| 研究生: |
黃昱誠 Huang, Yu-chen |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
加油站多元化服務經營績效之預測模式-以台灣中油公司台南區加油站為例 The predictive model of management effects for diversified-services CPC gas stations in Tainan, Taiwan |
| 指導教授: |
利德江
Li, De-Jiang |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 工業與資訊管理學系碩士在職專班 Department of Industrial and Information Management (on the job class) |
| 論文出版年: | 2007 |
| 畢業學年度: | 95 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 59 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 關鍵成功因素 、小樣本 、類神經網路 、服務品質 、多角化 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Artificial Neural Networks, key success factor, the quality of services, Small sample size, diversification |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:90 下載:7 |
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在目前激烈競爭的加油站經營環境中,加油站若欲脫穎而出,就需維持良好的顧客關係,提昇顧客滿意度及增加顧客忠誠度,進而提高經營績效,而欲達到此目的則有賴於加油站成功建立整體多元化服務,進而提高加油站服務品質,以滿足加油顧客之需求。此多元化服務除加油本業外,通常為加油站多角化及異業結盟,即包含與駕駛人需求有關者,如:高速公路回數票、寄售便利商品等;與車輛本身有關者,如:自動洗車、汽車快速保養服務、汽機車百貨、停車場;與加油站社區有關者,如:便利商店、廣告看板等。
本研究係因加油站整體服務的建立投入成本高且現有樣本有限,因此以小樣本資料分析的方法-整體擴展技術(mega-trend-diffusion technique)增加虛擬樣本,探討加油站建立多元化服務經營績效之預測模式,以降低加油站投資風險;在本研究中顯示以小樣本資料分析的技術增加虛擬樣本,再透過類神經網路的訓練,可增加預測模式的正確率;我們也於評估該過程中,從中發掘問題,並提出建議改善之方向。
Now the market of gasoline retail is so competitive, how to manage customers' relations and increase customers'satisfication and royalty have become the most important issues. In other words, the gasoline stations need to build the diversified services system to improve management effects and the quality of services and to satisfy customers' needs. The diversification and business alliance in the gasoline stations include: (a) relating to the drivers--selling freeway passes and goods ; (b) relating to the vehicles--car washing, oil change; (c) relating to the community-- renting billboards, managing convenient stores and coffee shops.
This research is based on the analysis of the diversified services systems in the gasoline stations. However the size of samples is limited, this research uses mega-trend-diffusion technique, which is special for the small sample. This technique, which increases virtual samples and uses Artificial Neural Networks, helps the predictive models more to be accurate. The predictive models of diversified service-management effects will help the various types of gasoline stations to decrease risk of investment, discover lots of problems and offer appropriate suggestions.
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