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研究生: 邱莉旻
Chiu, Li-Min
論文名稱: 烏俄戰爭下造成全球供應鏈斷鏈後變化-以台灣製菸工廠為例
Disruption of Global Supply Chain after Russia-Ukraine War - A Case Study of a Taiwan Tobacco Factory
指導教授: 鄭祖睿
Cheng, Tsu-Jui
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 交通管理科學系碩士在職專班
Department of Transportation and Communication Management Science(on-the-job training program)
論文出版年: 2023
畢業學年度: 112
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 80
中文關鍵詞: 供應鏈中斷策略供應鏈韌性與持續性不確定情況決策支持架構
外文關鍵詞: Supply Chain disruption strategy, Supply chain Resilience and Sustainability, Decision making under Deep Uncertainty
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  • 隨著供應鏈全球化發展日漸更發達複雜,全球供應鏈當遭受到突如其來的不確定情況發生時,造成斷鏈的可能性也顯著增加。位於台灣的製菸工廠在2022 年爆發的烏俄戰爭下,面臨了前所未有原物料供應鏈中斷事件的發生。本研究透過訪談台灣工廠內部,歷經過 2022 供應鏈中斷時的供應鏈各部門員工,探討員工對供應鏈韌性與持續性的認知,以及了解在面臨重大中斷時,總部在遴選供應鏈中斷策略時的決策過程,並討論台灣工廠如何應對供應鏈中斷的挑戰。

    以決策支持架構套入 次訪談,得知在面臨 次供應鏈中斷時,不同部門對於供應鏈的韌性與持續性不盡相同,而且決策者選擇策略時與利益相關者之間的關係應為緊密且有相關。總部在選擇該實施的中斷策略時決策者應該要把利益相關者列入選擇考量範圍。雖然 次供應鏈中斷為單一事件,但未來可以採用多元案例研究。這樣在面對再次發生供應鏈中斷時,總部以及各生產據點可以加速的解決供應鏈中斷產生的問題。

    As global supply chains become increasingly complex and interconnected, the possibility of chain disruptions significantly rises when unexpected uncertainties occur. Amidst the 2022 Ukraine-Russia conflict, a tobacco manufacturing factory in Taiwan faced an unprecedented disruption in its raw material supply chain. This study conducted interviews within the Taiwanese factory, engaging employees from various supply chain departments, to explore their perceptions regarding supply chain resilience and sustainability during significant disruptions. It aimed to understand the decision-making processes undertaken by headquarters in selecting disruption strategies during critical events and discussed how the Taiwan factory responded to the challenges of supply chain interruptions. To applicated the deep uncertainty framework revealed varying perceptions of supply chain resilience and sustainability across departments during the disruption. It also highlighted the importance of a close and positive relationship between decision-makers and stakeholders when choosing strategies during such uncertain crises. Decision-makers should consider stakeholders when selecting disruption strategies. Although this disruption was a singular event, future studies could adopt diverse case studies. This approach can aid headquarters and production units in swiftly addressing supply chain disruptions in the event of a recurrence.

    摘要2 第一章 緒論12 1.1 研究背景12 1.2 研究動機16 1.3 研究目的18 1.4 研究流程19 第二章 文獻回顧21 2.1 供應鏈與供應鏈斷鏈21 2.1.1 供應鏈的定義21 2.1.2 何謂供應鏈斷鏈 22 2.2 疫情以及戰爭對供應鏈之影響22 2.3 供應鏈中斷管理策略23 2.3.1 供應鏈的韌性(Resilience)23 2.3.2 供應鏈的持續性(Sustainability)24 2.3.3 三面向的供應鏈中斷策略24 2.3.4 不確定性決策26 第一級27 第二級27 第三級27 第四級28 2.4 供應鏈中斷案例30 2.4.1 天然災害造成生產供應鏈斷鏈事件30 2.4.2 政治衝突造成能源供應鏈中斷事件31 2.5 小結31 第三章 研究方法32 3.1 研究範圍與對象32 3.2 資料蒐集35 3.3 資料分析38 第四章 研究結果與討論 39 4.1 政府干預策略措施 41 4.1.1 採購法規限制 41 4.2 生產的策略 42 4.2.1 供應商交期恢復與產能不足43 4.2.2 烏俄戰爭爆發導致物料短缺44 4.2.3 原物料的短缺不會立即反應 44 4.3 供應鏈調整與重新設計的策略45 4.3.1 原物料安全庫存增加與檢討45 4.3.2 總部對供應商的選擇與檢視47 4.3.3 採購原則應該要以近岸供應48 4.3.4 運輸方式更改50 4.3.5 採購原則因人因事而異 50 4.3.6 各部門對供應鏈的恢復期認知的不同51 4.3.7 戰爭影響造成產能的轉移 52 4.3.8 烏俄戰爭爆發導致運輸時間變長53 4.4 決策的主導權54 4.4.1 決策的決定全來自於總部54 4.4.2 總部有營運持續計畫策略的決定權54 4.4.3 生產據點有持續計畫措施的決定權55 4.4.4 客戶擁有成品生產與拉貨的主導權56 4.5 訊息的傳遞與溝通57 4.5.1 生產據點當遇到問題會與總部反映58 4.5.2 與廠商建立良好的溝通資訊的傳遞58 4.5.3 供應鏈中斷後與客戶的溝通59 4.5.4 生產據點部門間溝通不良60 4.5.5 集團面對供應中斷的反應緩慢61 4.5.6 供應鏈生產部門互相協作62 4.5.7 各部門對烏俄戰爭消息來源認知不同62 4.5.8 原物料更換後的影響與處理 63 4.6 風險的評估與比較64 4.6.1 中斷後對營運持續計畫更完善64 4.6.2 應該以區域規劃營運持續計畫65 4.6.3 戰後對全球供應鏈的風險評估66 4.6.4 生產據點對於持續計畫措施實施困難66 4.6.5 供應鏈中斷成本與運輸成本比較67 4.6.6 貢獻度高的生產據點容易獲得資源 68 4.6.7 國內市場占比大68 4.6.8 成品的短缺會造成客戶忠誠度的下降69 4.6.9 供應鏈的中斷對生產據點影響甚大70 4.7 討論70 第五章 結論與研究限制74 參考文獻77

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