| 研究生: |
蘇均珺 Su, Jun-Jun |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
細懸浮微粒三維分布推估:多元空間技術之整合與應用 Estimating the Three-Dimensional Distribution of PM2.5: Integration of Multivariate Geo-spatial Technologies |
| 指導教授: |
吳治達
Wu, Chih-Da |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
工學院 - 測量及空間資訊學系 Department of Geomatics |
| 論文出版年: | 2024 |
| 畢業學年度: | 112 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 49 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 空氣污染 、細懸浮微粒(PM2.5) 、三維空間建模 、多旋翼無人機 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | air pollution, particulate matter(PM2.5), three-dimensional modeling, unmanned aerial vehicle |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:101 下載:0 |
| 分享至: |
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空氣污染對人體健康有害,尤其是細懸浮微粒PM2.5,其濃度會受天氣、交通、土地利用等因素影響,不同地點和高度在不同時間下的濃度差異顯著。隨著人類活動空間的變化,了解PM2.5在三維空間中的分布需求隨之出現。要獲取PM2.5資料直接量測是最準確的,但空氣污染監測站數量不足,獲取平面大範圍資料之方法如線性克利金內插法和土地利用迴歸已經被廣泛應用,但三維空氣污染研究仍有限。本研究旨在利用無人機和摩托車靈活量測平面及三維空間的空氣污染,結合GIS分析方法,發展三維PM2.5分布推估模型,並應用於研究地區。研究區域涵蓋竹南鎮和頭份市,相鄰的行政區域總面積約91平方公里,人口約18萬人,顯示出持續增長的趨勢。該地區包括竹南工業區、頭份工業區和竹南科學園區,土地利用模式多樣化,成為研究三維空氣污染分布的理想地點。為了捕捉PM2.5濃度的變化,地面資料的收集在每天的白天或下午進行,使用安裝在摩托車上的儀器,沿預先規劃的路線行駛約40公里,速度為每小時20到40公里,每15秒記錄一次PM2.5量測值,共進行了七輪採樣,以確保對研究區域的全面覆蓋。無人機採樣則在事先挑選的12個不同位置進行垂直起降,測量高度從0至120m,每10m停留5秒。除了現場資料外,研究還收集了來自各種資料庫的其他地理空間資料,包括環保署空氣品質監測資料庫、中央氣象局、國土測繪中心和交通研究所,這些資料將作為推估模型中的X變數。根據過去的估算和模擬案例,我們將所有X變數轉換為10m × 10m的網格圖像,計算了變數密度分布和每個網格中心到各空間變數的歐幾里得距離。研究將建立兩組使用不同演算法推算之模型,基於地面採樣PM2.5的地面模型和使用無人機資料的垂直模型,模型將使用80%的資料進行訓練,20%進行測試,使用程式特定套件調整模型超參數,並利用計算SHAP value方法排名變數的重要性,逐步將變數添加至模型中。模型間比較排序基於R2、調整後R2、MSE、MAE、RMSE等指標,以及十折交叉驗證與資料分層驗證測試模型表現與穩定度。從地面與垂直模型中選出表現最佳之模型進行整合並調整高度參數後,我們可以推估不同高度下的平面PM2.5濃度分布,並在ArcGIS Pro中使用經驗貝式克里金法進行3D插值,生成PM2.5濃度分布的三維立方體,揭示不同高度下的濃度變化。地面取樣的PM2.5濃度範圍為1.64至128.11 μg/m³,無人機數據顯示濃度在7.22至46.57 μg/m³。在五個地面機器學習模型中,Category-Based Regression (CBR)演算法 模型表現最佳,R2值超過0.9,且誤差最低,被擇出推估地面PM2.5濃度;垂直模型中CBR演算法表現最佳,結合垂直模型和地面推估資料,輸出了每20m一張的水平PM2.5濃度圖。利用ArcGIS Pro的經驗貝氏克里金3D功能,輸出PM2.5濃度立方體,並通過調整角度和切片,詳細分析了局部空氣污染情況。例如,在國家健康研究院周圍,空氣污染濃度隨高度變化顯示非線性趨勢。本研究首次開發並應用了一種基於無人機與摩托車量測資料結合GIS分析的三維PM2.5分布推估方法。相比傳統的土地利用迴歸模型,該方法運用了機器學習技術來處理非線性關係,不僅能精確估算地面及不同高度的空氣污染濃度,還能生成三維立體的污染分布模型,為未來的空氣質量監測和管理提供了新視角與科學依據。此方法學奠定了三維空氣污染研究的基礎,具備應用於更多城市或地區的潛力。
PM2.5 poses significant health risks, especially with increasing urbanization and industrialization, making it crucial to understand air pollution exposure across different elevations. Traditional air quality monitoring stations are limited in number and unevenly distributed, failing to provide precise regional data. To address this, Land Use Regression (LUR) and Machine Learning (ML) algorithms have been developed to estimate air pollution levels, but three-dimensional pollution research remains limited. Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs), combined with Geographic Information System (GIS) methodologies, have become vital tools for comprehensive three-dimensional air quality assessment, enabling the creation of dynamic air quality models by sampling air at various altitudes. The study area covers Zhunan Township and Toufen City, with a total area of approximately 91 square kilometers and a population of around 180,000, reflecting continuous growth. Ground-level data collection was conducted daily using instruments mounted on a motorcycle along pre-planned routes, with seven rounds ensuring comprehensive coverage. UAV sampling involved deploying instruments atop a hexacopter at 12 different sites, measuring altitudes from 0 to 100 meters. Supplementary data from various databases were integrated, such as meteorology data and land use data. Two models were developed: a ground model using ground sampling data and a three-dimensional model using UAV data, with SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) used to rank variable importance. Using ArcGIS Pro's Empirical Bayesian Kriging 3D functionality, a PM2.5 concentration cube was created, revealing variations at different altitudes, with non-linear trends observed near the National Health Research Institute. This study differs from traditional LUR methods by using ML techniques to handle non-linear relationships, providing a comprehensive view of three-dimensional PM2.5 distribution. Future policies should consider vertical variations to more effectively manage air quality, especially as cities continue to expand. As global research advances towards 3D modeling, integrating vertical variations in urban design and planning becomes increasingly important for effective air quality management.
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