Urban Planning
論文出版年: 2017
畢業學年度: 105
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 93
中文關鍵詞: 都市洪災風險評估災害管理空間自相關分析
外文關鍵詞: Urban flood, risk assessment, disaster management, spatial autocorrelation
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  • 都市地區因具有人口、土地密集利用、社會經濟高度發展之特性,導致都市地區受到洪災的衝擊時往往會造成更災難性的損失。面對氣候變遷極端強降雨更頻繁之情形,應更積極進行洪災管理。為能提出有效解決洪災之策略,經常透過風險評估作為災害管理依據,針對不同的風險程度及形成風險之原因擬定相關對策與因應措施。然而,災害管理資源之投入是否對症下藥,將影響災害管理資源投入對於地區災害風險損失降低的程度。
    爰此,本研究即以風險評估與災害管理為討論標的,檢視兩者於空間分布之關係。驗證結果分為兩大部分,首先為洪災風險評估,從分析結果中掌握鹽埕、鼓山、左營、三民、苓雅、前鎮、旗津等區之部分里為洪災風險極高之里別,應為後續災害管理投入著重之地區;第二部分,本研究將風險程度與災害管理進行雙變量空間相關性分析,檢視高雄市災害管理資源與風險程度於空間上投入配置之關係,由分析結果發現,風險程度與災害管理之間於部分地區呈現負相關,反映目前高雄市災害管理投入之資源未依照風險程度進行配置,而有災害管理資源投入不效率之疑慮。而本研究進一步將災害管理策略分別與危害衝擊面向、社會經濟面向以及危害衝擊與社會經濟乘積進行雙變量空間相關性分析,掌握各策略投入不效率之區位,給予災害管理策略改進之建議。

    Due to the characteristics of intensive use and highly development, urban areas often lead to more catastrophic losses by the impact of floods. In the face of climate change, local government should be more active in flood management. In order to put forward the effective strategies to minimize the flood disaster, risk assessment is often used as the basis of disaster management, and the relevant measures and measures should be formulated for different risk levels and risk reasons. However, whether the investment in disaster management resources is symptomatic will affect the extent to which disaster management resource inputs reduce the disaster risk.
    In this study, the relationship between risk assessment and disaster management is discussed, and the relationship between is analyzed. The results are divided into two parts. First is the risk of flood disaster. From the results, we can grasp the high risk of flooding in the part of Yancheng, Gushan, Zuoying, Sanmin, Lingya, Qianzhen and Qijin. Second, this paper will analyze the relationship between the risk level and the disaster management. It was found that there was a negative correlation between risk level and disaster management in some areas, which indicated that the resources of disaster management in Kaohsiung were not configured according to the degree of risk, and the investment of disaster management resource was inefficient. In this study, the disaster management strategy is further analyzed by the bivariate spatial correlation of hazard, socio-economic and hazard double with socio-economic. The result is to give the suggestions to improve the disaster management strategy.

    目錄 第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究背景與動機 1 第二節 研究目的 1 第三節 研究範疇與限制 2 第四節 研究流程與內容 4 第二章 文獻回顧 6 第一節 都市洪災風險理論與災害管理 6 第二節 都市洪災風險評估與管理架構 14 第三節 都市洪災風險分析方法 25 第三章 研究設計 28 第一節 研究範疇 28 第二節 研究設計架構說明 29 第三節 建立都市洪災風險評估指標架構 31 第四節 風險評估與空間分布模式分析 40 第四章 驗證分析 43 第一節 驗證地區概述 43 第二節 指標架構建立 48 第三節 洪災風險評估 62 第四節 風險與災害管理綜合比較 69 第五節 綜合討論 83 第五章 結論與建議 86 第一節 結論 86 第二節 建議 87 參考文獻 89 附錄 附-1

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