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研究生: 葉叡哲
Yeh, Rui-Zhe
論文名稱: 利用整合潛在變數之雙變量一般化依序普羅比模型探討偏鄉地區客貨共載之需求
Exploring Integrated Passenger-Freight Transport Demand in Rural Areas by Integrated Bivariate Ordinal Response and Latent Variable Model
指導教授: 傅強
Fu, Chiang
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 交通管理科學系
Department of Transportation and Communication Management Science
論文出版年: 2025
畢業學年度: 113
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 118
中文關鍵詞: 偏鄉地區整合潛在變數之雙變量一般化依序普羅比模型客貨共載
外文關鍵詞: Rural Areas, Integrated Bivariate Ordinal Response and Latent Variable (IBORLV) model, Integrated Passenger and Freight Transportation (IPFT)
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  • ABSTRACT I 摘要 II 誌謝 III LIST OF CONTENTS V TABLE OF CONTENTS VII FIGURE OF CONTENTS VIII CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Research background and motivation 1 1.2 Research objectives 4 1.3 Research scope 5 1.4 Research procedure 6 CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW 8 2.1 Last-mile delivery in rural areas 8 2.2 Integrated passenger and freight transport 15 2.2.1 Relevant studies 15 2.2.2 Domestic IPFT cases 16 2.2.3 Global IPFT cases 24 2.2.4 Relevant regulation 29 2.3 Last-mile delivery preference in rural areas 33 2.4 Perception in rural areas delivery 36 2.5 Literature summary 37 CHAPTER 3 METHODOLOGY 38 3.1 Conceptual model framework 38 3.2 Integrated bivariate ordinal response and latent variable model 40 3.2.1 Latent variable model 40 3.2.2 Bivariate generalized ordered probit model 41 3.2.3 IBORLV model 43 3.3 Model estimation 44 CHAPTER 4 QUESTIONNAIRE DESIGN AND SURVEY 45 4.1 Questionnaire design 45 4.2 The Survey 50 4.2.1 Pilot survey 50 4.2.2 Formal survey 50 4.3 Sample profile 52 4.3.1 IPFT response 52 4.3.2 Socioeconomic characteristics 53 4.3.3 Trip experience characteristics 54 4.4 IPFT delivery perception 56 CHAPTER 5 MODEL ESTIMATION AND RESULTS 60 5.1 Model estimation 60 5.2 Model result (IBORLV) 62 5.2.1 Latent variable part 62 5.2.2 BGOP part 64 5.3 Model analysis 71 5.3.1 Elasticity effects 71 5.3.2 Scenario analysis 73 5.4 Implication 79 5.5 Summary 80 CHAPTER 6 CONCLUSIONS AND SUGGESTIONS 82 6.1 Conclusions 82 6.1.1 Academic 82 6.1.2 Policy implication 83 6.2 Suggestions 85 REFERENCE 87 APPENDIX 100 APPENDIX A 100 APPENDIX B 106 APPENDIX C 107

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