| 研究生: |
柯承宗 Ke, Cheng-Tsung |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
台灣股市選股策略之探討 The Discussion of Stock Selection Strategies in Taiwan Stock Market |
| 指導教授: |
王明隆
Wang, Ming-Long |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 會計學系 Department of Accountancy |
| 論文出版年: | 2017 |
| 畢業學年度: | 105 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 77 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | F-Score 、選股策略 、台灣股市 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | F-score, Taiwan stock market, The strategy of stock-selection |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:185 下載:22 |
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鑒於理財投資為現代人必備能力,卻因金融海嘯等環境因素或擇股標的不當,有慘痛經驗,屢見不鮮。有鑑於此,本研究目的為台灣股民選股提出更好的建議,而該如何在眾多策略中找出最佳策略?本文使用Python語言撰寫相關程式,以計算F-Score、淨值市值比Book to Market Ratio(BM)、股價淨值比Price to Book Ratio (PB)、本益比Price to Earning Ratio (PE)、股價營收比Price to Sales Ratio(PS)、股利殖利率Dividend Yield (Y)、成交量Trading Volume (TV)、法人持股Institutional Investors Holding (IIH)及企業社會責任CSR(Corporate Social Responsibility)等因子比值和十分位數,回測台灣股票市場2008年到2015年之投資報酬績效表現。此外,本研究以永續競爭優勢角度,以市值Market Value (MV)、法人持股Institutional Investors Holding (IIH)、企業社會責任CSR(Corporate Social Responsibility)因子區分大小公司和F-Score搭配,驗證前述投資報酬績效。
最後,將總投資報酬率前30%的因子,高F-Score(7-9分)、高淨值市值比(70%-100%)、低股價淨值比(0%-30%)、低本益本(0%-30%)、低股價營收比(0%-30%)、高股息殖利率(70-100%)、低成交量(0%-30%)、高法人持股(70%-100%)、企業社會責任CSR(上榜),進行組合搭配,對此組合做投資報酬績效驗證。研究顯示,使用因子搭配之方法,能確實提高策略性選股投資報酬之績效,以期望對投資人提出更佳建議賺取更高報酬,為台灣股市注入活水。
The purpose of this paper is trying to find out the best portfolio in Taiwan stock market. I will use the data of public corporations in TEJ (Taiwan Economic Journal) and based on Piotroski’s (2000) “F-Score model” adding several new factors such as CSR (Corporate social responsibility) to develop a new model which assist different risk appetite investors find out their best portfolios. As a result, this model is very effective in Taiwan stock market and can bring up higher return rate.
林泓寬 (2016) F-Score 及多因子擇股模型於台灣股票市場之實證. 成功大學經營管理碩士學位學程 (AMBA) 學位論文, 1-59
葉怡成,吳盛富 (2013) 台灣股市何種選股模型行得通?
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