電力供應是經濟成長的重要因素之一，一國之經濟成長會增加電力需求，然而受限於季節用電、機組運轉及天災等因素，電力供應量之穩定日趨重要。同時隨著化石燃料使用增加，溫室氣體的排放亦會上升，各國也為了減少溫室氣體排放而提出國家自定預期貢獻，因此電力供應短缺與CO2排放減少為各國共同關注的議題。
以往對跨國研究之文獻並沒有以投入產出線性規劃(Input-Output Linear Programming, IOLP)模型分析電力供應短缺與CO2排放減少對產業的影響，本研究結合IOLP模型與世界投入產出資料庫(World Input-Output Database, WIOD)，以台灣、日本及韓國為研究範圍。目標函數設為最大化國內生產毛額(GDP)，藉以探討電力供應短缺與CO2排放減少對產業之影響。
研究結果顯示，以電力供應短缺而言，台灣、日本及韓國在電力供應短缺10%下，GDP損失率最高為韓國，台灣及韓國產值下降最為顯著的部門皆為電腦通信及電子產品製造業，日本則為運輸工具製造業。以CO2排放減少而言，台灣、日本及韓國在CO2排放減少10%情境下，GDP損失率最高為日本，台灣之化學製品製造業所受衝擊最大，日本為運輸工具製造業，韓國則為化學製品製造業。
就跨國比較而言，研究顯示台灣、日本及韓國在面臨電力供應短缺與CO2排放減少時，對產業的影響很大，特別是能源密集產業，研究結果顯示電力穩定供應的重要性。產業宜改善生產單位產值之電力消費，並持續落實政府的節能減碳措施。同時日本的電力消費以服務業為主，導致電力供應短缺時，日本服務業受影響的程度高於台灣及韓國的服務業。

Electricity supply is one of the important factors of economic growth. The economic growth of a country will increase the demand for electricity. However, due to factors such as seasonal electricity consumption, equipment operation and natural disasters, the stability in electricity supply has become increasingly important. With the increase in the use of electricity and fossil fuels, greenhouse gas emissions will also rise. Considering, countries have to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and propose their own Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs). The shortage of electricity supply and CO2 emissions reduction arouse countries attention.

In previous literature, which focused on cross-national research, did not analyze the impact of the shortage of electricity supply and the reduction of CO2 emissions on the industry by using the input-output linear programming model. This study combines the IOLP model with the world input-output database, taking Taiwan, Japan and Korea as the research scope. The objective function is to maximize the gross domestic product to explore the impact of the shortage of electricity supply and the reduction of CO2 emissions on the industry.

The result shows that in the scenarios of 10% in electricity supply shortage, Korea has the highest GDP loss rate. The sectors which have most significant output decline in Taiwan and South Korea are computer communications and electronics manufacturing industry, while Japan is the transportation equipment manufacturing industry. In terms of CO2 emissions reductions in 10% scenarios of reduction in CO2 emissions, Japan has the highest GDP loss rate. The sectors which have most significant output decline in Taiwan is chemical manufacturing industry, while Japan is the transport tool manufacturing industry. South Korea has the most significant output decline in the sectors of chemical manufacturing industry.

In cross-country comparisons, the study shows that the shortage of electricity supply and the reduction of CO2 emissions have a great impact on industries especially the energy-intensive industries. The results show the importance of a stable supply of electricity. It is suggested that the industry will improve the electricity consumption per unit of output and continue to implement the government's energy saving and carbon reduction measures. Meanwhile, shortages of electricity supply lead to the result that Japan's service industry is affected more than Taiwan's and Korea's, because service industry is the major consumer of electricity in Japan.

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